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Started By
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re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecast
Posted on 5/20/19 at 9:41 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 5/20/19 at 9:41 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Question for anyone with radarscope. I just used a giftcard to purchase the app. Which type of radar/map should I be looking at for locations of tornadoes. I think the default is reflectivity tilt 1
2
Posted on 5/20/19 at 9:58 am to lsurulz1515
I use that, along with the velocity tilt 1. That'll let you see them reds and greens goin at it.
Posted on 5/20/19 at 10:12 am to lsurulz1515
Velocity tilt 1 is your Tor locator.
Posted on 5/20/19 at 10:18 am to lsuman25
That's a pretty large high risk area, right? Seems like almost the size of LA
Posted on 5/20/19 at 10:36 am to LSUFanHouston
Quite a few anxious folks in my neck of the woods
Going to be an interesting day or two
Going to be an interesting day or two
Posted on 5/20/19 at 10:37 am to wfallstiger
yea we are just waiting now
Posted on 5/20/19 at 10:47 am to StraightCashHomey21
Altus AFB under tornado watch until tonight
Posted on 5/20/19 at 10:49 am to rds dc
Posted on 5/20/19 at 10:57 am to deeprig9
that is scary
Posted on 5/20/19 at 10:58 am to deeprig9
Won't be long now
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:02 am to Pettifogger
quote:
DISCUSSION...Visible satellite imagery shows the initial stages of a
bubbling cumulus field across the Texas South Plains from near
Midland northward to Lubbock. Late morning surface observations
show south-southeasterlies with rapid moisture advection occurring
with dewpoints rising to near 70 degrees F near the Low Rolling
Plains. Despite the scattered low cloud cover, additional heating
and moistening will contribute to extreme buoyancy (4000-5000 J/kg
MLCAPE) developing by early-mid afternoon east of a sharping dryline
in parts of northwest and west TX. The aforementioned theta-e
increase and weak large-scale forcing will likely lead to storms
explosively developing during the 1pm-3pm period.
Strong and veering low-level winds beneath very strong deep-layer
wind fields will likely result in sickle-shaped hodographs over the
TX Panhandle and western OK this afternoon. 0-1km SRH around 250
m2/s2 coupled with the extreme buoyancy will favor long-track and
potentially violent tornadoes with the strongest storms. Giant hail
(3-4+ inches in diameter) will be possible.
Farther south, tornadoes and very large hail are possible with any
supercells that develop near the Permian Basin.
From that same MD. I read a good bit of these, and don't see the word "giant" often.
This post was edited on 5/20/19 at 11:03 am
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:02 am to StraightCashHomey21
Seen a vid on Twitter showing a car dealership in Altus moving their vehicles to a safer location
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:09 am to Bobby OG Johnson
I saw that, but geez, you'd figure you would need to drive hundreds of miles away from there to be safer.
Now is the time people need to get to safe places or at least know they can get somewhere safe within a 15 minute notice
Now is the time people need to get to safe places or at least know they can get somewhere safe within a 15 minute notice
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:10 am to StraightCashHomey21
Not much happening here yet, got out of Tinker before things get bad. If you're caught in there when sirens go off, you cannot leave until every single person is accounted for. This takes hours.
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:13 am to East Coast Band
I am wondering if they are just trying to dodge possible hail and flooding
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:15 am to lsuman25
quote:
Yea, the only time we had a 10 was on April 27th 2011.
I know that was the 1st time they put out a 10 on their TorCon scale... but I could've sworn they've had other 10s since then
also... we all remember that day... the Tuscaloosa EF4 (should've been 5)
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:17 am to lsuman25
Stepdaughter called, she's in Wichita Falls and her place of work has a cellar. She lives across the street so if the sirens go off she and the World's Greatest Grandson are heading there. If it really does happen then they're coming down to stay with us.
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:19 am to Bobby OG Johnson
quote:
Seen a vid on Twitter showing a car dealership in Altus moving their vehicles to a safer location
after the last major hail storm we got my budy got like 20k off the car he bought due to the damage.
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:20 am to Quidam65
quote:
Stepdaughter called, she's in Wichita Falls and her place of work has a cellar. She lives across the street so if the sirens go off she and the World's Greatest Grandson are heading there. If it really does happen then they're coming down to stay with us.
TWC's Paul Goodloe is chilling in Wichita Falls, TX today
keeps talking about the April 10, 1979 Wichita Falls F5
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:23 am to Pettifogger
Mesoscale Discussion 0699
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1117 AM CDT Mon May 20 2019
Areas affected...southwest into central OK...western north-central
TX
Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely
Valid 201617Z - 201845Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent
SUMMARY...A Particularly Dangerous Situation Tornado Watch will
likely be needed for portions of central and western OK.
Observational trends and short-term model guidance suggest a watch
being issued during the 1pm-2pm period.
DISCUSSION...Visible satellite imagery shows a bubbling cumulus
field over western north-central TX into southwest and south-central
OK. Rapid moisture advection is occurring late this morning with
surface dewpoints rising into the lower 70s over southern OK.
Upwards of 4000 J/kg MLCAPE is expected by early to mid afternoon
across western and central OK with intensifying wind profiles.
Short-term model guidance appears to have a reasonable depiction of
free warm sector initiation occurring over southwest and
south-central OK during the 2-3pm period. The observational trend
in visible satellite imagery showing more pronounced bands of low
cloud cover ---perhaps indicative of horizontal convective rolls
and/or low-level confluence zones is supportive evidence for this
model-based depiction. The expectation is for storms to develop on
the northern half of these cloud features with explosive supercell
development likely thereafter. Forecast soundings show a very rare
combination of intense low-level SRH, very moist boundary, and
extreme buoyancy. As such, the risk for strong to violent tornadoes
appears to be increasing later this afternoon into the early
evening.
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