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re: The Great Flood of 2016: Fill Out Disaster Forms NOW. Link Inside!

Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:49 pm to
Posted by Python
Member since May 2008
6664 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:49 pm to
quote:

which students are at risk of dropping out at LSU,


The dumb ones. What do I win?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21527 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:49 pm to
quote:

what area/neighborhood?


On Shady Lake Pkwy down towards Highland. Was told by the old timers that a few houses here flooded in the past, so was worried given the historic nature of this event. This house never flooded but water came up to the slab during one of the past flood events.
Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
57863 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:50 pm to
Burbank soccer fields flooded yesterday, so some of that could be water unable to recede.
Posted by TulaneUVA
Member since Jun 2005
26226 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:50 pm to
Oh damn, so if that section of Nicholson is closing that means elbow bayou off of bayou fountain is rising right? Means the backflow is near staring?
Posted by OldManRiver
Prairieville, LA
Member since Jan 2005
7575 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:50 pm to
quote:

I-10 is now 2-3 feet deep at Bayou Manchac and increasing, as per scanner.

This may be a dumb question, but here goes. According to online resources, I-10 elevation at that point is 19.6. To me that means that Bayou Manchac would be around 21.5-22 feet deep, which makes perfect sense since the crest at the Amite is supposed to 21.5 or so. I'm close to the area, but on the high side of Bluff sitting at 30 feet. Does that mean that Bayou Manchac would have to go up an additional 7 feet or so for me to have water in my home, or are there other variables I'm missing.
Posted by DixonCider
H-Town
Member since Nov 2015
398 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:51 pm to
That area is screwed, I'll see if I can post pics from this afternoon around 3:30pm
Posted by Engineer
Member since Dec 2015
278 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:51 pm to
Legally, yes, but you don't think there were people trapped today that needed to dial 911 but couldn't?

Some of them may be dead.
Posted by supernovasky
Member since Jul 2012
588 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:51 pm to
Nicholson and Gardere is shut down. Here is a map of where logjam backflow is occurring.



Red X's show active flooding situations currently reported.

Red arrows are where backflow is to be assumed.

Blue arrows are normal nonflooding flow.

Posted by Puck82
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2009
23949 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:51 pm to
WBRZ still showing the reading from last night. Manchac is well over 18.3.
Posted by Budge
Member since Jan 2007
76 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:51 pm to
quote:

A lot of it is. I do neural nets, decision trees, etc. as well as traditional logistic techniques. My work is currently being used to predict which students are at risk of dropping out at LSU, which prisoners can safely be released at the DOC (well, it is about to be used there, been working on that project), who to recruit for success, which financial brokers to invite to your investment firm, and a few other things.
I'm aware of one of those projects. I've made a note of it and will circle back around.
Posted by tigerbait2010
PNW
Member since May 2006
33606 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:52 pm to
Does anyone know if I'll be able to get back to my place tomorrow morning? I live at Boyd place across from 333 lofts. Shockingly the place was built on higher ground, so for now my place technically hasn't flooded. Appreciate the feedback and stay safe everyone
Posted by 03GeeTee
Oklahomastan
Member since Oct 2010
3424 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:52 pm to
I'm near Riverbend in lake beau pre.. I'd say it's highly unlikely that either neighborhood sees any kind of significant flooding.
Posted by DupontsCircle
Dupont Circle
Member since Jun 2016
5823 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:52 pm to
If anybody is wondering, all dry up here in Alexandria Virginia.
Posted by lsunurse
Member since Dec 2005
129146 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:53 pm to
quote:

that needed to dial 911 but couldn't?


Wait....I thought they could still dial 911 with their phones, just not make any other calls


Posted by supernovasky
Member since Jul 2012
588 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:53 pm to
quote:

quote:
I-10 is now 2-3 feet deep at Bayou Manchac and increasing, as per scanner.

This may be a dumb question, but here goes. According to online resources, I-10 elevation at that point is 19.6. To me that means that Bayou Manchac would be around 21.5-22 feet deep, which makes perfect sense since the crest at the Amite is supposed to 21.5 or so. I'm close to the area, but on the high side of Bluff sitting at 30 feet. Does that mean that Bayou Manchac would have to go up an additional 7 feet or so for me to have water in my home, or are there other variables I'm missing.


Common misconception. Water is coming from both sides though. The water uphill from you has to flow into you... but if the water downhill from you is backing up, it makes the water uphill from you less able to freely flow, and therefore it spills the banks.
Posted by OldManRiver
Prairieville, LA
Member since Jan 2005
7575 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:53 pm to
quote:

Manchac is well over 18.3.

Right, if it's 2-3 feet over I-10 then it's at least 21.5 or more, at least if the elevation numbers are correct
Posted by DupontsCircle
Dupont Circle
Member since Jun 2016
5823 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:54 pm to
You found your parents?
Posted by ChunkyLover54
Member since Apr 2015
6666 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:54 pm to
Good to hear
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21527 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:55 pm to
quote:

If anybody is wondering, all dry up here in Alexandria Virginia.


Good to hear, our place in Cameron Station almost didn't make it through the Winter of '09/10
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:55 pm to
quote:

Wait....I thought they could still dial 911 with their phones, just not make any other calls



Not if cell service is down altogether. right?
This post was edited on 8/14/16 at 11:55 pm
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