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Started By
Message
re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:54 am to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:54 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
If you look at the nhc page and there’s an update statement link in pink, that’s it.
Thank you, sir.
1
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:54 am to rcheber76
IMO you made the right decision. Trying to drive over to the west side of the eye is going to get you stuck in your car in some shitty pine tree infested road catching full horsepower.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:55 am to Zach Lee To Amp Hill
Just finished the 12 hour trek from BR to 30A. Should've just taken a flight out.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:55 am to RummelTiger
God I hate the phrase “hunker down”
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:55 am to GEAUXmedic
VDM from Recon for the center:
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 29th day of the month at 5:43Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF97-5303
Storm Name: Ida
Storm Number & Year: 09 in 2021 (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 12
Observation Number: 03
A. Time of Center Fix: 29th day of the month at 4:42:40Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 27.34N 88.46W
B. Center Fix Location: 206 statute miles (332 km) to the SSE (152°) from New Orleans, LA, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,724m (8,937ft) at 700mb
D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 955mb (28.20 inHg)
E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 220° at 3kts (From the SW at 3mph)
F. Eye Character: Closed
G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles)
H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 85kts (97.8mph)
I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 8 nautical miles to the WNW (291°) of center fix at 4:40:00Z
J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 26° at 94kts (From the NNE at 108.2mph)
K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) to the WNW (299°) of center fix at 4:39:00Z
L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 94kts (108.2mph)
M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) to the ESE (115°) of center fix at 4:46:00Z
N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 204° at 110kts (From the SSW at 126.6mph)
O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 14 nautical miles (16 statute miles) to the ESE (114°) of center fix at 4:46:30Z
P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,051m (10,010ft)
Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,045m (9,990ft)
R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 3°C (37°F)
R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
S. Fix Levels (surface & flight level centers within 5nm of each other): Surface and 700mb
T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
T. Meteorological Accuracy: 1.5 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 110kts (~ 126.6mph) which was observed 14 nautical miles (16 statute miles) to the ESE (114°) from the flight level center at 4:46:30Z
General Note About Vortex Messages:
- SFMR and flight level winds are usually averaged over a 10 second period. (The National Hurricane Center's advisory wind speeds are the highest expected winds averaged over a 1 minute period.)
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 29th day of the month at 5:43Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF97-5303
Storm Name: Ida
Storm Number & Year: 09 in 2021 (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 12
Observation Number: 03
A. Time of Center Fix: 29th day of the month at 4:42:40Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 27.34N 88.46W
B. Center Fix Location: 206 statute miles (332 km) to the SSE (152°) from New Orleans, LA, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,724m (8,937ft) at 700mb
D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 955mb (28.20 inHg)
E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 220° at 3kts (From the SW at 3mph)
F. Eye Character: Closed
G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles)
H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 85kts (97.8mph)
I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 8 nautical miles to the WNW (291°) of center fix at 4:40:00Z
J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 26° at 94kts (From the NNE at 108.2mph)
K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) to the WNW (299°) of center fix at 4:39:00Z
L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 94kts (108.2mph)
M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) to the ESE (115°) of center fix at 4:46:00Z
N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 204° at 110kts (From the SSW at 126.6mph)
O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 14 nautical miles (16 statute miles) to the ESE (114°) of center fix at 4:46:30Z
P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,051m (10,010ft)
Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,045m (9,990ft)
R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 3°C (37°F)
R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
S. Fix Levels (surface & flight level centers within 5nm of each other): Surface and 700mb
T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
T. Meteorological Accuracy: 1.5 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 110kts (~ 126.6mph) which was observed 14 nautical miles (16 statute miles) to the ESE (114°) from the flight level center at 4:46:30Z
General Note About Vortex Messages:
- SFMR and flight level winds are usually averaged over a 10 second period. (The National Hurricane Center's advisory wind speeds are the highest expected winds averaged over a 1 minute period.)
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:55 am to Cobrasize
Moving at 15 mph now.. down from 16 mph?
Is that right? Maybe adds almost an hour to landfall.
185/15 = 12.33
So are we thinking around 12:00 tomorrow?
Is that right? Maybe adds almost an hour to landfall.
185/15 = 12.33
So are we thinking around 12:00 tomorrow?
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:56 am to joshnorris14
quote:
Just finished the 12 hour trek from BR to 30A.
Glad to hear you got to your destination safely.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:56 am to Duke
quote:
It floods, especially the back half. Id leave if you can.
Yes it goes. The north half.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:56 am to ned nederlander
quote:
It’s just an awful situation and if by some grace New Orleans and our house escape with just a week of power outages this is still going to be a hard look in the mirror for us on if we can raise kids here. Just sick to my stomach atm.
With all due respect this is a knee jerk reaction. Name one region of the country that doesn’t have some sort of stuff like this
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:56 am to Duke
quote:Damn, it's nice having a private meteorologist on-hand at 12:50 AM on a Sunday morning.
Duke
Appreciate the intel; looking more like this hussy plans on visiting us out on the farm (NW Livingston), so we have both a pucker in our step and a newfound curiosity about what happens in/around the eyewall. Again, I appreciate the response and details.
Get some sleep--we gonna be relying on your arse tomorrow!
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:57 am to GEAUXmedic
For the first time in my life, the thrill of the adrenaline rush of an approaching hurricane is beginning to transition to a pit in my stomach feeling. I just have a gut feeling this is going to be terrifying for those of us in the direct path. Prayers for all of you for safety and as little damage as possible.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:58 am to TheRouxGuru
quote:
With all due respect this is a knee jerk reaction. Name one region of the country that doesn’t have some sort of stuff like this
Lots of places don’t get nailed with life-altering natural disasters on a yearly basis
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:58 am to TDsngumbo
It's setting up to be a home game for the Cajun Navy. One they never wanted to have.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:59 am to UncleLester
Nights before a big storm always feel ominous because the energy in the air always feels different. Stay safe out there, this we’re gonna get through.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:59 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
For the first time in my life, the thrill of the adrenaline rush of an approaching hurricane is beginning to transition to a pit in my stomach feeling. I just have a gut feeling this is going to be terrifying for those of us in the direct path. Prayers for all of you for safety and as little damage as possible.
Thoughts and prayers for you and your loved ones.. and all others in the path.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:59 am to Zach Lee To Amp Hill
quote:
Lots of places don’t get nailed with life-altering natural disasters on a yearly basis
You ever hear of wildfires?
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:59 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
For the first time in my life, the thrill of the adrenaline rush of an approaching hurricane is beginning to transition to a pit in my stomach feeling.
Yes, we left and are just past beaumont but I have a very bad feeling in my gut that we will return home to no home. We are temporarily in a mobile home while we get things straight and begin building a house but still losing everything we couldn't bring is just a feeling I'm dreading.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:59 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
For the first time in my life, the thrill of the adrenaline rush of an approaching hurricane is beginning to transition to a pit in my stomach feeling.
I'm starting to feel that way too. I've been overthinking about every possible situation for the past hour or two and it's not helping at all.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:59 am to joshnorris14
quote:
Just finished the 12 hour trek from BR to 30A. Should've just taken a flight out.
You could've made the Sugar Shak
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:59 am to TDsngumbo
Yeah this is the first time I’ve evacuated. Idk what to think or feel.
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