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re: When will the housing bubble end?

Posted on 7/22/21 at 9:41 am to
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
95749 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 9:41 am to
Depends… is the economy going full on Weimar Republic considered ending the bubble?

Housing costs go up but that is because money is no longer worth the paper it is printed on.
Posted by Cdawg
TigerFred's Living Room
Member since Sep 2003
59527 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 9:41 am to
Are you sure it’s a bubble?
Posted by CunningLinguist
Dallas, TX
Member since Mar 2006
18773 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 9:48 am to
Not anytime soon per my rental property manager who is also a real estate agent. We have been looking to sell and move to a new primary residence but we’re too fearful of a buying process in this market.

This post was edited on 7/22/21 at 9:49 am
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
113964 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 9:52 am to
quote:

A big reason a lot of folks relocated was to move to cheaper cost of living areas while working remotely.


I think this will be something that will have an impact long term.
Posted by tigergirl10
Member since Jul 2019
10311 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 9:54 am to
quote:

we could easily get 25% more if we sell today
Then buy what?
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
25365 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 9:59 am to
quote:

When will the housing bubble end?



Not sure there is a bubble.

Millenials have put off homebuying for a long time and have started to make their moves finally.
Posted by PhiTiger1764
Lurker since Aug 2003
Member since Oct 2009
13865 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:05 am to
quote:

Are you sure it’s a bubble?

It’s a bubble.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16875 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:09 am to
With housing, everyone seems to have the obvious and simple explanation of how things are and what the future will be. Look at 2008...of course, everything was so obvious after the fact but people didn’t realized it before the crash. Nothing goes up forever because people make bad decisions and never learn from them.
Posted by Rex Feral
Athens
Member since Jan 2014
11351 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:31 am to
quote:

When we close the southern border.

You know they aren't buying houses. They'll cram five families into a 3 bedroom rental and park 10 cars in the front yard.
Posted by skullhawk
My house
Member since Nov 2007
23074 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:34 am to
WFH + people fleeing liberal hell holes hasn't even begun to settle itself out so I think this bubble still has a lot of life left.

The Biden admin is trying to loosen regulations on loan requirements so we're probably 10 years away from another complete housing collapse.
Posted by AUFANATL
Member since Dec 2007
3892 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:36 am to

Baby Boomers are getting old and they still own a significant chunk of the housing market. They will eventually do what all old people do - start downsizing, moving into retirement and nursing homes and dying.

Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
44871 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:37 am to
quote:

Probably not long after the eviction moratorium expires.


This is going to create a clusterfrick. Stupid shite should have never lasted longer than about 2 months.
Posted by thadcastle
Member since Dec 2019
2616 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:42 am to
quote:

Baby Boomers are getting old and they still own a significant chunk of the housing market. They will eventually do what all old people do - start downsizing, moving into retirement and nursing homes and dying.

I am interested to see what happens when boomers do start dying off
Posted by Tortious
ATX
Member since Nov 2010
5140 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:44 am to
quote:

We have been looking to sell and move to a new primary residence but we’re too fearful of a buying process in this market.


This. In same boat. Want to take money and run, buy don't want to have to overspend to have a new home or live in a transitory setting till it stabilizes.
Posted by PhiTiger1764
Lurker since Aug 2003
Member since Oct 2009
13865 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:44 am to
April 2005 - April 2007 is the only time in recorded history that the home price to median household income ratio was above where it is at now.

LINK

And we are still waiting to see data from the last 4 months… BUBBLE.
Posted by The Third Leg
Idiot Out Wandering Around
Member since May 2014
10052 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:46 am to
Anyone that doesn’t think this is a bubble is insane.
Posted by Art Vandelay
LOUISIANA
Member since Sep 2005
10702 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:51 am to
quote:

Are you sure it’s a bubble?


I would say no, but I’m not an economist and they don’t even know. It’s just what I see in the construction side. Low interest rates and a need for housing stemming back from the last bubble that did burst has created a housing need. They can creep interest rates back up and I think at around 4 % it will slow it down but I don’t see a “bust” which would indicate a bubble. . I see 3 years of work for me right now.

I do think we will see a lot of people who over valued their house asset during this pandemic and current house buy/sell frenzy. Not sure if that will cause any crash going forward. Prices are coming down on some materials and will continue to create cheaper housing for those who waited out building.
Posted by go ta hell ole miss
Member since Jan 2007
13628 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:52 am to
We have under built for the last 10 years. America’s average age is right in the sweet spot of homebuyers. Those two things coupled with low interest rates have driven this. This is not actually a bubble, it’s just catching up after a 10 year lull due to the housing crisis.
This post was edited on 7/22/21 at 9:19 pm
Posted by Ajo Devil
Tempe, AZ
Member since Sep 2006
2428 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:58 am to
quote:

When will the housing bubble end?


If I had a crystal ball that would allow me to answer this, I sure as hell wouldn't be hanging around the OT.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10435 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 12:23 pm to
The market is definitely hot but I’ve seen two sides of this coin. There is still some rationality to the market.

Some places go for well over “market “ price and some sit.
In my area, $300 per sq foot is a good price for a turnkey property with 3-4 bed and 3+ bath. We saw one go for close to $400 per sq ft recently and everyone got worked up . A few listed after with prices near $400/sq ft and they sit.

So it’s not like a crazy market like we saw in 08 where stupid stuff was happening and loans were given with no collateral. There’s still some rationality to it.
If you’re property isn’t selling in 30 days in this market, it’s over priced and you better adjust or it becomes stale and people think it has a problem. The market is speaking to you. Listen
This post was edited on 7/22/21 at 12:58 pm
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