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Started By
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2
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:00 am to Dandaman
When is the next model run or update expected?
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:05 am to notiger1997
quote:
When is the next model run or update expected?
GFS will be wrapped up by noon and the Euro will be out by 1.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:09 am to slackster
Hoping this shite doesn’t wipe out Bayou Country Superfest. I got got damn George Strait tickets for Sunday night.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:11 am to The Boat
quote:
Hoping this shite doesn’t wipe out Bayou Country Superfest. I got got damn George Strait tickets for Sunday night.
You just have to share the superdome with the evacuees. Should be fine.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:21 am to rds dc
System is still highly sheared but upper level divergence has allowed storms to consistently fire over night.
That has allowed low level vorticity to increase and has started to consolidate the mid level vorticity.
A lobe of mid level (yellow blob just south of Western Cuba) has been moving westward this morning towards the sustained convection and low level vorticity.
This might be a sign that the "center" is trying to get going farther west. Where the center consolidates will help determine how far west this can get but a bigger player will be the upper level setup.
That has allowed low level vorticity to increase and has started to consolidate the mid level vorticity.
A lobe of mid level (yellow blob just south of Western Cuba) has been moving westward this morning towards the sustained convection and low level vorticity.
This might be a sign that the "center" is trying to get going farther west. Where the center consolidates will help determine how far west this can get but a bigger player will be the upper level setup.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:22 am to bubbz
quote:
Not that I really ever want to relive this in my lifetime, but when the flood of 2016 happened, all these fricking models were pointing to Florida/Bama early on, and we saw what happened.
The storm came from Florida Panhandle, meandered along the Coast & stalled for 2 days on top of South La.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:23 am to Dandaman
Have there been any Punta Cana jokes yet?
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:23 am to rds dc
Sooo...panic or don't panic?
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:28 am to GEAUXT
quote:
Sooo...panic or don't panic?
Maybe be lightly alarmed.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:39 am to TigerstuckinMS
SO does this mean that "perhaps" being at the beach in Destin will be "better" than being at home south of Lafayette??
And I wish nothing bad on anyone.
And I wish nothing bad on anyone.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:43 am to Y.A. Tittle
I’ve got some oceanfront property in Arizona for you if you think the evacuee culcha wants to hear some King George.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:46 am to tke857
quote:
If it were just me and my ol lady then yes pretty fun but not with 3 kids under the age of 10.
I have two under 3 y.o. At least we have a babysitter coming along. We may turn into degenerates and hang at Florabama for 4 days, leave the kids at home.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:48 am to tiger91
quote:
SO does this mean that "perhaps" being at the beach in Destin will be "better" than being at home south of Lafayette??
And I wish nothing bad on anyone.
I have no clue. Ever since August of 2016, I just come in these threads to see what rds dc says and pretend I understand all the fancy words.
This post was edited on 5/24/18 at 11:08 am
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:52 am to Motorboat
We have a 3 and 2 y/o. I'm not looking forward to being cooped up in a condo for 4 days in OB. In-laws are coming to help but starting to think we should have canceled.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:55 am to kballa6
We have a 3 year old and 10 year old. Not looking for to being stuck in the condo in Destin either. MIL is tagging along so the wife and I should be able to get out and drink a few days away.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:01 am to tiger91
quote:
SO does this mean that "perhaps" being at the beach in Destin will be "better" than being at home south of Lafayette??
It's unlikely to be better in Lafayette than Destin. There aren't any models that suggest Lafayette will be impacted in any significant way. However, it's more likely than not that Destin will be on the worse side of whatever comes out of this mess.
To put it another way, I would bet on Lafayette having better weather than Destin from Saturday to Wednesday, but neither should be life threatening or anything at this point.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:03 am to slackster
I don't believe models have settled on how far west this goes quite yet.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:04 am to 50_Tiger
Lafayette could use some rain.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:05 am to 50_Tiger
We should know a lot more at this time tomorrow.
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