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Started By
Message
Dr. Anthony Fauci now says COVID-19 mortality rate closer to "very bad flu"
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:23 am
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:23 am
The skinny from his report in the New England Journal of Medicine:
- 80% of COVID-19 cases have minor/no symptoms
- 20% (or less) have symptoms/test positive
- US case fatality rate now = 1.4% (deaths/confirmed cases)
- Implies US total FR = 20% x CFR or 0.28%
- US flu TFR (CDC stat) = 0.14%
- COVID-19 TFR = 2x regular flu
LINK
LINK
- 80% of COVID-19 cases have minor/no symptoms
- 20% (or less) have symptoms/test positive
- US case fatality rate now = 1.4% (deaths/confirmed cases)
- Implies US total FR = 20% x CFR or 0.28%
- US flu TFR (CDC stat) = 0.14%
- COVID-19 TFR = 2x regular flu
LINK
LINK
31
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:24 am to RollTide1987
SFP and the rest of the wish-casters are in shambles right now.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:25 am to RollTide1987
So we need more toilet paper then?
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:25 am to RollTide1987
quote:
Dr. Anthony Fauci now says COVID-19 mortality rate closer to "very bad flu"
Where did he say that?
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:26 am to RollTide1987
quote:
- US case fatality rate now = 1.4% (deaths/confirmed cases)
- Implies US total FR = 20% x CFR or 0.28%
- US flu TFR (CDC stat) = 0.14%
- COVID-19 TFR = 2x regular flu
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:28 am to Bluefin
PFFFT He's just a Doctor. I read a Housewife from Georgia that's been on google who says different
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:30 am to RollTide1987
1) that still isn’t great and mean this is nothing to worry about since it’s not like we all got annual covid shots this year
2) we been over this too many times to count, but this isn’t the problem. The problem is being unable to get the treatment you need because of the quick spread of the virus and number of cases.
Can we just not downplay this so we can all take it seriously, get this under control, and go about our lives sooner?
2) we been over this too many times to count, but this isn’t the problem. The problem is being unable to get the treatment you need because of the quick spread of the virus and number of cases.
Can we just not downplay this so we can all take it seriously, get this under control, and go about our lives sooner?
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:31 am to RollTide1987
He says "may be" and it's based upon assumptions.
It's still too early to know with certainty.
It's still too early to know with certainty.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:34 am to DollaChoppa
we're in the first inning of this and people are acting like it's time to bring the closer in
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:35 am to RollTide1987
So After closing down everything, we are battling a bad case of the flu? Sounds better than going on with business as usual and having those numbers jump.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:36 am to RollTide1987
The argument is about to shift how this would be so much worse if we did nothing.
And yes, there is merit to that argument.
There is merit to giving everyone $60k base income will make their living conditions better.
Neither one of those statements factor in the longterm consequences.
And yes, there is merit to that argument.
There is merit to giving everyone $60k base income will make their living conditions better.
Neither one of those statements factor in the longterm consequences.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:37 am to RollTide1987
This can’t be right. Most of the people on this board just will not survive this pandemic apocalypse. We are all doomed.... doomed I tell you.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:38 am to Pilot Tiger
If the ninth inning is in July we can’t shutdown the economy until then
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:39 am to RollTide1987
Based on the tracker your numbers are a little high still.
14% of those tested are infected, Mike Pence even announced this in the conference last night. NY is a little higher closer to 23% but most other states are closer to 8%.
Also the flu stats are measured by expected cases and deaths. Corona is actually measuring by hard stats right now which makes it seem more lethal. If anything this is less infectious and lethal than the flu.
14% of those tested are infected, Mike Pence even announced this in the conference last night. NY is a little higher closer to 23% but most other states are closer to 8%.
Also the flu stats are measured by expected cases and deaths. Corona is actually measuring by hard stats right now which makes it seem more lethal. If anything this is less infectious and lethal than the flu.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:40 am to fightin tigers
It goes back to the "if we handle this right it'll seem like an overreaction" line of thought.
We don't know just how bad it could be if we didn't take these measures. If s healthcare system gets overwhelmed the number of deaths skyrockets, as we saw in Italy. If we keep the healthcare system treading water then the CFR will be substantially lower.
We don't know just how bad it could be if we didn't take these measures. If s healthcare system gets overwhelmed the number of deaths skyrockets, as we saw in Italy. If we keep the healthcare system treading water then the CFR will be substantially lower.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:41 am to Number 9 Fan
quote:That's not what it says. Again, as others have said, the problem is that this spreads more widely than than the flu
So After closing down everything, we are battling a bad case of the flu? Sounds better than going on with business as usual and having those numbers jump
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:42 am to Number 9 Fan
quote:That's not what it says. Again, as others have said, the problem is that this spreads more widely than than the flu and can more easily overwhelm hospitals. That can lead to unnecessary deaths.
So After closing down everything, we are battling a bad case of the flu? Sounds better than going on with business as usual and having those numbers jump
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:42 am to RollTide1987
Well no fricking shite.
Thank the media for the panic of the world coming to an end causes all the fricking stupid people to hoard on toilet paper and baby wipes.
Thank the media for the panic of the world coming to an end causes all the fricking stupid people to hoard on toilet paper and baby wipes.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:43 am to Jake88
quote:
That can lead to unnecessary deaths.
So some deaths are necessary?
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:45 am to Number 9 Fan
quote:
So After closing down everything
Everything isn’t closed down bruh
Markets still open and we are in a bull market again.
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