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Jax-Tiger
| Favorite team: | LSU |
| Location: | Vero Beach, FL |
| Biography: | Graduated from LSU in '86 |
| Interests: | LSU Football, Basketball, and Baseball |
| Occupation: | Technical Consultant |
| Number of Posts: | 27836 |
| Registered on: | 1/30/2005 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
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I took a flyer on a couple of 2DTE $19c. For funsies.
quote:
Assuming you feel current price is still a good entry point?
For the long run, I think it is. Short term, it could drop back to $27 or go to $40 and never look back.
I want to add one more thing: NBIS is trying to carve out a niche market in the neocloud space because they are vertically integrated and one stop shopping. They ha e been successful and it would be very difficult for a competitor to replicate their product. Even if they do, there is not enough compute power do satiate the demand.
With Lidar, the demand is still ramping up. If a competitor jumps into the market with a better product, it could hurt OUSTs market share and profitability.
quote:
But do we actually see OUST hitting 90? Lidar tech I see as important, but data center important?
OUST is in it's infancy. The demand is just beginning. If OUST becomes the industry leader, it could hit $90. Again, OUST at $90 is the same valuation as NBIS at $22, so no, it won't be data center big, but that doesn't mean the return won't be great.
NBIS price per share is nearly the same as NVDA, but, as we know, NBIS is nowhere near the size of Nvidia, and I think NBIS is still going to get a better return for the next few years than NVDA.
quote:
Do yall think OUST has anywhere close to the potential as NBIS?
Yes and no. NBIS is coming up on $50B cap, and OUST is $1.7B. I don't see OUST getting that large. However, OUST only has about 1/4 of the shares outstanding that NBIS has, and is priced at around $30/shr.
So, from an investment standpoint, I like OUST, since it could go 3x within a year, whereas I think NBIS probably has a 2X ceiling, just because it is much earlier in it's growth stage.
TLDR: I see OUST hitting $90 before NBIS hits $600...
Bought up some shares at $28.50. Had some $30c 8/26, and sold them to partially fund the buy.
LFG.
LFG.
Later today, I expect to see expert analysts to revise their year-end target price from $175 to $205 while tagging it as a "BUY".
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 5/13/26 at 7:20 am to SquatchDawg
I will post a beer from a beach bar today or tomorrow. I think IT_Dawg is to landlocked for that, unless he's on vacation.
But he needs to post one, soon.
But he needs to post one, soon.
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 5/13/26 at 6:52 am to AuBeerStud
Guy on Reddit shorted NBIS by $730,000 yesterday with a target price of $140, and was bragging about it.
Wants to get his girlfriend new cans...
Wall Street Bet
That's gonna sting...
Wants to get his girlfriend new cans...
Wall Street Bet
That's gonna sting...
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 5/13/26 at 6:23 am to SquatchDawg
I don't know how y'all can stand this volatility...
You should invest that money in CDs - much more consistant performance.
I mean, this could hit $220 today, but could be back to $205 tomorrow. Unacceptable.
You should invest that money in CDs - much more consistant performance.
I mean, this could hit $220 today, but could be back to $205 tomorrow. Unacceptable.
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 5/12/26 at 11:58 am to Covingtontiger77
quote:
Just own it and forget it.
Oh, I do. I am just trying to temper the conversation a bit. Ive been burned from playing options during earnings, and I would love to see us break the $200 barrier tomorrow, but this could have the opposite reaction, which could be that this stock is not worth the recent gains.
A 3 month delay on opening a data center, an earnings miss, or a small downward shift in guidance could totally tank this stock.
Just be careful...
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 5/12/26 at 11:39 am to bayoubengals88
quote:
We may wake up to $205
My concern is that we are already up $40 in the last 2 weeks (were up $60). I think there is a natural inclination to be believe that any good news in the earnings report is already baked int the current price.
We'll see in the next couple of days...
quote:
Focus on management’s ability to perform.
The question is, how do you know if the management is performing well? I mean, we don't know if they are making all the right moves or not, if they are sitting on announcements while waiting for the redomicile to complete, right? I would say that is damn shrewd, if that is the case.
If, by October the redomicile is completed, NASDAQ uplisting completed, and they are still spinning their wheels with no contracts, no production facility, and no government co-op deal, then we will know the answer.
quote:
But being historically terrible when ranked pre-season #1 is a valid complaint.
That is the reality of today's world with NIL. You have to reinvent your lineup every year, because of the portal. You're gonna win some and you're gonna lose some.
According to the portal rankings, we cleaned up in the portal and in recruiting, but those guys came in and didn't produce. The teams that do the best on their portal pickups is going to go to Omaha. It's a crapshoot as to who picks up the small college portal kid that has a breakout year.
Jay now has to figure out how to improve the team. What's going to happen to Ruckert and Patrick? Do you try to develop them further, or do you go get more players from the portal? I mean, other than at catcher and maybe 1st base/3rd base, you have to replace starters at every other position (barring bringing back someone unexpectedly).
We'll see how the portal shakes out and how some of the young guys develop.
One of the advantages of the NIL is that it increases the odds of bringing in a HS kid that otherwise might go pro. They don't have to choose between money or college.
Well, if true, we have a damn good reason as to why HGRAF is not making public announcements and why they aren't pushing for the NASDAQ listing.
They have a new headquarters, but that is not the same as redomiciling.
They fired their CFO, and people assume that maybe he f'd up the NASDAQ listing, but it may be that he screwed up the paperwork on the redomicile.
Everybody is blaming it on an incompetent CEO.
If this is true, there could be a slew of announcements that will be made at one time that could show us that they haven't been spinning their wheels all this time.
They have a new headquarters, but that is not the same as redomiciling.
They fired their CFO, and people assume that maybe he f'd up the NASDAQ listing, but it may be that he screwed up the paperwork on the redomicile.
Everybody is blaming it on an incompetent CEO.
If this is true, there could be a slew of announcements that will be made at one time that could show us that they haven't been spinning their wheels all this time.
re: Spec Play - HGRAF
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 5/12/26 at 9:09 am to FieldEngineer
quote:
I’m not sure what taxes they’re paying with plenty of expenses and near zero revenue.
Hence my question.
Does a company valuation affect the taxes?
It makes sense that a company with very little revenue and a lot of expenses would do everything they can to keep taxes low, but does a company valued at $5B pay significantly more than a $1.7B company during a redomicile?
re: Spec Play - HGRAF
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 5/12/26 at 8:30 am to Naked Bootleg
Was reading the HGRAF forum on X and a poster discussed the tax implications of a redomicile to the US. Specifically, he said that until the redomicile is complete, it behooves the company to keep the value of the company lower, which could keep the tax bill lower.
With that in mind, it makes sense that they not make announcements that could drive the stock price up sharply until after the redomicile paperwork is complete.
Anybody out there know enough about corporate taxes to know if this is true?
With that in mind, it makes sense that they not make announcements that could drive the stock price up sharply until after the redomicile paperwork is complete.
Anybody out there know enough about corporate taxes to know if this is true?
If you have the money, then go for it.
My wife and I decided that we would assist our children, if they needed help. We have 4 children, and 3 of them are triplets, so paying for the last three at the same time would have meant risking our retirement, and we decided that we would not do that.
When our children needed help, here and there, we gave it to them. Both my wife and I had jobs while we were in college and we told our kids that they would need to contribute as much as they could, as well. It worked out well for us, and they all have their degrees that are useful.
They say that the best present you can give your children is not to pay for their college, but to not be a financial burden to them in your last years. I tend to agree with that.
My wife and I decided that we would assist our children, if they needed help. We have 4 children, and 3 of them are triplets, so paying for the last three at the same time would have meant risking our retirement, and we decided that we would not do that.
When our children needed help, here and there, we gave it to them. Both my wife and I had jobs while we were in college and we told our kids that they would need to contribute as much as they could, as well. It worked out well for us, and they all have their degrees that are useful.
They say that the best present you can give your children is not to pay for their college, but to not be a financial burden to them in your last years. I tend to agree with that.
re: Smith Lake Alabama
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 5/11/26 at 4:11 pm to Costanza85
You could try Lake Jesup, near Orlando. Lot's of things to do besides hang out on the water, but I wouldn't want to hang out IN the water...
I dont want them indicted unless its part of a wider net. If they are indicted and it doesnt go further up the food chain, then this is just bullshite.
The "insurance policy" they referred to had to have involved more than just them...
Having said that, I don't know if there is anybody else who's facial expression I would rather see than Peter Strzok's as they sentence him to 20 years in the clink. I'd love to compare/contrast the sentencing expression on his face to that smarmy look on his face when he testified in Congress...
The "insurance policy" they referred to had to have involved more than just them...
Having said that, I don't know if there is anybody else who's facial expression I would rather see than Peter Strzok's as they sentence him to 20 years in the clink. I'd love to compare/contrast the sentencing expression on his face to that smarmy look on his face when he testified in Congress...
quote:
Oh, we agree there. His "most natural state" is exploiting political angles and that's exactly what he's doing.
I think he sees that his best chance of being elected is by carrying on the MAGA agenda.
I think half of the Republicans in Congress have discovered that reaching out and compromising with Dems is not the best way to move up. Mitt Romney did that and never could admit that he was wrong.
John Thune clearly needs to learn this. It appears that Marco Rubio did. Lindsey Graham is a perfect example of someone who is still a snake in the grass, because he wants to be MAGA and deep state at the same time.
I'm totally not messing with this, pre-earnings.
I'm waiting for an awesome earnings report, followed by a huge downturn in price, because Coreweave has forecasted too much capex. Then I'm going to jump on some 1/27 calls after the price drops to $160 something...
Of course, because I have planned this out, it will totally NOT do this, so I may have to double cross myself at the last minute, due to fomo.
Feel free to use this information to plan your strategy out...
I'm waiting for an awesome earnings report, followed by a huge downturn in price, because Coreweave has forecasted too much capex. Then I'm going to jump on some 1/27 calls after the price drops to $160 something...
Of course, because I have planned this out, it will totally NOT do this, so I may have to double cross myself at the last minute, due to fomo.
Feel free to use this information to plan your strategy out...
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