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Message
re: Tropical Storm Claudette - Heading Out Sea
Posted on 6/14/21 at 2:08 pm to paperwasp
Posted on 6/14/21 at 2:08 pm to paperwasp
quote:
Been watching these runs for West/Central Alabama.
With this run North AL gets the heaviest. I've had just under 7" of rain this month at my house. This run of the GFS shows 10"+ more by the end of the month.
2
Posted on 6/14/21 at 2:38 pm to rds dc
RDS- what link or how can I find those specific rainfall graphics? Please and thank you.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 2:39 pm to CaptainJ47
Posted on 6/14/21 at 2:39 pm to LegendInMyMind
Father’s Day from Houma to Pensacola looks nasty
Posted on 6/14/21 at 2:45 pm to rds dc
Steve Caparotta, Ph.D.
@SteveWAFB
·
48m
Development chances are now up to 70% over the next 5 days with the disturbance in the southern Gulf. Again, regardless of development or not, rainfall is the primary concern as it stands right now. Rains could arrive by Friday and potentially getting heavier into Saturday.
This post was edited on 6/14/21 at 2:51 pm
Posted on 6/14/21 at 2:47 pm to MorbidTheClown
WFMR
Posted on 6/14/21 at 3:20 pm to SlidellCajun
Father’s Day from Houma to Pensacola looks nasty
that happens every year when everyone gets drunk and start trying to guess "who the baby daddy"
that happens every year when everyone gets drunk and start trying to guess "who the baby daddy"
Posted on 6/14/21 at 3:20 pm to MrLSU
He would still somehow be wrong.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 3:22 pm to TDsngumbo
Well it just keeps getting better. Who ask for a hurricane for Father’s Day. I assume you meant the damn drink????
Posted on 6/14/21 at 3:33 pm to MorbidTheClown
frick this.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 3:35 pm to TutHillTiger
Hurricanes Rules
1. When in doubt just guess bay St. Louis area or lake Charles and you will be right half the time.
2. When you see the midget “angel of death” from the weather channel on your flight or your town you are screwed.
3. There is always a hurricane in play during my sons or my birthday (August 21-31)
4. Old fisherman and locals can sense the damn things somehow. And hooded babies obviously.
5. You will be a ton of false alarms to wear you down before the big one hits you.
6. No matter what you do your generator will not crank when you need it.
1. When in doubt just guess bay St. Louis area or lake Charles and you will be right half the time.
2. When you see the midget “angel of death” from the weather channel on your flight or your town you are screwed.
3. There is always a hurricane in play during my sons or my birthday (August 21-31)
4. Old fisherman and locals can sense the damn things somehow. And hooded babies obviously.
5. You will be a ton of false alarms to wear you down before the big one hits you.
6. No matter what you do your generator will not crank when you need it.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 3:36 pm to Riolobo
So is Father’s Day dooms day or is the guess tied to a holiday?
Posted on 6/14/21 at 3:42 pm to TutHillTiger
Posted on 6/14/21 at 3:47 pm to Mr Clean
Guess I need to get my grass cut
Posted on 6/14/21 at 3:48 pm to LegendInMyMind
12Z Accumulated rainfall through the 24th. North AL getting more rain than you LA folks on this run.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 3:56 pm to LegendInMyMind
As rds mentioned earlier, GFS and Euro have a shortwave diving out of Canada toward the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. This erodes the western ridge keeping it pinned south and gets the kick north to move it along into Louisiana and eventually absorbed into a big trough.
Makes sense.
This timeframe also leads to a sloppy system with multiple rotations competing to be the main one. The GFS is sloppier than the Euro but both depict a loose and east loaded system.
Wind can be sneaky with these if you get some good thunderstorms rocking and the wind gets to mix down, but often it's light to moderate rain and light winds in these situations.
Early weekend timeframe, rain primary concern. Somewhere in Louisiana because of course.
Makes sense.
This timeframe also leads to a sloppy system with multiple rotations competing to be the main one. The GFS is sloppier than the Euro but both depict a loose and east loaded system.
Wind can be sneaky with these if you get some good thunderstorms rocking and the wind gets to mix down, but often it's light to moderate rain and light winds in these situations.
Early weekend timeframe, rain primary concern. Somewhere in Louisiana because of course.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 4:03 pm to CaptainJ47
quote:
RDS- what link or how can I find those specific rainfall graphics? Please and thank you.
That is from weathermodels.com. It is a subscription-based website that has their own products based on model guidance.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 4:03 pm to LegendInMyMind
Well shite.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 4:05 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Of fricking course. I hate to be that guy but flying out of MSY early on the 25th. I am laughing at this shite right now
Posted on 6/14/21 at 4:07 pm to Fun Bunch
The vast majority of that rain is going to come between the 18th and the 20th.
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