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Message
re: CDC Just released Influenza numbers for this years flu season
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:55 am to Darth_Vader
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:55 am to Darth_Vader
quote:
Your post is a prime example of how gullible and dumb we’ve become as a society. Just because you read something that said “according to scientists” they take it as gospel truth.
I didn’t say I believed it, but Trump and a lot of other smart people seem to believe it.
I just wish I were like you snd could read scientific reports and immediately know what to believe. Keep us posted.
0
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:55 am to Darth_Vader
quote:There are multiple people on here who believe the “half a million deaths” prediction.
The current global death count is just under 9,000.
You honestly think the US possibly could have double that number?
This website is worse than Facebook with its doomsdaying.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:58 am to Scruffy
quote:
This website is worse than Facebook with its doomsdaying.
Which website are you reading? This place is like a bunch of flat earthers talking about how ridiculous a globe is.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:01 pm to Sport Wood
How long is flu season? Doesnt it start in October? If so, that makes about 5 full months.
Wasnt the first US case reported sometime in February? In either case, we are atleast a month in to this Corona thing, with a little over 100 deaths.
I certainly respect medical professionals opinions on this. After all, they know a lot more than me on this issue. I just dont see the corona reaching 22,000 deaths in 5 months here. Sorry
Wasnt the first US case reported sometime in February? In either case, we are atleast a month in to this Corona thing, with a little over 100 deaths.
I certainly respect medical professionals opinions on this. After all, they know a lot more than me on this issue. I just dont see the corona reaching 22,000 deaths in 5 months here. Sorry
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:04 pm to Scruffy
quote:
There are multiple people on here who believe the “half a million deaths” prediction.
This website is worse than Facebook with its doomsdaying.
“But exponential growth and it’s going to get worse just wait a few more months everyone please stay home.”
And of course when the death toll isn’t astronomical they will just say it’s because of the ridiculous measures we have put in place.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:04 pm to QJenk
And Fwiw, which may be nothing. But I would rather have the corona anyday over the Flu. Most people with Corona have no to mild symptoms.
The last time I had the flu it bitched me out, had me in the bed in the feedle position wanting to cry like a toddler for an entire week. The flu fricking sucks.
The last time I had the flu it bitched me out, had me in the bed in the feedle position wanting to cry like a toddler for an entire week. The flu fricking sucks.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:20 pm to BOSCEAUX
quote:
You have zero clue how many people are infected since the vast majority never show symptoms. People have lost their fricking minds.
Sure we do, based on testing that was done elsewhere.
We have a pretty good idea of what percentage requires medical attention.
I know it does impede on your ability to just assume everyone has already had it though.
Sorry not sorry.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:24 pm to BOSCEAUX
quote:
Seeing is believing and so far the numbers just don’t back it up. Hospitals should be overwhelmed by now.
Any basis for that statement?
Or is that just your experienced opinion?
And let’s be honest, if it goes bad anywhere, an excuse will be found to explain why it’s not really indicative of anything.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:25 pm to Volvagia
It has been over two months. When should we expect the breaking of the healthcare system?
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:25 pm to Sport Wood
quote:Absolutely not.
Does anyone think we will have 22,000 corona related deaths?
Less than 10,000.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:29 pm to ashy larry
quote:A very small percentage
3) what percent of people get hospitalized for the flu?
quote:A very small percentage
4) what percent of people get hospitalized for covid-19?
Don't worry baw, there will be plenty of toilet paper when the next shipment at Walmart arrives.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:33 pm to SabiDojo
quote:If cases keep doubling every day from now until May 5th, over 13 trillion Americans will have coronas. Where will we get enough toilet paper?
exponential growth
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:35 pm to upgrayedd
quote:
Can we stop the "we saved x amount of lives by doing this" routine?
It's impossible to prove something that never happened.
When it is all said and done it will probably be tough to know if we overreacted.
But if we don’t overreact, it will be very obvious.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:38 pm to ashy larry
quote:
3) what percent of people get hospitalized for the flu?
4) what percent of people get hospitalized for covid-19?
Around 0.05% vs ~5%, with an estimated 2% of total cases needing an ICU.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:38 pm to PhiTiger1764
I'm going with 145,000 deaths. I truly think Americans will not be quarentined. This is the price we will pay for our arrogance.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:40 pm to Sport Wood
quote:If you're referring to the U.S. only, then no, I don't.
Does anyone think we will have 22,000 corona related deaths?
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:42 pm to Volvagia
quote:Care to comment on the Iceland general population testing showing 1% of all Icelanders have CV19?
Sure we do, based on testing that was done elsewhere.
I keep posting that info, but so far no one seems to care about that critical piece of information. Based on their data, the percentage requiring medical attention mirrors the flu percentage requiring medical attention.
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 12:43 pm
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:51 pm to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
quote:
Care to comment on the Iceland general population testing showing 1% of all Icelanders have CV19?
I keep posting that info, but so far no one seems to care about that critical piece of information. Based on their data, the percentage requiring medical attention mirrors the flu percentage requiring medical attention.
I was actually hoping it would be more like 15-25% of their population had it, with only a low percentage having symptoms. If only 1% have it then many more will have to get it before it stops spreading.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 1:00 pm to baldona
I'm more referring to the math:
Iceland total population 364,620
1% of 364,620 = 3,646
When Iceland records its first death the CFR will be at least 1/3646
That is at most an estimated CFR of 0.027%
We are still a few months away from herd immunity.
Iceland total population 364,620
1% of 364,620 = 3,646
When Iceland records its first death the CFR will be at least 1/3646
That is at most an estimated CFR of 0.027%
We are still a few months away from herd immunity.
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 1:01 pm
Posted on 3/18/20 at 1:13 pm to NYNolaguy1
quote:
Current rates would have to continue past April 18th for this to cross 22,000 deaths.
If things continue growing at the current rate, in 28 days we would have ~60,000 deaths. That's a huge 'if' though, I'm not saying it will continue at that rate.
edit: My bad, you were right. I was using 25% growth, but ~20% is a better fit to the data.
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 2:25 pm
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