re: Deep South winter storm and arctic outbreak - Jan. 20-23 timeframe

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Snow no longer in the forecast?

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It’s still too early to really make an accurate forecast for this event. We just aren’t to the point where the models are consistent one way or the other.

I would say that the models are not as favorable for winter weather in the southeast as they were the last couple of days, but we’re still in the period where that could change quickly.

Space City Weather agrees with you.

LINK

I can't believe i bought into the hype

If you can’t make $20 now a days, you might as well give up. Hell Publix pays you $15 to put milk out in the AC.

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It’s still too early to really make an accurate forecast for this event. We just aren’t to the point where the models are consistent one way or the other.

I would say that the models are not as favorable for winter weather in the southeast as they were the last couple of days, but we’re still in the period where that could change quickly.

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The problem is that the overall setup is favorable for cold but not necessarily winter weather. There is still plenty of time for things to trend in the right direction, but it's hard to get enough room for a winter storm at the base of a large positive tilted longwave trough.

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Major snowstorm with anywhere from 5 to 12 inches from a line running along a line running from Shreveport to Jackson to Montgomery to Charleston, SC line and north of that line. Also a massive ice storm south of there all the way down to the Gulf Coast itself from Port Authur, TX east to Jacksonville, FL and areas in between. That's just with the main wave on Tuesday. The CMC follows that up with an another major hit of ice acould 36 to 48 hours later. Case in point...Starkville, MS gets 14.7 inches of snow followed by 1.03 inches of freezing rain less than 48 hours later. The ice accumulation map nearly pegs out in parts of South Georgia where it shows as high as 2.81 inches of freezing rain just southwest of Savannah.

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Yea none of this will happen, I’ll bet money on it.

Maybe the CMC verifies, only hope left.

He meant snow. The Euro/GFS are in the camp of dry and cold. While the Icon/Canadian are in the winter precipitation camp. I would trust the Euro/GFS over the other ones.

Who we trust more? The Canadians and Germans or Americans and Europeans? That’s where we at with the current models. I think we know the answer…lol

Am I the only one who found it odd that TWC was so quick to add "1-3 inches of snow expected" in Lafayette? They are usually the last place to update to an "extreme" condition... Yet they're still showing the snow prediction.