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re: Death rates in Italy and the US are going in opposite directions?

Posted on 3/23/20 at 11:55 pm to
Posted by RobbBobb
Member since Feb 2007
34286 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 11:55 pm to
quote:

So, what’s the current theory on what’s going on there?

Hug a Chinese Day, was an actual fricking thing
Posted by Porky
Member since Aug 2008
19141 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 11:58 pm to
quote:

I mean over the last 3 weeks the only graphs I've seen are those insipid hockey stick graphs comparing cases in each county.

LINK
Italians are still dying daily by the hundreds.
This post was edited on 3/24/20 at 12:23 am
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
65864 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 12:04 am to
quote:

wait until May 1st


Absolutely not.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
139003 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 12:14 am to
quote:

Exactly...Italy is getting hit hard because
No.

Italy is getting hit hard because they have 1/3rd of our ICU beds/ventilators per capita. That lack of critical care capacity is coupled with all the inherent inefficiencies of a socialized medical system. They have been overwhelmed.

BTW, as we see the Italian system in action, it's worth noting Italy's healthcare system is regarded by the World Health Organization's as the 2nd best in the world after France.

Food for thought next time some nitwit quotes various WHO medical rankings to tell you how terrible US medical quality is.
This post was edited on 3/24/20 at 12:15 am
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173789 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 12:17 am to
quote:



It'll go down.

Logic would say that it will go up if anything

There are still a number of people that are in the treatment window (i.e. neither survived nor died, outcome unknown) not all of them are going to live.
Posted by messyjesse
Member since Nov 2015
2297 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 12:19 am to
Hopefully a pandemic like this kicks the arse of all the developed nations with aging populations to start fricking like rabbits.
Posted by Shaft Williams
Central City, LA
Member since Jul 2010
10360 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 12:19 am to
The WHO said Italy had the #2 healthcare system in the world before this. But, after talking to my Epidemiologist friend in Europe and finding out the head of WHO is DS, you can see now that #2 ranking was a load of crap.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
139003 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 12:20 am to
quote:

They live longer because
Do they?
Do you have stats on Italians vs Italian Americans?

There is this thing called genetics . . .
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173789 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 12:20 am to
quote:

Hopefully a pandemic like this kicks the arse of all the developed nations with aging populations to start fricking like rabbits.



Still have no idea what you mean by this
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
139003 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 12:23 am to
quote:

you can see now that #2 ranking was a load of crap.


Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182501 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 12:24 am to
quote:

NYNolaguy1


It's weird how you have cheered this thing on
Posted by Redleg Guy
Member since Nov 2012
2536 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 12:27 am to
It is crazy how Italy had over 600 die today...
And it is considered a good day
Posted by NorCali
Member since Feb 2015
1734 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 12:45 am to
There is something that could be a factor in the difference in deaths and that is a therapeutic intervention that US docs are going to off-label.
Hydroxycholoquine and azithromycin.

There are real shortages in some states already from a high rate of prescribing. As an example See notice from North Carolina board of pharmacists below. It will be very hard to track in real time how many US cases get/got these drugs, but it sure would be interesting to see.

In the US, which is not socialized, Prescribers are free to prescribe off-label and patients can get access to these drugs, especially because they are generic and cheap and most likely do not require many secondary approvals from insurance.

Italy, however, is socialized, and therefore off-label isn't an option for the vast majority of patients, unless they can somehow access from private pharmacies in places like switzerland.


PRESCRIPTIONS FOR HYDROXYCHLOROQUINE, CHLOROQUINE, AZITHROMYCIN, KALETRA, AND OTHER MEDICATIONS. Board staff and public health officials at the North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services are aware of numerous reports from pharmacists across the state concerning new prescriptions for hydroxychloroquine, chloroquine, azithromycin, Kaletra, and potentially other medications – often in large quantities with a high number of refills -- to respond to the COVID-19 pandemic. Reports include these prescriptions being issued by prescribers for themselves and family members, and for persons who have not been exposed to or infected by the COVID-19 virus. Board staff and public health officials are aware that some prescription drug wholesalers are reporting shortages of these drugs. Board staff are aware that at least three other state boards of pharmacies have passed emergency rules limiting the circumstances under which these drugs may be dispensed, and their quantities.

All health care providers are reminded that, while these drugs are being investigated as potential COVID-19 treatments, there is at this date only anecdotal evidence of their potential usefulness. Public health authorities are working to obtain better data on their potential -- and most appropriate -- use in the pandemic.
This post was edited on 3/24/20 at 1:10 am
Posted by LSURulzSEC
Lake Charles via Oakdale
Member since Aug 2004
79465 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:10 am to
quote:

No.



Yes...


quote:

Italy is getting hit hard because they have 1/3rd of our ICU beds/ventilators per capita.


You just strengthened my point and didn't even realize it...
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 6:07 am to
quote:

It's weird how you have cheered this thing on


You claim I have cheered this thing on, yet this board has thrown out nothing but denial and misdirection since this thing began because they don't want it to hurt Trump politically.

Posted by DaBike
Member since Jan 2008
10554 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 6:17 am to
We were on a trip in Rome about 8 yrs ago. Our daughter became very ill and needed medical attention. The lady we were renting an apartment from said whatever you do don’t take her to an Italian hospital because they are horrible.

Most of their doctors do work on the side to make extra money. We located a doctor through an online provider and paid him 450 euros. When he came to see her he was nervous and looking up information to try and figure out what to do. We were in a tough spot because we needed for her to get treated while in another country. Fortunately he gave her a prescription that did help her and everything worked out.

That was our experience with the Italian medical system. We were glad that it was not the system we go to on a regular basis. The other day I heard a reporter describe the Italian medical system as one of the best in the world and I just laughed.
Posted by Stacker
Member since Dec 2019
283 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 6:31 am to
Whats weird to me is, IMO even Italy's numbers are very low...in comparison to what the doomsdayers were guaranteeing was going to happen here.

I'll be shocked if we are even at 1000 dead by April 1st.

The way our leaders and health experts treated this thing we should easily have 1 million dead by summer time. Im starting to call horseshite. It's not going to happen.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 6:39 am to
quote:

You claim I have cheered this thing on,


You have.

quote:

yet this board has thrown out nothing but denial and misdirection since this thing began because they don't want it to hurt Trump politically.




This has nothing to do with the fact that you want this thing to be catastrophic so badly.
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
27876 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 6:43 am to
quote:

Italy is getting hit hard because 18% of their population, like the rest of Europe, is over 65 compared to the US at 9% and the average age of their citizens is 49 compared to the US at 38...


Italians have many more multi-generational households than the US, so it is harder to isolate the elderly. All those Catholics sharing the same chalice probably doesn't help. Neither does social kissing as a form of greeting. Older people are probably less likely to break those habits.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 6:59 am to
quote:

You have.


So you think I want this to be bad, people to die, at great cost to me because...?
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