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re: Where LSU fits in the top 8 national seed picture

Posted on 5/27/23 at 10:21 pm to
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
83138 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 10:21 pm to
Yeah i posted coastal as 8 before they lost. I feel like there is no one for that 8th spot. Its a slaughter spot for wake anyway

You could argue oklahoma st for that spot or even kentucky
This post was edited on 5/27/23 at 10:23 pm
Posted by CDawson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2017
20283 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 10:41 pm to
Voting Wake Forest number 1 reminds me of the days voters would put Boise State #1 just because they were undefeated.

Wake is not a 1 seed nor are they a threat to win it all.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
83138 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 10:42 pm to
Thats pretty fricking laughable.
They are what tennessee was last year without the notoriety and assholes

They absolutely deserve the #1 spot, by a mile


The acc is a very respectable baseball conference
This post was edited on 5/27/23 at 10:49 pm
Posted by drizztiger
Deal With it!
Member since Mar 2007
47956 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 10:45 pm to
quote:

Voting Wake Forest number 1 reminds me of the days voters would put Boise State #1 just because they were undefeated.

Wake is not a 1 seed nor are they a threat to win it all.


Best record in college baseball and #1 RPI in baseball =/= voting.
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
22617 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 10:49 pm to
quote:

You could argue oklahoma st for that spot or even kentucky


I have a hard time with Kentucky as even being considered for a top 8. They lost 6 out of 10 SEC series this year including 6 of their last 7.
Posted by GeauxLSU4
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2012
12222 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 10:55 pm to
quote:

Wake is not a 1 seed nor are they a threat to win it all.
Yeah a team with three legit starters and a damn good lineup isn’t a threat to win it all. Go back to playing with your legos.
Posted by mikelbr
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
49072 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 10:56 pm to
quote:

Best record in college baseball and #1 RPI in baseball =/= voting.



I really don't understand RPI at all.


This post was edited on 5/27/23 at 10:59 pm
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
25487 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 10:59 pm to
quote:


Ill be floored if stanford isnt given a top 8 because of geography and running away with the pac title


Stanford doesn't really deserve a top 8 at this point. Although there are only 6 teams that actually deserve a top 8. No matter who 7 and 8 are you will be able to point to someone below them that blows them away in certain categories.

With coastal removing themselves, I may be putting Stanford back in in the morning. It won't be because I feel like they deserve it though.
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
90064 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 11:00 pm to
crazy to think no team west of fayetteville has a host site
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
25487 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 11:00 pm to
quote:

I have a hard time with Kentucky as even being considered for a top 8.


They really shouldn't be. The parity is absolutely real this year though. Somebody is going to have to go in that spot.
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
25487 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 11:03 pm to
quote:

crazy to think no team west of fayetteville has a host site


Oklahoma St and Stanford will.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
83138 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 11:04 pm to
Dallas baptist also in the mix
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
83138 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 11:07 pm to
95% of the time the committee goes with rpi over all else, we’ll just have to see if they hold to that. If they do, kentucky gets a top 8.


Just remember, the committee is lazy and they dont dig deep
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
25487 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 11:16 pm to
quote:


Dallas baptist also in the mix


In the 16. Not top 8. 2-7 quad 1 is why I can't put them in.

If the committee goes for the best resumes 1-16, then I think I'll be pretty close tomorrow. I'm mind fricking myself though, because I'm splitting myself between what I know is the best resumes and what I think the committee will actually do. It's ridiculous that Stanford (and I am thinking Oklahoma St) will bump a more deserving team out of hosting a super, simply because they are from another conference.

Indiana St also should not host. Dallas Baptist shouldn't either, but those teams are in the discussion because the ACC and SEC make up 80% of the deserving teams.
This post was edited on 5/27/23 at 11:20 pm
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
25487 posts
Posted on 5/27/23 at 11:39 pm to
Couldn't sleep. So I took a stab at it tonight.

Final Prediction (I think. I may change my mind in the morning)

Here is my list of what I feel the committee SHOULD do.

My predictions as of 5/27 night:

1. Wake Forest
2. Florida
3. Arkansas
4. Clemson
5. LSU
6. Vandy
7. Miami
8. Virginia
9. Oklahoma St
10. Alabama
11. Stanford
12. Kentucky
13. Auburn
14. South Carolina
15. Coastal Carolina
16. Duke

That's 13 of the 16 from the SEC and ACC. I think this list would put the most deserving teams in the top 16, and the most deserving 8 with the chance to host a super.

This isn't what I think they WILL do though. The committee will spread out host sites, and give other conferences an opportunity. So I played the dangerous game of trying to get into their minds and guess what they will do. Here is what I came up with. This is my final predictions, as of now. I may feel different in the morning.


1. Wake Forest
2. Florida
3. Arkansas

(Splitting hairs between UF and Arkansas. It could go either way. UF has more Q1 wins. Arky is 1 spot ahead in RPI currently)


4. Clemson
5. Vandy
6. LSU

(I think Clemson is clear cut #4 now. Flip a coin between LSU and Vandy. Vandy has SOS. LSU has RPI and Q1 record. I'm just guessing that the committee awards Vandy's late success over LSU's late struggles)

7. Oklahoma St
8. Stanford




9. Miami
10. Alabama
11. Virginia
12. Kentucky
13. Coastal Carolina
14. Auburn
15. South Carolina
16. Indiana St
This post was edited on 5/27/23 at 11:40 pm
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
25578 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 12:12 am to
8 SEC teams would be a record number of hosts from one conference and you even had UTk in contention for a host site before they went 1 and done this week.

USCe is really the only one on the bubble now from the SEC to get a regional. just a matter of if the committee sticks to analytics or if they decide to spread the wealth and pull in another Midwest site with a Indiana St or Dallas Baptist getting to host. With USCe losing 5 straight weekends I think they ship them to another regional and the SEC gets 7 sites and the committee rationalizes their decision with that.

the one afterthought of SEC teams making a regional is A&M and they might win the SECt tomorrow after playing 6 straight days. This conference is so deep that really any one of them could win it all if they turn it on at the right time (see OM last year). Not hating the 60:1 odds on them to win the CWS right now.
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
22617 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 12:19 am to
I just can't see the SEC getting 8 host sites even if the numbers say they should.
Posted by jgriffith
Paradise Valley, Arizona
Member since Sep 2005
6905 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 1:09 am to
I’m afraid you’re right.
Posted by CoyoteSong
Colorado
Member since Aug 2021
2603 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 1:11 am to
Number 7

LSU has struggled down the stretch. Even the games LSU won have been very very close.
Posted by jgriffith
Paradise Valley, Arizona
Member since Sep 2005
6905 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 1:16 am to
Yes, 7 wouldn’t surprise me.
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