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I think that’s a past picture of a previous storm they helped on. alphaandomega and his guys do an amazing job. Yall keep up the good work!
Darker colors of red and yellow mean shear which shreds storms apart. The blue is less to no shear which would help strengthen a system
The thing is there’s not one model that’s more reliable than the others. They all have been right over the years at one point. Then they’ve all been wrong alot of times. But when you have a model like the Google model 150 miles east of the spaghetti models it needs to be disregarded as an outlier.
Yep literally the spaghetti models are honed in from Terrebonne to Gulfport, with one outlier around Gulf Shores.
They are using a new model that isn’t really proving yet. It’s a good model but you shouldn’t be using it to advertise a “concern”. They are famous for cherry picking the model they like to create more clicks. They use whatever model shows them getting the worst of it for clicks.
Also the 06z runs show a slower developing storm, which would mean a more west track but also would mean a weaker storm.

re: Hurricane Season - NHC 92L in BOC 90%

Posted by SWLA92 on 10/5/26 at 8:46 pm to
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Honestly he’s been downplaying it for the most part. Kinda surprising. Not alarming anything just saying to pay attention
Maybe I’m misinterpreting this but it says construction to start 2027 and finish by 2032. That seems like a long time to build that up if they plan on launching rockets by 2029

re: Hurricane Season - NHC 92L in BOC 90%

Posted by SWLA92 on 10/5/26 at 1:28 pm to
Gfs is the only model showing a hurricane. Could it be a hurricane sure but most models have this a tropical storm mess at best. A lot will change in the next few days
Haven’t met since 2019 but all of a sudden they start meeting right after SpaceX was announced…. All it took was a $100 billion investment into the area to get them to reignite the conversation. I have no faith they will get the infrastructure fix still

re: Popeyes Chicken Biscuit

Posted by SWLA92 on 10/4/26 at 11:48 pm to
I miss the red beans and rice chicken wraps. I actually made my own the other day. Ordered the classic chicken wrap and a side of red beans and rice, and assembled it myself. Brought back some good memories

re: Simple food pleasures.

Posted by SWLA92 on 10/4/26 at 9:45 pm to
Cold fried fish with ketchup for breakfast is so damn good

re: Simple food pleasures.

Posted by SWLA92 on 10/4/26 at 9:44 pm to
A BLT with extra bacon
From 980-994 mb is a cat 1 I think and 979 and below is a cat 2. But to echo what everyone else is saying, I don’t think this thing comes close to a hurricane could be just a tropical storm/depression sloppy mess.

re: Hurricane Season - NHC 92L in BOC 90%

Posted by SWLA92 on 10/4/26 at 4:09 pm to
Honestly they’ve all been garbage this year. There’s really not any model that’s had a good handle on things this year
Fox tried to counter McAfee with adding Portnoy which they figured out figured quickly was not a good choice. Even though McAfee is a huge douche, Portnoy beats him in that category. Portnoy doesn’t bring enough to the table to offset how big of a douche he is. You could tell the whole Big Noon crew was not meshing with Portnoy.
Iowa has had a plethora of talent come through the school the last few years. Glad to see them get a championship last year
Theo catering to whatever team gives him attention… shocked I tell ya…. He’s just trying to stay relevant
As I finished typing, I thought to myself this will only go over real good
Perillo was just forecasting for 3-5 inches of rain with hot spots of 8 inches possible just 2 days ago. Now the models are showing 1-2 inches. I’m not buying a tropical model 6-7 days out.
This right here. The writing is on the wall. They were giving plenty of chances but no accountability whatsoever