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Posted by
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Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecast
Posted by East Coast Band on 5/18/19 at 9:03 pm31
LINK
Here is the live streaming link for KFOR and KWTV out of OKC. Not streaming now, but for future reference.
KFOR
KWTV
Current forecast with "high" risk area. These level of risk aren't given out often
Be prepared for those in these areas. Sounds ominous.
ETA: removed today's Louisiana threat to focus more on the Oklahoma situation Monday.
Here is the live streaming link for KFOR and KWTV out of OKC. Not streaming now, but for future reference.
KFOR
KWTV
quote:
Monday, 20 May 2019 could be a higher-end severe weather day. Only the 18th time @NWSSPC has issued a Day 3 Moderate Risk. Last time it was issued was on 07 May 2015.
Current forecast with "high" risk area. These level of risk aren't given out often
Be prepared for those in these areas. Sounds ominous.
quote:
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1229 PM CDT Sun May 19 2019 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHWEST TEXAS INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM FAR EASTERN NEW YORK INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...
SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of all severe hazards, including strong tornadoes, are expected across portions of the southern Plains on Monday. ...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON MONDAY... ...Southern Plains... A complicated, yet potentially higher-end severe weather scenario will unfold across the southern Plains throughout the forecast period. Height falls associated with an approaching longwave trough centered over Arizona will overlie a strong surface dryline along the New Mexico/Texas border, resulting in a north-south oriented band of storms in that area around 12Z or so. These storms will migrate northeastward and contain a threat for hail and damaging wind gusts throughout the morning due to steep mid-level lapse rates and supercellular wind profiles. A tornado threat may also exist on the southern end of this activity - especially where convection can become surface-based and remain discrete amidst with slightly higher boundary layer moisture (i.e., upper 60s to 70s dewpoints). The evolution of this early morning complex will impact the severe risk in downstream areas of Oklahoma and northwest Texas through the afternoon and evening. A variety of operational models and CAMS suggest that some portions of this MCS will interact with the northward-moving surface warm front and possibly retard its movement into northern portions of the outlook area (near the OK/KS border area). Meanwhile, most model solutions suggest the development of isolated convection out ahead of any ongoing MCS activity - with this risk most evident across portions of southwestern Oklahoma and vicinity. These storms are expected to reside in a environmental parameter space supportive of all severe hazards, including significant hail and strong tornadoes, and this risk should be maximized as long as discrete, cellular convection can persist through the forecast period. This risk will become further enhanced by an increasingly strong low-level jet across the region during the early evening should storms maintain a relatively discrete mode.
ETA: removed today's Louisiana threat to focus more on the Oklahoma situation Monday.
This post was edited on 5/20 at 1:25 pm
re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by chinhoyang on 5/18/19 at 9:04 pm to East Coast Band
Big storm with high winds and large hail is headed into NW Louisiana right now.
re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by Pedro on 5/18/19 at 9:08 pm to East Coast Band
Well if it had to be somewhere at least it’s a relatively sparsely populated area.
re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by Duke on 5/18/19 at 9:12 pm to East Coast Band
Late May. W and Central OK.
Say that's pretty traditional wedge hunting.
Say that's pretty traditional wedge hunting.
re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by Lazy But Talented on 5/18/19 at 9:13 pm to East Coast Band
Why didn’t we have a thread for today’s storm? I was looking for it all day.
I went chase a couple weeks ago out to Hutchinson, ks with a cell that dropped a rope tornado. Ended up closer to it then I intended and that scared the absolute frick out of me.
frick chasing wedges.
frick chasing wedges.
re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by East Coast Band on 5/18/19 at 9:17 pm to Lazy But Talented
quote:
Why didn’t we have a thread for today’s storm?
Maybe because we all were
quote:
Lazy But Talented
I suppose you can use this thread, if you don't want to start one yourself
re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by Jim Rockford on 5/18/19 at 9:22 pm to East Coast Band
Tornado watch tonight in North La. So far nada
re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by Lazy But Talented on 5/18/19 at 9:25 pm to East Coast Band
I feel like it’s stormed every Saturday in DFW for a month.
This post was edited on 5/18 at 9:25 pm
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re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by East Coast Band on 5/18/19 at 9:27 pm to Jim Rockford
Current watch:
re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by ScaryClown on 5/18/19 at 9:48 pm to East Coast Band
Chasing in farmerville right now. Wish me luck
re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by LSUgusto on 5/18/19 at 10:26 pm to East Coast Band
It's gusty along the Gulf Coast, but not menacing. The air is also relatively cool and dry from the system that just moved through the week before.
I hope that portends not much energy for big storms. A red band is about to go over our area in a little bit. I don't even seeing any lightning thus far.
When the air down here feels like a hot vaporizer with unrelenting wind off the Gulf, that's when bad stuff happens to the north of us. Just my take.
I hope that portends not much energy for big storms. A red band is about to go over our area in a little bit. I don't even seeing any lightning thus far.
When the air down here feels like a hot vaporizer with unrelenting wind off the Gulf, that's when bad stuff happens to the north of us. Just my take.
re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by SEClint on 5/18/19 at 10:54 pm to East Coast Band
I hate AM storms
re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by wfallstiger on 5/18/19 at 11:22 pm to East Coast Band
We are on the SE fringe of the bullseye....is that time of year for our neck of the woods
re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by East Coast Band on 5/19/19 at 8:17 am to wfallstiger
bump for today's Louisiana concerns
re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by Cowboyfan89 on 5/19/19 at 8:40 am to East Coast Band
Mamou and Ville Platte got hit hard. House in the middle of the road on L'anse Meg in Mamou. Trees and powerlines down all over Ville Platte.
re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecastPosted by tigerinthebueche on 5/19/19 at 9:10 am to Cowboyfan89
Pretty good winds with the leading edge this morning. Didn’t let long but it was stronger than they forecasted for WBR.
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