re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

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Im ready for this update. This will seal our fate im afraid.

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Still got a long way to go, but I don't think this update makes anyone in SELA comfortable. It's not going to be a favorable track for ya'll, but it could swing back west later. Who knows.

4:00 PM CDT Sat Aug 28
Location: 26.2°N 87.0°W
Moving: NW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 976 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph



Ida has moved a little to the right of the previous track, but the
long-term motion motion is still northwestward or 320/14 kt. The
track forecast philosophy remains unchanged. Ida is expected to
continue on a northwestward heading through late Sunday as it is
steered around the southwestern portion of a deep-layer ridge near
the southeastern United Stated coast. After landfall, Ida's forward
motion is forecast to slow when it turns northward around the
western extent of the aforementioned ridge. By Tuesday, the cyclone
should reach the southern extent of the mid-latitude westerlies,
causing it to turn north-northeastward across the Lower Mississippi
and Tennessee Valleys. The track guidance has nudged slightly
eastward during the first 12-24 hours, primarily due to the more
northeastward initial position, and this has required a slight
rightward adjustment in the new official forecast at those times.
The remainder of the NHC forecast is largely unchanged from before,
and lies near various consensus models and the GFS ensemble mean.

No more wobbles

Not as east as I was anticiapting. And it will hit here mostly in the daylight. That’s good news.

Slackster is correct - slight shift east to Terrebonne bay but closer to Fourchon

NAM Simulated Reflectivity that shows the potential for significant banding after the center has left the area:

NHC staying with 130mph at landfall.

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Then the plan is fricking ridiculous.

They had 60 hours before the storm was to hit.

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How does it take 48 hours? Just get state troopers to stop incoming traffic on I-55 and I-10 and let all 4 lanes go out of the city. You could do it in an hour. Announce that the causeway will remain both lanes for anyone needing to get into the city for another 12 hours, let I-10 on the north shore run both ways for this time. 55 is one way till Mississippi. After 12 hours shut down I-10 and make it all one way heading east toward ms from the causeway bridge and one way west to 55 or Baton Rouge from the causeway bridge

This encourages a northern evacuation as well if you open 55 first