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re: Alberto - Steadily Moving Inland
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:05 am to Janky
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:05 am to Janky
Rds, how long will that patch of dry air that dropped into the GOM from TX stay near the system? Seems to be keeping it from wrapping around. All the convection is blowing east of center.
This post was edited on 5/24/18 at 11:07 am
1
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:07 am to Motorboat
quote:
At least we have a babysitter coming along
Where did you find yalls babersitter if you dont mind me asking?
I thought my 3rd cousin who just started LSU would have been solid but not so much.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:07 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
I don't believe models have settled on how far west this goes quite yet.
That's because you're right.
How the system wraps into the ULL will have the final say in just how west it gets. Also, it's worth noting that both the GFS and Euro IR projection makes it take on a subtropical look once it gets interacting with the upper low, making predicting exact impacts rain wise difficult.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:10 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
how long will that patch of dry air that dropped into the GOM from TX stay near the system? Seems to be keeping it from wrapping around.
It is there for the duration, it is probably a reason that the models aren't showing crazy rainfall totals with this system.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:12 am to Chad504boy
Could this storm have any impact on the LSU home opener?
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:13 am to LSUvegasbombed
quote:
Where did you find yalls babersitter if you dont mind me asking?
Wife contacted her old sorority. Once you find one or more, keep it close to the vest. We have gotten plenty referred to us by the initial one and all have been great.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:14 am to Motorboat
quote:
Wife contacted her old sorority.
Do they provide sitting services strictly for the toddler to pre-teen age group or does their expertise extend to 480 month olds?
This post was edited on 5/24/18 at 11:16 am
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:16 am to rds dc
I'm in Tulum Mexico right now and it had been raining nonstop for 2 days.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:17 am to Duke
quote:
How the system wraps into the ULL will have the final say in just how west it gets.
You can see that in the 24hr change on the GFS. Different upper level setup allows system to track westward into SE LA/S. MS vs moving NE towards Atl.
12z yesterday
vs 12z today
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:31 am to 50_Tiger
quote:No, they haven't, but based on current projections, Lafayette is more in the clear than Destin.
I don't believe models have settled on how far west this goes quite yet.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:32 am to rds dc
So, rds dc, if I'm reading that forecast model correctly, it's still putting it just off of someone's coast by late Sunday/early Monday?
This post was edited on 5/24/18 at 11:33 am
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:42 am to TigerstuckinMS
12z GFS
Monday at 8am.
Accumulated rainfall through Tues night:
Monday at 8am.
Accumulated rainfall through Tues night:
This post was edited on 5/24/18 at 12:35 pm
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:43 am to TigerstuckinMS
Fl seems to me the magnet now for these tropical systems the last few years. Major hurricanes the last few years and already picking up tropical weather this early. I dont mind one or two every 5 or 10 years if they are cat 1's but we seen close calls lately. Just had my roof replaced so really dont need to see any for another 10 years or so 
This post was edited on 5/24/18 at 11:44 am
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:44 am to slackster
quote:
Zack Fradella @ZackFradellaWx
Latest GFS continues with another west shift, now nearly stalling what will likely be Alberto over South MS/SE LA. Very concerning flood threat could be developing. #lawx
11:22 AM - May 24, 2018
Well frick me
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:46 am to Jim Rockford
This is perfect. Just laid down some new sod. Cant wait to be a hermit this weekend, while my new grass get plenty of water.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:59 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
quote:
Zack Fradella @ZackFradellaWx
Latest GFS continues with another west shift, now nearly stalling what will likely be Alberto over South MS/SE LA. Very concerning flood threat could be developing. #lawx
11:22 AM - May 24, 2018
Well frick me
The flood threat is always a concern but I think maybe that tweet is not relaying the msg correctly. I wouldn't get too worked up just yet.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 12:00 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:
Latest GFS continues with another west shift, now nearly stalling what will likely be Alberto over South MS/SE LA. Very concerning flood threat could be developing. #lawx
11:22 AM - May 24, 2018
Well
Idk why y'all are tracking this. Peej doomed us all three days ago.
Posted on 5/24/18 at 12:06 pm to X123F45
quote:
Peej doomed us all three days ago.
Peej caused the 2016 flood.
quote:
I will stick by what I said earlier. BR won't get near 10-15 inches of rain, unless this system moves in a more northerly direction. I just don't see anything pulling it north.
The airport got 11.34 inches of rain the FIRST DAY.
This post was edited on 5/24/18 at 12:12 pm
Posted on 5/24/18 at 12:08 pm to TigerstuckinMS
quote:
@BigJoeBastardi
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Not monkeying around early morning outlook, Positions with wind speeds already out, Lines up nicely with phase 2/3 MJO
Posted on 5/24/18 at 12:09 pm to GEAUXmedic
What exactly does this mean?
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