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re: Reminder Mark Halperin will have Selzer in at noon to discuss her Iowa poll

Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:27 pm to
Posted by IvoryBillMatt
Member since Mar 2020
10132 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:27 pm to
Trump supporter here. Good for Selzer for taking questions and good for Halperin for hosting. This seems like a public service all the way around.

I hope her poll is an anomaly, but doesn't matter one way or the other. My guess is that Trump will be declared winner in Iowa on Tuesday.

Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
68427 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:27 pm to
No dissent is allowed on this board right now.
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
24154 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:28 pm to
Look at early voting data across the country showing huge gains in all battlegrounds by R’s and tell me we’re silencing dissent

Just don’t be stupid and you won’t get dogpiled
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:29 pm to
Narrative. That's what the Selzer poll purpose is to create a false narrative
Posted by Pandy Fackler
Member since Jun 2018
21114 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

Trump supporter here. Good for Selzer for taking questions and good for Halperin for hosting. This seems like a public service all the way around.

I hope her poll is an anomaly, but doesn't matter one way or the other. My guess is that Trump will be declared winner in Iowa on Tuesday.



He likely will be, but I think the bigger concern is that even if he wins Iowa by lower than expected margins, it may be a bad harbinger for neighboring states. Selzer was wise to not speculate on that. She's leaving that to the rest of us.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:36 pm to
Why are you worried about the Selzer poll but no Mention of Emerson +10.5 Trump who is A + rated and better results since 2020 in Iowa. Selzer also was off 6 points in the Kim Reynolds race for Iowa Governor


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This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 2:38 pm
Posted by Pandy Fackler
Member since Jun 2018
21114 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

Why are you worried about the Selzer poll but no Mention of Emerson who is A + rated and better results since 2020 in Iowa. Selzer also was off 6 points in the Kim Reynolds race for Iowa Governor


I'm not worried about any of them man. I'm talking about the Selzer poll because that's what the thread is about.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

but I think the bigger concern is that even if he wins Iowa by lower than expected margins


See my above post. Why are you bedwetting over Selzer but not excited about a higher rated Emerson poll since 2020 in Iowa. Explain your Logic
Posted by boomtown143
Member since May 2019
9407 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

Selzer polled more D’s than R’s.. Iowa is an R+10 state.

Her reputation will be down the gutter now


She got her payday and Kamala got what she needed.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

I'm not worried about any of them man


You clearly are. Explain your logic for worrying about Selzer but discarding the higher rated Emerson poll released that shows Trump +10.5. I need that answer Pandy
This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 2:45 pm
Posted by Pandy Fackler
Member since Jun 2018
21114 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

quote:
but I think the bigger concern is that even if he wins Iowa by lower than expected margins


See my above post. Why are you bedwetting over Selzer but not excited about a higher rated Emerson poll since 2020 in Iowa. Explain your Logic


No one's "bed wetting" man, try and settle down. And have the stones to quote the entire post.

The idea that the Iowa poll may be a harbinger for what may happen in other states came up in the interview, that's why I'm discussing it. The thread is about the interview and the Selzer poll.

We're all just chewing on it, that's it. Just like all of these polls, the Selzer poll may mean something, or it may mean nothing.
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
24154 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:48 pm to
Harbinger for other states.. okay, you’d want to look at the other data if you’re looking for the truth, right?

Why do you ignore the data when presented with it and say you only want to talk about her fake poll?
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
63075 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

She says she used the same methodology she always uses and she stands by the results. Maybe she's wrong, we'll see.


What would it mean for a poll to be off by 9 or 10 points?
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
7918 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

Her reputation will be down the gutter now


I'm pretty sure that she knew that before releasing it.

I wonder what the tradeoff was for her. You know it had to be something big for her to do that.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

We're all just chewing on it, that's it. Just like all of these polls, the Selzer poll may mean something, or it may mean nothing.



Bro, You are still not answering the question. I will give you one more chance to answer the question if you don't then you are clearly trolling. What is your logic for worrying about Selzer poll but discarding the higher rated Emerson poll released that shows Trump +10.5. I need that answer Pandy
Posted by Pandy Fackler
Member since Jun 2018
21114 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

Harbinger for other states.. okay, you’d want to look at the other data if you’re looking for the truth, right?

Why do you ignore the data when presented with it and say you only want to talk about her fake poll?


Holy shite, this gal has you in knots man. Wow.

This is a thread about the Selzer interview and poll. I haven't ignored any data. This board is filthy with one poll after another and I've looked at all of them.

Right now, we're talking about this particular poll. A poll that has profoundly fricked with your head.
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
7918 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

The idea that the Iowa poll may be a harbinger for what may happen in other states came up in the interview, t


LMAO

Grasping at straws. Just all of the sudden, out of the blue with nothing changed, these states starting flipping by several points.....LOL.

Go back to DU.
Posted by Pandy Fackler
Member since Jun 2018
21114 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

Bro, You are still not answering the question. I will give you one more chance to answer the question if you don't then you are clearly trolling. What is your logic for worrying about Selzer poll but discarding the higher rated Emerson poll released that shows Trump +10.5. I need that answer Pandy


I've answered you, you fricking drool cup wearing helmet head. I'm not worrying about the Selzer poll or any other poll you retard. I'm discussing the Selzer poll and interview because that's the topic.

Are you ficking stupid?
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
24154 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

Holy shite, this gal has you in knots man. Wow. This is a thread about the Selzer interview and poll. I haven't ignored any data

You JUST said you ACTUALLY think her fake poll is a harbinger for what’s to come, hence, you’re using it to project the country

Iowa +12
RI +23.4
NC +6.9
AZ +8.8
PA +17

Here is data you are ignoring. Real votes
This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 2:58 pm
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
21068 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

No dissent is allowed on this board right now.


I see plenty of dissent. We don't have to like it though.
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