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re: Reminder Mark Halperin will have Selzer in at noon to discuss her Iowa poll

Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:20 pm to
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
24159 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:20 pm to
Did selzer say that?? Wtf
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
21262 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:21 pm to
She will ruin her credibility for some Democrat money and approval
Posted by cajuntiger1010
Member since Jan 2015
14445 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:23 pm to
Money talks.

Also of course you have to weight polls….

Your average Iowan farmer baw is not going to pick up the phone on average compared to the local Karen librarian in Des Moines
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
21262 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

Assumes a big shift to a D electorate based on the people she got to answer the phone.

I just heard that Democrats are more likely to answer the phones for every poll during any election, lol
Posted by Harry Ballz 2024
Appalachia
Member since Nov 2024
777 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:23 pm to
I SWEAR I’M ONLY BEING PAID BY THE DE MOINES REGISTER!!
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177356 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:24 pm to
Newt's one of the smartest politicians in history. He's fluently and kindly calling her full of shite
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
24159 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:24 pm to
Newt is being a mealy mouthed cuck right now

Hammer this bitch on the early voting swing from 2020 +12!!
Posted by Logician
Grinning Colonizer
Member since Jul 2013
4953 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

She will ruin her credibility for some Democrat money and approval
what we’ve seen unequivocally in this election cycle is that a liberal white woman will ruin their credibility, comfort, and their country for approval and attention.
This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 12:28 pm
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16410 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

Halperin is a DEM


Huh?

What?

Where you found that?
This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 12:29 pm
Posted by brad8504
Member since Jul 2004
11715 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

Your average Iowan farmer baw is not going to pick up the phone on average compared to the local Karen librarian in Des Moines


With harvest still going in some areas, it’s unlikely they’re concerned with answering anonymous calls while they’re in a combine. That’s if they have cell service to begin with.
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
29860 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:29 pm to
So basically, she has no idea what she's doing.

Got it.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177356 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:30 pm to
The comment section on youtube is awesome
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

This is the first time I've seen this"


And that's all you needed to know she is a fraud
Posted by Indiangensing
Member since Nov 2017
2366 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:32 pm to
Trump will win Iowa.
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
31018 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:33 pm to
So basically she uses demographic weightings but not party and lets the respondents/likely voters do the talking from there. And the only demographic shift this time from her prior poll was she had more rural likely voters than urban.

Maybe she’s right but it seems like there’s a 99.99% chance her number of likely voters just skewed way too heavily to democrats this time.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

Newt's one of the smartest politicians in history. He's fluently and kindly calling her full of shite


To polite. Did not mention the early vote data and 130,000 increase in Republican Registrations. Nice does not work in politics anymore. Newt was acting like he wanted to smash
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
24159 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:34 pm to
“I know nothing about PRITZKER knowing my poll results”
Posted by cajuntiger1010
Member since Jan 2015
14445 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

Trump will win Iowa.

By 10+
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
29860 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:44 pm to
This may be the most ridiculous thing I've ever heard. This lady never took a statistics class.

I have access to a dialer and millions a phone numbers...

about to start a polling operation but only use white men with the name 'Bubba' for my data set
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
24159 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:48 pm to
Halperin now saying Ann is better because her methodology is old fashioned
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