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Started By
Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:57 pm to DrEdgeLSU
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:57 pm to DrEdgeLSU
quote:
No, I'm not. But I also can recognize that the track has shifted what, 20 miles, and the eye of this thing is about 50 miles wide. Maybe more - it's really big. So the computer generated lines are referencing the likely path for the center of the storm, not any sort of projection about the magnitude of the weather events that occur within it.
You do realize the cone isn't one set width right? It widens the further you get from the time of the forecast. I can read a mapt too, and I'm well aware how those cone lines were superimposed on the map. Maybe try pretending you don't think you're the smartest person in the room and you might be able to figure it out.
0
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:57 pm to SoloTiger
quote:
Hit or miss. Underground utilities don’t mean squat when your feeders are above ground.
This. Any power coming in underground feeds in above ground somewhere.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:57 pm to loogaroo
quote:
213130 2905N 09041W 6963 03049 9925 +092 //// 201084 089 /// /// 05 213200 2905N 09043W 6966 03044 9914 +094 //// 206092 098 /// /// 05 213230 2905N 09045W 6980 03028 9895 +106 //// 210095 102 /// /// 05 213300 2905N 09046W 6963 03036 9876 +119 +100 214094 095 /// /// 03 213330 2905N 09048W 6970 03020 9859 +131 +080 213097 098 /// /// 03 213400 2905N 09049W 6976 03002 9848 +129 +091 211096 098 /// /// 03 213430 2905N 09051W 6970 02997 9829 +135 +085 212096 097 /// /// 03 213500 2905N 09052W 6969 02994 9825 +133 +088 210097 099 /// /// 03 213530 2906N 09054W 6974 02980 9814 +134 +099 208092 099 /// /// 03 213600 2906N 09055W 6966 02980 9795 +140 +116 213078 086 /// /// 03 213630 2906N 09057W 6975 02961 9777 +146 +117 211074 075 /// /// 03 213700 2906N 09059W 6959 02975 9779 +140 +119 210069 073 /// /// 03 213730 2906N 09100W 6976 02949 9756 +157 +119 211061 065 /// /// 03 213800 2907N 09102W 6974 02942 9728 +174 +122 214049 057 /// /// 03 213830 2908N 09104W 6961 02958 9723 +176 +109 213042 047 /// /// 03 213900 2908N 09106W 6971 02940 9709 +186 +095 215036 038 043 000 03 213930 2909N 09108W 6970 02929 9703 +186 +087 213033 035 039 001 00 214000 2910N 09110W 6974 02929 9729 +162 +094 208031 035 029 002 00 214030 2911N 09111W 6973 02936 9724 +171 +088 221026 029 016 000 03 214100 2912N 09113W 6972 02927 9704 +183 +083 222020 024 016 000 00
Thanks for posting this. Gonna run to town and fill up the gas can now.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:57 pm to slackster
Looks like north plaquemines is about to catch hell huh? Or am I looking at those colors wrong?
I guess what I’m asking is if I can go ahead and have my first drink
I guess what I’m asking is if I can go ahead and have my first drink
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 4:58 pm
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:57 pm to SoloTiger
Yeah half of fair hill is out .. brother-in-law is on the unlucky side.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:57 pm to SoloTiger
quote:
Hit or miss. Underground utilities don’t mean squat when your feeders are above ground.
fricking national security threat...
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:57 pm to BilbeauTBaggins
What kind of winds are MC/Houma seeing right now.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:57 pm to RBTiger
Why do they keep reporting Cat 2 with 100 mph winds? Every station showing 55 winds with 60 gusts. There are NO 100 mph winds.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:57 pm to fightin tigers
Called it
I expect apologies from the 12 downvoters.
quote:
Posted by fightin tigers
9/8/24 at 4:43 pm to tiger91
quote:
No way it ends up west of the Atchafalaya
I expect apologies from the 12 downvoters.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:57 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Mandeville people freaking out need to fricking relax.
Ehhhh, Midnight tonight while not the apocalypse but its not nothing. I don't know how accurate this NWS graph is, but the first location is 1088 and I-12 and not the lakefront.
The lakefront in Mandeville shown below is another story.
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 4:59 pm
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:58 pm to loogaroo
quote:
It just deepened again. 102 knot flight level winds.
support for 971mb too on the last dropsonde
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 4:59 pm
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:58 pm to TH03
Hurricane Francine Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062024
500 PM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024
...FRANCINE MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...
...500 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE...
Francine has made landfall in southern Louisiana in the Parish of
Terrebonne, about 30 miles south-southwest of Morgan City, as a
Category 2 hurricane. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be
near 100 mph (155 km/h).
A NOS station located on Eugene Island recently reported a peak gust
of 105 mph (169 km/h). The minimum pressure measured at that
location was 976 mb (28.82 inches).
Heavy rains and hurricane-force winds are spreading inland across
southern Louisiana. Now is the time to stay inside and away from
windows. Have multiple ways to receive warnings and updates.
Another position update will be provided at 600 PM CDT (2300 UTC).
SUMMARY OF 500 PM CDT...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 91.3W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM WSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062024
500 PM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024
...FRANCINE MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...
...500 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE...
Francine has made landfall in southern Louisiana in the Parish of
Terrebonne, about 30 miles south-southwest of Morgan City, as a
Category 2 hurricane. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be
near 100 mph (155 km/h).
A NOS station located on Eugene Island recently reported a peak gust
of 105 mph (169 km/h). The minimum pressure measured at that
location was 976 mb (28.82 inches).
Heavy rains and hurricane-force winds are spreading inland across
southern Louisiana. Now is the time to stay inside and away from
windows. Have multiple ways to receive warnings and updates.
Another position update will be provided at 600 PM CDT (2300 UTC).
SUMMARY OF 500 PM CDT...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 91.3W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM WSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:58 pm to Hellp
quote:
Why do they keep reporting Cat 2 with 100 mph winds? Every station showing 55 winds with 60 gusts. There are NO 100 mph winds.
There rarely are
Highest recorded sustained winds are almost always like 20 mph lower than whatever the NHC says
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:58 pm to BilbeauTBaggins
Checking in from Houma. Power went out at about 4:40pm. Rain and wind getting worse. Some pretty good gusts.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:59 pm to Captain Lafitte
quote:
A bird must have farted on a power line.
birds aren't real...
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:59 pm to pussywillows
WWL reporting landfall 35 miles SW of Morgan City
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:59 pm to Proximo
Spring lake off Oneal Lane?
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:59 pm to TH03
quote:
support for 971mb too on the last dropsonde
Wish they wouldn't have done this pass as a new mission because now I have to plot the motion trend line myself
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:00 pm to Hellp
quote:
Why do they keep reporting Cat 2 with 100 mph winds? Every station showing 55 winds with 60 gusts. There are NO 100 mph winds.
Because to them it sounds cool. No way from the feed I’m watching in Houma that they’re getting anything near 100 mph.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:00 pm to redfishfan
We are about to have it calm down ad the wall passes
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