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Started By
Message
Why doesnt Iran sink tankers or cargo vessels in the SOH?
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:12 am
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:12 am
It would seem that would send the most powerful message possible......so why havent they????
18
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:25 am to trinidadtiger
quote:
It would seem that would send the most powerful message possible......so why havent they????
They accomplish the same effect with less consequence by shutting down the Straight.
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:25 am to trinidadtiger
Serious question: do they have the capability to do that?
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:26 am to trinidadtiger
Why? The threat is enough for their goals
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:30 am to trinidadtiger
Sinking one of their neighbors tankers would probably get everyone in the region rat packing Iran and anything Iranian. The neighbors would probably light up all that stored oil and delete Kharg island.
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:33 am to joshnorris14
I just need to understand Iran "shutting down the strait", Does this qualify as shutting down......
quote:
Sunday (June 21): 5 to 12 vessels transited the strait, with many remaining vessels disabling their tracking transponders to avoid detection.
Saturday (June 20): 26 to 55 transits were recorded as ships attempted to clear the area
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:33 am to trinidadtiger
because they are bluffing
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:33 am to Victor R Franko
Iran's Arab neighbors have been proven to be pretty impotent in this war. Their militaries suck.
But there is certainly a MAD scenario. That scenario is very, very bad for the state of humanity on Earth.
But there is certainly a MAD scenario. That scenario is very, very bad for the state of humanity on Earth.
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:33 am to RohanGonzales
quote:
because they are bluffing
And bluffing is working
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:35 am to trinidadtiger
The answer is simple: they can’t.
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:43 am to Victor R Franko
What gulf countries besides Iran are reporting the SoH is shutdown? Anyone?
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:45 am to trinidadtiger
Because we would blow the shite out of em, then all leverage is lost.
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:47 am to Victor R Franko
quote:
What gulf countries besides Iran are reporting the SoH is shutdown? Anyone?
Just look at the shipping traffic. It's public information.
Posted on 6/22/26 at 7:21 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
But there is certainly a MAD scenario. That scenario is very, very bad for the state of humanity on Earth.
Well, that is a long shot there, unless you are speculating Iran would do EMP event in the USA
Posted on 6/22/26 at 7:29 am to trinidadtiger
Why would a country who sells oil want to blow up oil tankers? Especially if they're full. That's just a bad business move
Posted on 6/22/26 at 7:30 am to Alltheway Tigers!
quote:
Well, that is a long shot there, unless you are speculating Iran would do EMP event in the USA
Nothing of the sort.
Iran sinks tanker
Arab Gulf states his Iran's petro infrastructure
Iran levels multiple desalinization plants and the petro structure of multiple Arab Gulf States.
This would disrupt petro necessary for the world economy without any relief for years. That's a doomsday scenario for the current state of humanity on Earth.
Posted on 6/22/26 at 7:31 am to trinidadtiger
quote:
I just need to understand Iran "shutting down the strait", Does this qualify as shutting down......
Compare those numbers to the numbers of vessels that transited the Strait before the start of the war. There’s a significant difference.
Posted on 6/22/26 at 7:32 am to joshnorris14
quote:I thought it was crooked.
They accomplish the same effect with less consequence by shutting down the ( Straight).
Posted on 6/22/26 at 7:32 am to Victor R Franko
quote:
What gulf countries besides Iran are reporting the SoH is shutdown? Anyone?
What I can tell you from personal experience, one of the desal plants in Iraq has been absolutely crippled as a result of this blockade/shutdown/whatever you want to call it.
Now, once again, millions of people are being left out in the cold because their tankers can't pass the Strait.
Source: Me b/c I'm a contractor on the project
Posted on 6/22/26 at 7:33 am to trinidadtiger
quote:
Does this qualify as shutting down......
quote:
Sunday (June 21): 5 to 12 vessels transited the strait, with many remaining vessels disabling their tracking transponders to avoid detection.
Saturday (June 20): 26 to 55 transits were recorded as ships attempted to clear the area
Everyone promoting Trump celebrated the June 20 data, and that is about half the 2025 rates
The fact that Saturday's rates were cut by 80% isn't a great sign that the SOH is "open". That's 20% of 50% of 2025 rates.
This post was edited on 6/22/26 at 7:34 am
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