- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:44 am to Draconian Sanctions
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:44 am to Draconian Sanctions
quote:
Is going from Nola to BR pointless?
Still too early to say where to go or if you have to go at all but you need to be ready to go.
This one looks like it could be a mean one. How many times have the weather guys said Cat 2 or 3 and at the last moment, it blows up to Cat 4 or 5. Also I don't have a sense of just how large it will be. This one bears close watching and it is almost here.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:45 am to Ingeniero
quote:
That seems way stronger than anyone else has been predicting, no?
This is what, I believe, is tough for some to grasp (for some reason), and I mean no offense to you - just posting "to" you.
It's really only been a few days since Ida has been a thing and, initially, all the info was based on models of a wave as no measurements had been taken of the storm and she hadn't yet developed into anything.
Therefore, a couple of days ago you have a wave with no actual data tied to it, then a named storm with multiple NOAA flights, so you're going to get much better forecasts associated with it.
Once the data started coming in, I believe one of the models bombed it pretty quickly, and then the others are seemingly getting closer to agreement with each update.
So, yes...it does seem stronger than they've been predicting, but in context, there wasn't much data of the actual storm being used for those early predictions.
Stay safe, everyone.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:45 am to Jake88
@ Duke -- seems like Ida is getting stronger ahead of schedule.. Does a stronger storm push harder against that ridge and move the track a little more east?
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:45 am to LSUBALLER
quote:
So is this going to be afar 3 or 4? Worried about wind in Slidell area
Go away dude
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:45 am to Swagga
quote:
want to be closer to the eye of the storm?
Dead center hit from the eye would be way better than taking the north east corner of this bastard. Especially with the elevation gain headed to BR.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:45 am to slackster
quote:
Hwy 90 is down to 1 lane crossing the river in Morgan City.
Not good for those going west
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:46 am to Bayou_Tiger_225

This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 8:48 am
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:46 am to Draconian Sanctions
quote:
Is going from Nola to BR pointless?
I left Metairie and went to BR for Gustav. Yeah that was not a good plan at all.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:46 am to Bayou_Tiger_225
quote:
It will be interesting to watch for. Some of the models are showing a Cat 2 storm up around BR. That would definitely be close to that 100mph mark.
There is a small chance we see 100 MPH gusts here in BR but anyone who suggests we see sustained winds in that range is insane. There would be massive destruction throughout the entire city and many deaths with sustained winds in that range
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 8:48 am
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:47 am to Mr Clean
quote:
Cantore noticeably absent on TV this morning. Where is he en route to
Taking bets now! Giving 5:1 odds on NOLA
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:48 am to CockyTime
quote:
There is a small chance we see 100 MPH gusts here in BR but anyone who suggests we see sustained winds in that range is insane
Keep telling yourself that
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:48 am to notiger1997
quote:lol, I did the same
I left Metairie and went to BR for Gustav. Yeah that was not a good plan at all.
for the guy asking about Slidell, thats all going to depend on if you live in Oak Harbor/Eden Isles or not
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:49 am to FCP
quote:
Our in-house guys were predicting this as a possibility yesterday morning. Guess that would be good enough for the Private Meteorologist Bingo Square if you were counting.
I get this joke, but this region is heavy in oil and gas obviously, and many people work for companies that have private weather services. Most of them use StormGeo which gives you one on one access to a "private meteorologist".
So while it's funny and I definitely laugh, some of these people aren't lying.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:49 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Mandatory evacuation for all Mobile homes and manufactured homes i
OT is going to be busy this morning
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:49 am to CockyTime
quote:
There is a small chance we see 100 MPH gusts here in BR but anyone who suggests we see sustained winds in that range is insane. There would be massive destruction throughout the entire city and many deaths with sustained winds in that range
Never say never....but yea I can't see 100 sustained in BR...just my untrained eye and history talking though.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:49 am to CockyTime
quote:
There is a small chance we see 100 MPH gusts here in BR but anyone who suggests we see sustained winds in that range is insane
Correct. Currently, there's only a projected 30-40% change of 74mph sustained winds. 74mph sustained winds is still significant and would cause widespread damage, but 100mph sustained winds would be catastrophic.

Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:49 am to Jake88
quote:
Slidell should be fine on this path.
It wouldn’t take much weakening of that high pressure to have the center go right over the Hammond area.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:50 am to LSU316
Is it me or did the models shift west and NHC is on the right side of guidance?
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:50 am to Swagga
How far west are the winds extending?? How bad is Lafayette area expected to be?
Popular
Back to top


0












