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re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecast

Posted on 5/20/19 at 1:23 am to
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 1:23 am to
The wording was gonna be worse. They dialed it back a bit.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141061 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 1:25 am to
an interesting question... where is TWC on its TorCon for tomorrow?

I saw 6s earlier... are they up to 8 or 9 or even 10 yet?
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 1:26 am to
HRRR is still going beast mode.

Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41466 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 1:28 am to
Probably have an update this morning.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 1:31 am to
Torcon hasn't been updated in a minute, and TBH I would put much stock into it anyways. It's too arbitrary IMO.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 1:33 am to
Just saying.. don't be surprised to see the high risk expanded east later today. They originally had it expanded, but the night shift pulled it back.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141061 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 1:36 am to
quote:

Torcon hasn't been updated in a minute, and TBH I would put much stock into it anyways. It's too arbitrary IMO

oh I know... but it is just another piece of information to take in and add to the discussion
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 1:42 am to
Use this instead:

LINK

Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 1:44 am to
Two of the largest school districts in OK are closing tomorrow (OKC and Tulsa) as well as other surrounding districts. Never happened before.

Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 1:48 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/20/19 at 1:49 am
Posted by Woopigsooie20
Me Scusi
Member since Mar 2010
57351 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 2:25 am to
Early morning convection trending more north, which will lead to even more destabilizing of the atmosphere across the areas of highest risk. High resolution models really painting an ominous picture for this afternoon and evening
Posted by Woopigsooie20
Me Scusi
Member since Mar 2010
57351 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 2:34 am to
HRRR showing possible CAPE of 6000 tomorrow with this wind field is just jawdropping. There hasn’t been a atmosphere this conductive to tornadoes in a long time
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42215 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 6:00 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/20/19 at 6:01 am
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62739 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 6:02 am to
I'm going to put that in the OP
Posted by babymaker
Tornillo, TX
Member since Jul 2004
1326 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 6:07 am to
shite, I'm working at Tinker AFB today.
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
30938 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 6:15 am to
Not a fan of days like today. Oil and gas industry has me in Oklahoma. Believe I will only be in the office until noon today. Work from home the rest of the day.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19807 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 6:38 am to
All modes of svr wx on the table today, damaging hail, high winds, and flash flooding will impact more people than tornadoes but get less tv coverage.

Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41466 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 7:01 am to
Tor Con of 9 for Texas Panhandle, 8 for Oklahoma including OKC
Posted by WylieTiger
Member since Nov 2006
12935 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 7:03 am to
What's the range of the TorCon scale?
Posted by tWildcat
Verona, KY
Member since Oct 2014
19295 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 7:05 am to
This may get bad, stay safe to all Oklahoma and Texas posters.
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