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What are the chances Trump gets impeached?

Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:23 pm
Posted by al_cajun
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2017
2442 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:23 pm
Break it down for a political novice.
Posted by bamarep
Member since Nov 2013
51806 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:23 pm to
Zero to none
Posted by Covingtontiger77
Member since Dec 2015
10247 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:23 pm to
Posted by Champs
Geaux Tigers
Member since Feb 2008
11707 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:23 pm to
0.350
Posted by Brosef Stalin
Member since Dec 2011
39190 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:25 pm to
95%. They've been talking about it since Trump won the election. Its time to put up or shut up.
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
34729 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:25 pm to
Very high. There’s no turning back
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89518 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

Break it down for a political novice.



Right now - impeachment - is relatively high. They have to appease their base and they're pretty far along right now.

Removal? I think there is virtually no chance of that at this point. Not 0%, but statistically 0% unless something drastically changes in the Senate.
Posted by DeltaDoc
The Delta
Member since Jan 2008
16089 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:26 pm to
100% House impeaches and about 20% he’s removed (if Senate vote was private that number would be closer to 70%).
Posted by FredBear
Georgia
Member since Aug 2017
14989 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:27 pm to
Impeached? Possibly

Removed? No chance


The democrats in the house may yet make the dumb mistake of going through with it but it would be dead on arrival in the senate.


It's a liberal pipe dream
Posted by Rex Feral
Athens
Member since Jan 2014
11318 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:27 pm to
Can you have a negative chance percentage?
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
15055 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:28 pm to
He will be impeached. It is not near clear that the votes are there in the Senate for removal. We have crossed into territory where the Deep State indeed exists and coordinates with the democrats and the press to at the least drive down a sitting presidents approval and at most get him removed for political reasons. If ever another country wanted to take advantage of our inability to get along with each other in this country, now is the time. So you know the Russians can probably go in and take more parts of Ukraine or Lithuania or some such.
Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
22144 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:28 pm to
There is a 100% chance of impeachment because the Democrats control the House. That’s really all there is to this impeachment issue.
Posted by oleheat
Sportsman's Paradise
Member since Mar 2007
13447 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:28 pm to
Impeached? Good chance.


Trump eventually removed from office as a result? No chance.


Democrats eventually removed from office as a result? Good chance.
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
30112 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:29 pm to
This observer is not convinced of it at all. Im of the opinion that the slow rolling from Pelosi to this point is for the desperate purpose of giving Nadler and others more time to try and get hands on Mueller grand jury info, as well as tax info.....in hopes of merging some other b.S. along those lines into Ukraine b.s. Because Ukraine on its own I believe seems terribly weak even to Pelosi.
Posted by NoHoTiger
So many to kill, so little time
Member since Nov 2006
45736 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

Democrats eventually removed from office as a result? Good chance.

This is my hope. Those who vote to impeach get hammered in their elections. And those in the Senate who vote for removal, get the same treatment.

frick them all for focusing on this crap for 3 years and wasting a metric frick ton of tax payer money. The next time Congress asks for more money from taxes or whatever, the amount of money they've spent crap should be thrown in their faces.
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
11806 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

What are the chances Trump gets impeached?


first of all, getting impeached does not mean removed from office. Impeached is like getting indited, you are not guilty until tried and found guilty.

so the change of getting impeached is solely up to Pelosi ad whether she can whip the votes then call for the official impeachment vote. since dems hold majority, its up to Pelosi

if you are asking "removal from office" then you need 2/3 of senators present (or 67 if all 100 there) to find the president guilty. Since there are only 47 dems/dem leaning indies, then 10 republicans would have to jump party. if that happens, then you can kiss the Republican party goodbye, so it aint happening barring 100% clear cut "high Crimes"
This post was edited on 11/6/19 at 3:38 pm
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6--Brazos River Backwater
Member since Sep 2015
26157 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:37 pm to
95%. Per NPR's "Day Six" news hour from Canada broadcast Nov. 2, 2019.

Trump's "Impeach-O-Meter" score rocketed upward to 0.95; contrast his score of 0.10 on July 27. It's a done deal.
Posted by Tiger Prawn
Member since Dec 2016
21896 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:38 pm to
Very high that he gets impeached. Just requires a simple majority in the House to vote to impeach.

Slim to none he actually gets removed from office. If the House votes to impeach, it then goes to the Senate for a trial and it would take a 2/3 vote to remove from office. That means every Democrat plus 20 Republicans in the senate would have to vote to remove. Not happening
Posted by oleheat
Sportsman's Paradise
Member since Mar 2007
13447 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:38 pm to
quote:

This is my hope. Those who vote to impeach get hammered in their elections. And those in the Senate who vote for removal, get the same treatment. frick them all for focusing on this crap for 3 years and wasting a metric frick ton of tax payer money. The next time Congress asks for more money from taxes or whatever, the amount of money they've spent crap should be thrown in their faces.


Since he's been in office, all those people have done is act like jealous high school girls hell-bent on undermining EVERYTHING HE DOES. That's it.

They put party before country- which means themselves before country. Hopefully at least some of their constituents who aren't TOTAL idiots will realize this, and send their arse home. One can hope, anyway.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51586 posts
Posted on 11/6/19 at 3:39 pm to
40% in the House (this will likely change depending on what happens in the open hearings). 0% in the Senate.
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