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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:02 pm to
Posted by elprez00
Hammond, LA
Member since Sep 2011
31550 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Lake Charles didn't see 130 mph winds.

Gusts? Yes. Sustained was 100 mph. Cat 2 conditions.

What people need to remember is Cat 2 conditions will frick stuff up because 100 with gusts 130+ will frick stuff up.


Oh I’m not disagreeing with you Duke. But a few pages back someone posted wind potentials of 130+ in BR with no explanation. It had Lake Chuck with 100 possible. The National Weather Service estimates are nowhere near that, even gusts.

There used to be some dude on Facebook that had a page called like “Louisiana Hurricane Center” that people would share and repost all the time. The guy basically took NWS forecasts and reported along with every doomcasting article or blog he could find. Dude was not a meteorologist nor affiliated with any official service. But people shared that shite like it was gospel.
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
15181 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

I'll do you one better. Homeboy in shreveport filling up 5 gas cans..


Maybe he's bringing it back when he goes back in? I did that for Laura. Left with two cans in case but 5 more empties. Gased up on my way back.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Oh I’m not disagreeing with you Duke.


At this point in a hurricane thread, I'm not really responding to an individual poster. Well, you know, not when I'm making a weather point at least.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75093 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:05 pm to
One thing I'm looking/concerned about, particularly if the Eastern jog holds, is that some areas are going to see the training bands of rain initially. Then as Ida makes its Eastern turn over land there's a good chance we see multiple bands drag across the same areas. Those may catch some folks off guard and will just add to the rain totals.
Posted by Bayou_Tiger_225
Third Earth
Member since Mar 2016
12818 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:05 pm to
Starts a bit easy but ends up essentially in the same spot. At this point it seems like specific landfall location will depend on which wobble we are on.
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4955 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

GEAUXmedic


quote:

Euro is east


quote:

Euro pretty much the same


Lol
Posted by tigafan4life
Member since Dec 2006
50981 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:06 pm to
Is wobble on the bingo card?
Posted by Swagga
504
Member since Dec 2009
19234 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:07 pm to
He was probably posting as the track was updating. I’m assuming it started a little east but ultimately ends in the same place.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75093 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:07 pm to
@JackSillin
quote:

1:05 PM CDT 8-28-21 #WobblePlot:

#Ida is wobbling a bit between our hourly check-ins, but is holding pretty steady overall. Wandering closer to the E edge of the guidance envelope.

This might shave off a few hrs it could have had over the Gulf, but puts the core closer to NOLA. LINK

Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
8679 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

By at least 5 wobbles.


How many 'H's is that baw?
Posted by Bigfishchoupique
Member since Jul 2017
9605 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

What people need to remember is Cat 2 conditions will frick stuff up because 100 with gusts 130+ will frick stuff up.



Just came in from Lake Long setting some catfish nets. Breezy,heavy rain at times.

Quite exhilarating to be running around out there with the storm weather. I didn’t see another boat.
This post was edited on 8/28/21 at 1:09 pm
Posted by tigafan4life
Member since Dec 2006
50981 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:09 pm to
They want Nola to just have the eye right over that city. The track is gonna go just east of Baton Rouge. No way the eye is going over NOLA. And I hope it doesn’t since that idiot didn’t evacuate the city.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:09 pm to
I really like Jack's "cone", might be a useful tool going forward in the thread.
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
15181 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:09 pm to
Duke,

Could you please post here and tell my wife we are safe north of LC.

She is still begging me to keep one room and I don't feel like spending more $$ on a room we're not going to be in
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33487 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

Dr. Levi Cowan
@TropicalTidbits

#Ida continues to intensify, with an eye now beginning to clear out on satellite imagery. We won't get a new recon aircraft for another few hours, but max winds are now estimated near 100 mph.

The track has also wobbled slightly to the right (NE). We'll see if that continues.


Posted by Capt ST
High Plains
Member since Aug 2011
13665 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:11 pm to
How long does an ERC typically take?
Posted by Cooler
Member since Mar 2017
188 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:11 pm to
What is the order for updating Track / Speed? 7 and 1 is Track and 4 and 10 is speed?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

Could you please post here and tell my wife we are safe north of LC.


Lake Charles is good at this point. Seriously.
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95025 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

There used to be some dude on Facebook that had a page called like “Louisiana Hurricane Center” that people would share and repost all the time. The guy basically took NWS forecasts and reported along with every doomcasting article or blog he could find. Dude was not a meteorologist nor affiliated with any official service. But people shared that shite like it was gospel.


“Tropical Storm Central”


He’s one of the ones that actual meteorologist tell people to stop following because they’re fear porn posters. Tell him he’s full of shite one time and his army of plebes defend him like a cult. Idiots.
Posted by Bigfishchoupique
Member since Jul 2017
9605 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

The track has also wobbled slightly to the right (NE). We'll see if that continues.


Shite I had an almost thirty mile gap from line. Might have to consider Plan B.
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