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Jax-Tiger
Favorite team: | LSU ![]() |
Location: | Port Saint Lucie, FL |
Biography: | Graduated from LSU in '86 |
Interests: | LSU Football, Basketball |
Occupation: | Technical Consultant |
Number of Posts: | 25620 |
Registered on: | 1/30/2005 |
Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
Message
re: Last Night's game
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/18/25 at 5:50 pm
quote:
it is more about keeping their normal starters on regular rest.
Shouldn't have pitched the guy who started on Sunday, then.
re: FBD: Road Trip Day 3
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/18/25 at 3:55 pm
FBD is a Sailfish IPA in what is probably the closest thing to a legitimate Irish pub we have in Vero Beach.


re: Ashton Larson
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/18/25 at 10:08 am
We can't base this purely on statistics.
Frey had a good night. So did Larson. Frey is in the lineup because he gives us another power hitter in a lineup that doesn't hit a lot of homeruns. That's the most likely reason he's there.
As someone else has pointed out, he has hit the ball hard on a number of occasions, but the ball has just gone straight into someone's glove. Over the course of the season, those odds should even out.
If you want to use statistics, then he is our BEST hitter for the season. Highest average and highest slugging percentage. He hits a higher percentage of homeruns than Jared Jones and strikes out less than Derek Curiel.
The SEC season has a long ways to go. Larson earned some more chances last night, but the only two spots for him are left field and DH. We have Brown, Pearson, Frey, and Larson competing for time. Given the way Jay likes to play L/R matchups, I could see him platooning Frey and Larson based on pitching matchups, in order to give Ashton some more ABs. My gut tells me that CJJ wants Frey to get more comfortable playing every day because he adds more pop to the lineup. Larson is comparable to Brown and Pearson another above average left handed bat.
The bottom line is you have 4 guys playing 2 spots and Frey has an advantage because he is the only guy with plus plus power potential and is potentially the best hitter out of all of them.
It is what it is, and I wish there were more at bats for them. Hopefully all of them contribute, going forward.
Frey had a good night. So did Larson. Frey is in the lineup because he gives us another power hitter in a lineup that doesn't hit a lot of homeruns. That's the most likely reason he's there.
As someone else has pointed out, he has hit the ball hard on a number of occasions, but the ball has just gone straight into someone's glove. Over the course of the season, those odds should even out.
If you want to use statistics, then he is our BEST hitter for the season. Highest average and highest slugging percentage. He hits a higher percentage of homeruns than Jared Jones and strikes out less than Derek Curiel.
The SEC season has a long ways to go. Larson earned some more chances last night, but the only two spots for him are left field and DH. We have Brown, Pearson, Frey, and Larson competing for time. Given the way Jay likes to play L/R matchups, I could see him platooning Frey and Larson based on pitching matchups, in order to give Ashton some more ABs. My gut tells me that CJJ wants Frey to get more comfortable playing every day because he adds more pop to the lineup. Larson is comparable to Brown and Pearson another above average left handed bat.
The bottom line is you have 4 guys playing 2 spots and Frey has an advantage because he is the only guy with plus plus power potential and is potentially the best hitter out of all of them.
It is what it is, and I wish there were more at bats for them. Hopefully all of them contribute, going forward.
Last Night's game
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/18/25 at 9:24 am
Alabama switched up their pitchers because they want to steal the series. They started Tina Fay with the hopes that they could steal one, but the real motive was to improve their chances on Friday and Saturday.
They almost stole it, and probably thought they were going to steal it for most of the night. That's gotta hurt their confidence for the rest of the weekend...
Baseball is funny that way. In the beginning, everyone was talking about what a stud Anderson was and what a dud Frey was. Then the Baseball Gods decided to F@ck with people...
Anderson and Frey are both studs, btw...
Let's keep this momentum going while Bama is reeling from last night.
They almost stole it, and probably thought they were going to steal it for most of the night. That's gotta hurt their confidence for the rest of the weekend...
Baseball is funny that way. In the beginning, everyone was talking about what a stud Anderson was and what a dud Frey was. Then the Baseball Gods decided to F@ck with people...
Anderson and Frey are both studs, btw...
Let's keep this momentum going while Bama is reeling from last night.
re: Giant sucking sound…Ross Perot
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/18/25 at 8:49 am
quote:
Even though he was right on many things, he was the reason Bill Clinton was elected over George Bush in 92.
I don't know that Bush would have been better. He might have been worse in the things Trump is trying to clean up - trade disparity, waste and fraud, globalism in general.
re: Akebia Therapeutics (AKBA)- Vadadustat FDA Approved AT LAST!!
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/17/25 at 4:21 pm
I have 6K shares. I'd be really happy with 5ish...
re: Relaxing couples trip?
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/17/25 at 3:14 pm
The Disney Resort in Vero Beach is really nice. It is on a quiet stretch of beach. There is a restaurant and bar on site. The times I've been, there have not been many children, and this is the last Disney resort I would want to go to if I was a kid. It's really nice, as it's Disney.
Good restaurants in Sebastian and Vero Beach. Cape Canaveral is a good day trip and there are launches all the time. A few nice breweries and a couple of distilleries. 21st Amendment distillery is very patriotic and has a cool speakeasy feel to it all the bartenders and servers where vests and ties.
Botanical gardens, fishing excursions, airboat tours, nature trails, beaches are all available. Beaches are easily accessible, not crowded, and underrated. There is a lot of live music in Vero and Sebastian at bars and public parks.
It is a relaxation trip. Things move a little slower in Vero. Not a lot of nightlife after 9:00 PM. Always a concert every Th/Fr/Sa night from 5:30-9:00 at the Riverside Park in Vero. You won't find heavy traffic or big crowds, and the beach may be mostly empty. But that's the way we like it...
Good restaurants in Sebastian and Vero Beach. Cape Canaveral is a good day trip and there are launches all the time. A few nice breweries and a couple of distilleries. 21st Amendment distillery is very patriotic and has a cool speakeasy feel to it all the bartenders and servers where vests and ties.
Botanical gardens, fishing excursions, airboat tours, nature trails, beaches are all available. Beaches are easily accessible, not crowded, and underrated. There is a lot of live music in Vero and Sebastian at bars and public parks.
It is a relaxation trip. Things move a little slower in Vero. Not a lot of nightlife after 9:00 PM. Always a concert every Th/Fr/Sa night from 5:30-9:00 at the Riverside Park in Vero. You won't find heavy traffic or big crowds, and the beach may be mostly empty. But that's the way we like it...
re: Would you support FairTax plan?
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/17/25 at 1:11 pm
quote:
Let's say I sell bread at my local bread shop. As a business, my income taxes would also be less, meaning I can operate my business for less.
I agree partially. Boortz used to push the idea that products would cost the same as before and we would just have more disposable income.
I agree that we can save a lot in compliance costs. We can save a lot by having one collection method - one that is already in place in most states.
However, the prices will go up. Many states that currently have income taxes will switch to sales tax because they piggy back off the federal forms, which will go away. That will add to the price as well.
Prices may not go up 40%< but they will go up. Not paying income tax, payroll taxes, and hidden corporate taxes, along with collecting the probate means our income will go up.
Optimal scenario is that our income goes up by 30% and the average cost increase is the same.
re: Would you support FairTax plan?
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/17/25 at 11:10 am
quote:
Then if we're paying the same amount in taxes, what's the point in making a change?
There are a lot of advantages. A LOT.
1.) Individuals no longer have to fill out a tax return - saves time and money, not to mention you no longer have to make decisions based on tax implications, such as selling a home, investing, etc. This saves hundreds of billions in compliance costs and billions of hours of labor. You never have to worry about being audited, again..
2.) Taxes will be transparent. Every time you buy anything, you will see how much tax you are paying on that item. When the government comes to you and wants to raise the tax rate, you will know the consequences. Today, we get taxed on many levels and the system is set up to conceal those taxes from you. Most people do not know how much they pay in taxes.
3.) We will collect hundreds of billions of dollars in taxes from the black market. Drug dealers, gamblers, prostitution, and other sources of income are not taxed, but the people who profit from those activities still buy stuff. Foreigners vacationing here will buy stuff.
4.) No corporate taxes will create jobs and investment in the US.
5.) It is the "fairest" system of taxes because EVERY household will get a prebate meant to cover the taxes on the necessities. This is the only tax system where people who's earnings are at or below the poverty line will pay no taxes.
re: Would you support FairTax plan?
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/17/25 at 10:41 am
quote:
Sales taxes cause more damage to an economy than income tax. They also have an impact on food and prescription
drugs, neither of which are discretionary spending…
You don't understand the Fair Tax, then.
re: Would you support FairTax plan?
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/17/25 at 10:28 am
quote:
In short - federal income taxes that corporations collect (paid by consumers) are practically replaced to the penny by the National Retail Sales Tax. That means price movement under this system would be negligible.
The math doesn't work on this. Neal Boortz used to push this, but the fact is, we aren't going to get $5T in tax revenue without our loaf of bread increasing in cost. We will eliminate the cost of compliance with the various tax collection methods, but we still have to get the money from somewhere.
Some items may see minimal increases, but some will go up by a lot.
re: Would you support FairTax plan?
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/17/25 at 10:22 am
quote:
Can we exclude food from the sales tax?
Not for federal taxes. Food is covered under the prebate. No need to exclude it.
quote:
Louisiana is 9.5% (higher in some areas). My guess is that those local sales taxes would shift towards property taxes over time, which also kind of sucks.
The whole point of the Fair Tax is to simplify it so there is only on tax collecting mechanism - the sales tax. We need to stop concealing our taxes so we can pretend that we're not paying them. Corporate taxes, payroll taxes, wholesale taxes, etc, will all go away. No hidden taxes, no individual tax returns to fill out, and property taxes should GO AWAY. Once people get used to the idea of paying taxes through the sales taxes, it will only make sense for states to eliminate income and property taxes.
The end result is that the sales tax may be over 40% in some states, but it will be an inclusive tax. If you go into the store and the item you want to buy is 10 bucks, that INCLUDES the tax. you won't need $14 to buy a $10 item. It will be easier than what we have now.
The cost of compliance for individuals and businesses is estimated to be 8 billion hours of tim and well over 400 billion dollars. That is just the cost of filling out the returns. Imagine a system where you don't have to worry about taxes or the IRS, unless you have a retail business, in which case, you will still collect taxes like you do today, but the amounts will be much greater.
re: Zac Cowan vs. Chase Shores as starter
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/17/25 at 8:32 am
quote:
The fear is, if you start cowan, can you count on your bullpen to win the Friday night game
Sure. You use Evans. If the game is close, you use Evans on Friday and hope the bullpen holds up on Fr/Sa.
You don't want to lose a one run game on Friday because you're saving your closer and then not need him the rest of the weekend because of blowouts.
We may have to use Evans multiple times on the weekend in short stints. In fact, we should use him multiple times on some weekends because it's almost guaranteed we'll use him that way in the post season.
I think our pen is improving and no longer a hot mess - that is important, given Guidry's status. We don't need to bring Evens out in the 6th inning to give us 3.2 innings. We've got 3-4 guys we can use for long relief and another 3-4 guys for an hour or two.
re: Jones hitting 3rd
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/17/25 at 6:33 am
quote:
I dont buy the “protection” in the lineup fallacy.
You may not, but does CJJ. There is some merit to it, at least to the extent that coaches believe it.
I personally would have put Milam in the 2 hole and Dickinson cleanup.
re: Zac Cowan vs. Chase Shores as starter
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/16/25 at 3:41 pm
quote:
At best, i could see a tba for game 3, allowing for cowan if he isnt needed the first two games.
I don't see this happening. Remember, you'll also have to hold off on using Shores, as well, if you don't know which one you want to use. It also affects preparation. The plus is that it will be more like post season where some of our pitchers may start AND be called upon to pitch an inning or two out of the pen.
Schmidt, Benge, Evans, and Shores can all give you length out of the pen. We have 5-6 guys who can give you a couple of outs.
We'll have to use both of them as starters in the post season, for sure. Having 4 guys who have starter stuff is a luxury, and we could have 6 of them, as I think Rizy and Schmidt could be weekend starters next year.
I'm not discounting Evans, but I think he is the one guy we absolutely need to stay in the pen.
If those guys continue to pitch well, I don't see a reason not to use Cowan as a starter.
re: Zac Cowan vs. Chase Shores as starter
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/16/25 at 3:22 pm
I like this move, especially since we seem to have some improvement in our bullpen.
Starters:
Anderson
Eyanson
Cowan
Relievers on the weekend:
Evans (closer)
Shores
Schmidt
Benge
Rizy
Williams
Ware
Primeaux
Noot
Starters:
Anderson
Eyanson
Cowan
Relievers on the weekend:
Evans (closer)
Shores
Schmidt
Benge
Rizy
Williams
Ware
Primeaux
Noot
re: Jones hitting 3rd
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/16/25 at 12:41 pm
quote:
In Frey’s defense, he’s hit a lot of hard hit balls that have been right at fielders in SEC play
He also played hurt last year. He really hasn't had a chance to play every day against SEC pitching.
But you're right. Sometimes it's not the pitching, but it can be the fielding and quality of the defense. Along with LUCK.
re: A few thoughts about Tiger BB with 18 to go
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/16/25 at 12:34 pm
quote:
Rizy fastball is 1st I’ve seen almost as good as Skenes
Rizy has great potential. Would live to see what happened to Skenes happen to Rizy BEFORE he gets drafted. Skene's gained 5 mph on his fastball between his SO and JR seasons. That's not going to happen to Rizy, in all likelihood, but he could develop his pitch arsenal. Skenes threw a 2 seam and 4 seam fastball, had a nasty slider and a curveball. Oh, and Skenes had a 10:1 K to BB ratio. That is insane.
Rizy has great stuff, and seems to be able to throw strikes most of the time, but he's got some work to do.
I think Rizy/Schmidt/Evans could be an awesome weekend starting rotation next year if they stay healthy and keep improving. That is potentially 3 high draft picks, and would be awesome if it comes to fruition.
re: Jones hitting 3rd
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/16/25 at 12:16 pm
quote:
Whats wrong with them giving us a free runner at 1st?
Nothing is wrong with that. I don't mind if they give Jones a free pass. That's not a bad outcome.
But that's not what they are going to do. They are going try to entice him to hit something just out of the zone and if he walks, he walks. Better than Jared hitting a homerun. Jared is prone to swinging at pitches out of the zone when he gets frustrated.
With Frey, they have a guy who is almost as big and has almost as much power as Jared. Another guy they have to be careful about going giving a pitch they can drive.
re: Is Dickinson hitting lead off a permanent move
Posted by Jax-Tiger on 4/16/25 at 11:51 am
quote:
Curiel began leading off vs DBU (and I think has been lead-off until last night; I didn't check all the box scores to confirm.)
I believe that is correct. I forgot about Reaves leading off.
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