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Jax-Tiger
| Favorite team: | LSU |
| Location: | Vero Beach, FL |
| Biography: | Graduated from LSU in '86 |
| Interests: | LSU Football, Basketball, and Baseball |
| Occupation: | Technical Consultant |
| Number of Posts: | 26978 |
| Registered on: | 1/30/2005 |
| Online Status: | Online |
Recent Posts
Message
Cannot wait for the EPA decision. It all starts then.
This could be a huge catalyst by itself.
But this is bigger. We dont have e to wait for the capacity to be built. They can paper the agreements and announce them once EPA is announced. Even before they build the production facility.
quote:
?? The HGRAF Thesis: Why Graphene's Starting Gun is the EPA
The narrative around **HydroGraph Clean Power Inc. (HGRAF)** is reaching its climax. This isn't just about a new material; it's about a **pristine solution** that is stuck behind a **regulatory bottleneck**.
Here is a concise analysis of why the imminent EPA decision is the single most critical catalyst for this company.
**?? Uniqueness: The** \\text{sp}\^2 **Difference**
HGRAF's patented **detonation synthesis** yields **Fractal Graphene™**, a claimed 99.8% pure, few-layer material that maintains its ideal \\text{sp}\^2 **bonding**.
This high purity is the secret weapon that solves billion-dollar industrial problems:
• **Batteries:** It provides the structural integrity and high conductivity needed to contain and stabilize **silicon anodes**, unlocking massive energy density gains without capacity fade (the **silicon expansion problem**).
• **Industry:** It delivers ultra-low friction in lubricants and superior strength in composites, offering **sustainable, high-performance upgrades** across various sectors.
**?? The Regulatory Bottleneck: EPA Tonnage Approval**
Despite the technological edge, HGRAF cannot sell its product at the **tonnage volumes** required by major industrial customers until the EPA grants final commercial clearance under the TSCA.
• **The Problem:** The EPA review is backlogged and complex, having been delayed by government shutdowns.
• **The Wait:** The entire commercial sales pipeline—including partners under **NDAs** (Non-Disclosure Agreements)—is in a holding pattern. Large companies will not risk signing massive supply contracts until this regulatory uncertainty is **zero**.
**?? The Catalyst: The Race Begins**
The moment the EPA announces full commercial approval (expected late 2025/early 2026), the following happens immediately:
1. **Risk Reduction:** The company is de-risked, converting it from a technology project into a viable commercial supplier.
2. **Contract Execution:** NDAs are immediately lifted, and those large, **multi-tonnage supply contracts**—likely including high-profile partners—are executed and announced.
3. **Scale-Up Justification:** The full acceleration of the planned **350+ ton-per-year Texas production facility** is justified, transitioning HGRAF from development to a large-scale manufacturer.
**The EPA approval is the starting gun.** It triggers a race for sales and market share that will fundamentally redefine HGRAF's valuation from speculative potential to revenue-driven growth.
quote:
1. **Risk Reduction:** The company is de-risked, converting it from a technology project into a viable commercial supplier.
This could be a huge catalyst by itself.
quote:
2. **Contract Execution:** NDAs are immediately lifted, and those large, **multi-tonnage supply contracts**—likely including high-profile partners—are executed and announced.
But this is bigger. We dont have e to wait for the capacity to be built. They can paper the agreements and announce them once EPA is announced. Even before they build the production facility.
re: Spec Play - HGRAF
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 12/25/25 at 2:02 pm to Dock Holiday
That's is unfortunate, because he was a good source of information. I hope he is okay.
Found this interesting. Build a data center in 20 weeks?
Nebius
Nebius
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 12/25/25 at 11:49 am to astonvilla
As I mentioned, without at least one of those new sites coming on line in 2026, I dont see how they meet their goals. The math doesnt add up for me.
We know what coming up short does for stock prices, so I hope they can make it...
We know what coming up short does for stock prices, so I hope they can make it...
re: Spec Play - HGRAF
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 12/23/25 at 12:37 pm to FieldEngineer
Has anyone seen mekawarrior?
re: Spec Play - HGRAF
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 12/23/25 at 12:27 pm to FieldEngineer
What the hell is going on? Is everyone jumping on board because they believe the EPA announcement is coming soon?
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 12/23/25 at 7:10 am to astonvilla
quote:
New data center site
I read about that earlier this month. Are there any data centers that will be opening this year? Or is all of their new capacity going to be expansion of existing site?
I know of new data centers in MO, IN, and AL, but have no idea when they will be operational. Seems that at least one of them has to be operational, if they are going to expand to 1 GW of operational power by the end of 2026.
quote:
I don’t think we can make those predictions.
We can and do make predictions, all the time.
I think the key is whether any big customers materalize. Is the DoD in for massive amounts, or do they want it for specialty uses in smaller amounts?
I can see it going either way - people are lining up to be first to market with graphene enhanced products, OR it takes a long time for customers to figure out how to use this new material.
That's where we hope that the HGRAF team has been cultivating customers during 2025/2026, so they are ready to hit the ground running when production starts.
quote:
I am in for 650,000 shares.
$130?
The last of the big time spenders... :lol:
quote:
Because there’s zero chance the New Yorker article might have intentional disinformation…
Probably not about Trump. In 2002, Trump was still one of the good guys in the eyes of The New Yorker.
Obviously, the article predates Epstein's legal issues. The quote from Trump where he says Epstein likes them on the young side is in there. I think there was a time when people suspected that Epstein's "dates" might be underage, but nobody knew for sure. It sounds like Trump was trying to send a message that someone should investigate Epstein...
re: Seattle in late May
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 12/22/25 at 11:31 am to Legion of Doom
If you go to the Olympic Peninsula, consider spending a night in Port Townsend before going into the mountains. Beautiful town surrounded by water on 3 sides. This is where the original Officer and a Gentleman was filmed.
Drop dead gorgeous town with killer views of the water and mountains (on a clear day). Great restaurants, shops, marina, etc... This is a good place to take a whale watching excursion.
The Victorian architecture in town is amazing. Beautiful government buildings and Bed and Breakfasts. It's very walkable.

Drop dead gorgeous town with killer views of the water and mountains (on a clear day). Great restaurants, shops, marina, etc... This is a good place to take a whale watching excursion.
The Victorian architecture in town is amazing. Beautiful government buildings and Bed and Breakfasts. It's very walkable.

quote:
quote:
I have resigned myself to sell this when it hits $130-35 per share.
That would be absolute amazing. I’m praying for $25 per share but Ai like your prediction better.
Not to be obvious, but $25 must be passed on the way to $130.
Are you saying you think it will hit $25 and stall? Or that you think it will be at $25 by 2027/2028?
My prediction is that if we get EPA approval, it will hit double digits by the end of 2026, and $50 by mid 2027. From there, we will see if is a market disruptor, or or another smell-o-vision...
FYI - this recent drop is the 3rd time this year, that NBIS has dropped 40%. It bounced bag big time the other two times.
We'll see...
We'll see...
If HGRAF gets EPA approval and completes the production facility, what is everyone's thoughts on what happens next?
Is it a long runway, building clients and volume over a period of years?
Or is it a short, vertical growth period with customers lining up for product and HGRAF struggling to meet demand?
Could we see a spike in stock price before production facility is completed, just based on future sales/demands?
So many ways this could play out, even if they get EPA approval and start manufacturing...
I would hope that customers try to be first to market with graphene enhanced products.
Is it a long runway, building clients and volume over a period of years?
Or is it a short, vertical growth period with customers lining up for product and HGRAF struggling to meet demand?
Could we see a spike in stock price before production facility is completed, just based on future sales/demands?
So many ways this could play out, even if they get EPA approval and start manufacturing...
I would hope that customers try to be first to market with graphene enhanced products.
How many people complaining about out tariffs causing inflation on the one hand, but they also want to raise taxes on corporations and wealth on the other? As if those things don't cause inflation?
re: Spec Play - HGRAF
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 12/21/25 at 8:21 am to Longer Tail Tiger
Interesting. I dont see much DoW stuff, but more battery related companies.
Batteries seem like a good market, if true.
Batteries seem like a good market, if true.
re: Spec Play - HGRAF
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 12/20/25 at 9:33 am to PlanoPrivateer
The fact that you have to look for that info and they are being so low key about it shows that they are more interested in protecting their customers than in pumping the stock price up.
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 12/19/25 at 4:19 pm to bayoubengals88
I think he used those exact words a few days back.
I am being aggressive here because I have another portfolio where I will get a 20%+ return. This money is something I'm being aggressive with, and I see an opportunity to double/triple my money. The cost of that is that it will be a wild ride to the end goal.
I'm hoping that once the market accepts the validity of the data centers, the stock will be more consistent and not quite as "inconsistent". Validity is not the right word. Necessity is better.
I still keep saying that I'd like them to encorporate graphene in their data centers to make them much more efficiency. The good stuff from HGRAF, of course...
I am being aggressive here because I have another portfolio where I will get a 20%+ return. This money is something I'm being aggressive with, and I see an opportunity to double/triple my money. The cost of that is that it will be a wild ride to the end goal.
I'm hoping that once the market accepts the validity of the data centers, the stock will be more consistent and not quite as "inconsistent". Validity is not the right word. Necessity is better.
I still keep saying that I'd like them to encorporate graphene in their data centers to make them much more efficiency. The good stuff from HGRAF, of course...
Just curious what everyone thinks about this:
If HGRAF gets EPA approval, "How much will their stock go up?".
Would this be akin to a pharmaceutical company getting approval to market a new drug? I mean, we've seen companies go uo 10x or more over this news.
What do you think EPA approval will do for HGRAF?
As much as the EPA approval seems to be holding things up, I would say it will be significant. Stock goes to at least $5-6 per share.
What say you?
If HGRAF gets EPA approval, "How much will their stock go up?".
Would this be akin to a pharmaceutical company getting approval to market a new drug? I mean, we've seen companies go uo 10x or more over this news.
What do you think EPA approval will do for HGRAF?
As much as the EPA approval seems to be holding things up, I would say it will be significant. Stock goes to at least $5-6 per share.
What say you?
re: Spec Play - HGRAF
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 12/19/25 at 12:57 pm to FieldEngineer
quote:
I'm only down $40 now!
This does seem like a fun one to watch.
We're all hoping it gets a lot funner in the near future...
quote:
That makes me scared. BC they aren't buying at $130+/share
I was thinking about this one. Why would executive team take a company that is on pace to have an ARR of $8B sell for $130 a share? An $8B company should be in the $300+/share range, not $130. That would make zero sense.
That doesn't include all of the equity they have in Clickhouse, Avride, Toloka, etc...
That guys was just pulling a prediction out of his arse. This is like trying to pay Toyota prices for a Lamborghini... Not a reasonable proposition...
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