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re: LSU opens up a 11.5 favorite over MSU this weekend

Posted on 10/13/26 at 11:29 am to
Posted by stephendomalley
alexandria
Member since Dec 2005
6586 posts
Posted on 10/13/26 at 11:29 am to
it's good that we play at home. if taylor plays, you cannot count on blake baker to play aggressively. if we've learned anything, that's it.

i definitely have confidence that we win at home. but if taylor plays, it will be close. look at all those plays we gave up against kentucky. this defense generally plays well but we are having multiple big gaffes every game.

i'll take a one point win. If taylor can't go or is hobbled, then we should beat the spread.

Posted by 4orlsu
garden district New Orleans
Member since Dec 2008
378 posts
Posted on 10/13/26 at 11:51 am to
forth and 1 , no guts even less glory. I don't think that will ever happen in Tiger Stadium.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
83561 posts
Posted on 10/13/26 at 11:55 am to
quote:

The bookies' "line" isn't a prediction of the winner or the end result; it's a number that the bookies think will get half the bets on one side, and half on the other.Then the book makes money. That's why the line changes during the week, because too much money is going down on one side.

This tired line….explain the lines that dont get 50/50. Or all the lines that get 80/20 and still dont budge
Posted by X Carter Is Fast
Palm Beach, FL
Member since Jun 2006
1777 posts
Posted on 10/13/26 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

This tired line….explain the lines that dont get 50/50. Or all the lines that get 80/20 and still dont budge


there's a difference in bet quantity and dispersion of money. 80% of bets can be one way buy on 45% of the money
Posted by LSUDad
Still on the move
Member since May 2004
63176 posts
Posted on 10/13/26 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

AJ Swann may start for State -- Lebby said that Kamario is doubtful for Saturday's game.


Met his Mom and Dad at WalkOns before a game. Nice folks. They are from N. Ga. Come to find out, they know most of my family that lives up there.

Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96659 posts
Posted on 10/13/26 at 1:51 pm to
So, you're saying we beat MSU by 35 and then eek out a road win @ Auburn by 1 point and then lose 4 games in November?

Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
83561 posts
Posted on 10/13/26 at 1:52 pm to
Im referring to the money, they dont get 50/50 alot of the time
Posted by Tigers Win Again
Middle of Louisiana
Member since Sep 2026
163 posts
Posted on 10/13/26 at 2:09 pm to
To frogponds point...

No, the AP voters make no sense with rankings. Shouldn't Texas have dropped at least 12 spots like LSU did?

Or should Texas have dropped even more because they were on a neutral field while LSU played on the road?

Alabama not dropping I understand. That was a very close game to the now ranked #1 team.
Posted by Park duck
Sip
Member since Oct 2018
667 posts
Posted on 10/13/26 at 2:13 pm to
One of 3 possibilities to happen Saturday.
1)Fluff and Kamario are healthy State wins by 20 which sends tigahs into total meltdown mode and yall will here about getting grinded for 6 months(Im not going to lie, this is what I'm hoping for)
2)Fluff and Kamario don't play and tigahs cover and ya'll think y'all are back on track but lose on down the road.
3) Billy Pucket starts and shows the world what a badass walkon from MAIS an do and pulls a KJ Costello (would be awesome but very unlikely)
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