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re: LSU opens up a 11.5 favorite over MSU this weekend
Posted on 10/12/26 at 11:33 am to ApexTiger
Posted on 10/12/26 at 11:33 am to ApexTiger
I feel confident Kamario isn’t going to play this weekend and his backup is a walk on kid from Jackson Prep. Y’all can rest easy tigers.
If he does play he won’t be at 100% and look like he did against Bama where he couldn’t escape pressure and use his legs.
He’s been dealing with turf toe since the end of the Missouri game. It’s not a grade 3 as he would be out for the year but it’s severe enough that it’s clearly affecting his running ability and he may have injured it a bit worse against Alabama. I do know Lebby told some boosters the week of the Alabama game that if we were playing a sun belt or FCS school he would’ve sat out
If he does play he won’t be at 100% and look like he did against Bama where he couldn’t escape pressure and use his legs.
He’s been dealing with turf toe since the end of the Missouri game. It’s not a grade 3 as he would be out for the year but it’s severe enough that it’s clearly affecting his running ability and he may have injured it a bit worse against Alabama. I do know Lebby told some boosters the week of the Alabama game that if we were playing a sun belt or FCS school he would’ve sat out
Posted on 10/12/26 at 12:25 pm to ApexTiger
If Taylor's foot is healthy and Fluff Bothwell is healthy, State has a chance to win this.
Neither were healthy for the entire game against Alabama.
Neither were healthy for the entire game against Alabama.
Posted on 10/12/26 at 12:53 pm to vidtiger23
quote:
Kentucky averaged 5.9 yards per play. Take away the first run (had nothing to do with Minchie) and they averaged 4.8 which is decent but also not great and below the national average. Your comment is read like Kentucky tore our Defense up which is not really the case.
Stats are meaningless when we all watched Kentucky dog walk the LSU defense down the field at the end of the game and in overtime.
Muh stats muh stats!
Posted on 10/12/26 at 12:59 pm to ApexTiger
Oh great another huge spread that will make us look even worse when we don’t cover, much less win the game
Posted on 10/12/26 at 1:15 pm to ApexTiger
quote:
we should humble that freshman QB of theirs with pass rush
yep, just like they did against a pedestrian Kentucky qb the other night
that said: any degenerate gambler that doesn't jump on marooners
plus 11 1/2 is not a self respecting degenerate gambler...
quote:
Take away the first run
if the queen had nuts, she'd be the king
jeebus gripes man, what game did you watch
kentucky pushed that lsu defense around...
This post was edited on 10/12/26 at 1:22 pm
Posted on 10/12/26 at 1:17 pm to ApexTiger
11am kickoff, Lsu is always asleep at that time, ans its too many points. Miss St covers
Posted on 10/12/26 at 1:47 pm to frogpond11
Doesn’t make sense that we drop so much when we lost on the last play of the game vs UK. Against Ole Miss, it came to the last play of the game. Against Kentucky it came to the last play of the game. If we are favored by 12 points over the number 16 team, obviously the polls are garbage.
Posted on 10/12/26 at 2:15 pm to MOT
quote:
It would be over 17 if he was out.
Well he's out, so you're wrong. The line is 100% taking into account K1 and Fluff not playing.
This post was edited on 10/12/26 at 2:16 pm
Posted on 10/12/26 at 5:43 pm to BobLeeDagger
quote:In spite of what you read here, most PR models have LSU as a top 10-12 team and 8-10 points better than State on a neutral, which is what the current line reflects.
Well he's out, so you're wrong. The line is 100% taking into account K1 and Fluff not playing.
We’ll see who’s right when the injury report comes out Wednesday. If he’s questionable or out the line shouldn’t move since it’s already priced in according to you.
Also if he’s not listed at all the line should drop considerably according to you.
ETA: The above refers to Taylor. A RB wouldn’t cause the type of shift I’m referring to either way.
This post was edited on 10/12/26 at 5:44 pm
Posted on 10/12/26 at 10:17 pm to MOT
It’s an availability report, not an injury report.
I don’t think the line will move that much when he’s shown as doubtful. Probably 13.5 if I had to guess because people will chase steam
I don’t think the line will move that much when he’s shown as doubtful. Probably 13.5 if I had to guess because people will chase steam
This post was edited on 10/12/26 at 10:20 pm
Posted on 10/12/26 at 11:21 pm to ApexTiger
ESPN now lists LSU as a 14 point favorite. Apparently Kamario isn't playing Saturday. That's the only reason I can think of for the expanding spread.
Posted on 10/12/26 at 11:25 pm to MOT
Doesn't State get consideration for their bye week, while LSU was being humbled by Kentucky? I can envision them coming into TS rested and ready to rumble, and LSU hungover from Saturday's disappointment.
Posted on 10/12/26 at 11:37 pm to ApexTiger
Posted on 10/13/26 at 9:01 am to LSUDad
AJ Swann may start for State -- Lebby said that Kamario is doubtful for Saturday's game.
Is this Swann's time to shine? He was terrible in limited action with the Tigers in '24.
Is this Swann's time to shine? He was terrible in limited action with the Tigers in '24.
Posted on 10/13/26 at 9:04 am to tarzana
quote:
AJ Swann may start for State -- Lebby said that Kamario is doubtful for Saturday's game.
The former walk-on Parker "Billy" Puckett came in when KT went down vs Bama
If you were an "everydayer" you'd know this
Interesting that Jayden "I sued UF for $12M" Rashada is running 4th string for the Dogs
This post was edited on 10/13/26 at 9:06 am
Posted on 10/13/26 at 9:08 am to tarzana
Not how that works, the numbers bear out that teams coming off a bye win at a less than 50% rate, Lane mentioned this in his last presser (as did the bald one)
Posted on 10/13/26 at 10:54 am to Honkus
Rashada....man what an epic bust.
Posted on 10/13/26 at 11:08 am to filetgumbo
And I'd be VERY surprised if he can go. Also, their top rb is hurt..I think the Moo U offense will be very pedestrian.
This post was edited on 10/13/26 at 11:09 am
Posted on 10/13/26 at 11:21 am to ApexTiger
I think both teams come out a little slow because of the damn 11 am kickoff.
Posted on 10/13/26 at 11:25 am to frogpond11
The bookies' "line" isn't a prediction of the winner or the end result; it's a number that the bookies think will get half the bets on one side, and half on the other.Then the book makes money. That's why the line changes during the week, because too much money is going down on one side.
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