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re: Tornado! - Bassfield, MS rated EF-4 w/ 63 Mile Track, Peak Winds 170 mph

Posted on 4/9/20 at 11:02 am to
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115443 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 11:02 am to
well...ain't that fricking grand
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21527 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 4:02 pm to
Big watch out for most of S & SE Texas, primary threat is large hail.

Posted by glassman
Next to the beer taps at Finn's
Member since Oct 2008
118276 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 4:03 pm to
Apple sized hail? WTF?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51714 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 4:21 pm to
Here's some of what the NWS in Birmingham is saying about Sunday for its coverage area for:

quote:

Into the evening, even stronger dynamics & forcing arrive.
Supercells & convective lines, having blossomed to our west, will
yield a threat of tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail as
they move across Central Alabama. Very strong low-level shear,
moderate instability (maintained by low-level warm advection), and
the fast forward motion of the storms brings concern of not only
a strong tornado threat, but also that an instance of a long-track
tornado could occur as well.
Heavy rain will push rain totals
into the 2-3 inch range, locally higher, though flooding doesn`t
appear to be a mentionable threat at this time.
This post was edited on 4/9/20 at 4:22 pm
Posted by glassman
Next to the beer taps at Finn's
Member since Oct 2008
118276 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 4:25 pm to
Good luck.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21527 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

Very strong low-level shear,
moderate instability (maintained by low-level warm advection), and
the fast forward motion of the storms brings concern of not only
a strong tornado threat, but also that an instance of a long-track
tornado could occur as well



Not a good combo. I wonder if SPC pulls the Day 3 MOD?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51714 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

Not a good combo. I wonder if SPC pulls the Day 3 MOD?


Certainly possible. If the current trend continues, I'd expect to see one by at least Saturday morning or midday. I would expect to see the enhanced risk area get expanded a lot tomorrow.
This post was edited on 4/9/20 at 4:48 pm
Posted by tigercross
Member since Feb 2008
5067 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 5:20 pm to
quote:

Jesus is sending severe rain to discourage all the idiots that think they need to celebrate Easter en mass.


What about the idiots who don't know the correct spelling is "en masse"?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51714 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 8:00 pm to
I'm not as well-versed in meteorology as rds, but I read weather message boards and know a few things, and based on what I am reading and seeing, this looks like a potential major severe weather event across the deep south. Hopefully it'll trend back the other way, but Sunday may be a high risk day for somewhere in the deep south, with a large moderate risk area surrounding that.
This post was edited on 4/9/20 at 8:01 pm
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41064 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 9:46 pm to
quote:

Those days are coming


Keith Richards will live to tell us about it!
Posted by vuvuzela
Oregon
Member since Jun 2010
14663 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 11:09 pm to
quote:

Eventually, the sun will start to exhaust its supply of hydrogen and balloon out into a red giant. The size of the sun in the sky will grow and Earth will receive more and more sunlight, heating the planet. Seas will boil off. Rocks will melt. Eventually, the sun will cover the entire sky of the Earth. There will be no well-defined day or night because the planet will be inside the sun's envelope. The planet will plow through the hot tenuous plasmas in the outer shell of the sun, steadily losing orbital kinetic energy through friction and ram effects. As the planet slows down, its orbit will decay and it will start to fall toward the core. While falling inward toward the core, the planet will smash into hotter and more dense material and its surface will get hotter and hotter and begin to ablate, much like a spacecraft heat shield as it enters the Earth's atmosphere. The surface of the planet will begin to be vaporized and blown off into the sun. Eventually, the entire planet will be consumed by the sun. There will be no evidence the Earth ever existed because its material will mix into the sun's. For the next several billion years after the Earth is consumed, it is doomed to the sun's fate: slowly cooling and contracting as the nuclear fires extinguish to become a cold, dead, lightless cinder illuminated only by the shine of distant stars which will blink out or explode, one by one, until they are all hurtling alone through the utterly black, inky, unimaginable void of space.



Man, that was... beautiful
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 5:53 am to


Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0244 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2020

Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR
CENTRAL/NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...MISSISSIPPI...WESTERN/CENTRAL ALABAMA...

...SUMMARY...
An outbreak of severe thunderstorms appears likely Sunday into
Sunday night, with the greatest threat expected from Louisiana
east-northeastward through much of the Southeast and Tennessee
Valley. Strong, long-tracked tornadoes and potentially widespread
damaging wind are possible.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51714 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 6:40 am to
I get the feeling that come Sunday morning, there will be a high risk area in there. A day 3 moderate risk is quite rare.
This post was edited on 4/10/20 at 6:45 am
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 6:41 am to
Those Tstorms last night was rough. Knock out the power for about an hour. Rain came down in buckets here. Haven't walked the yard yet, but I am sure there will be tree limbs down everywhere.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 7:16 am to
Well, this looks like shite for now.
Only meteorologist James Spann is excited around here about that forecast.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51714 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 7:17 am to
quote:

Only meteorologist James Spann is excited around here about that forecast.


He’s not excited about it.
Posted by SM6
Georgia
Member since Jul 2008
8959 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 7:23 am to
I don't often see the enhanced line cover this much of Georgia so far in advance. We're down in west-central Georgia and, as of now, it looks like the bad stuff won't get here until the overnight hours.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 7:47 am to
I only say that facetiously.
Posted by MsGarrison
Steele Town LOL
Member since Nov 2009
22489 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 8:24 am to
I must say, James Spann loves his job. He not only educated but shows a general concern for the safety of others in severe weather events. He knows people are stubborn and they react to late in these situations.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21527 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 8:31 am to
Some of the various analogs being produced, big hitters and nothing burgers.

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