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Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:56 am to RummelTiger
Waiting for Levi to post the 12Z runs. These should have run at 7AM. Not sure what the hold up is.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:57 am to Keys Open Doors
quote:
What are the time thresholds between gusts and sustained winds?
10 seconds versus 1 minute?
I don't believe there is a time threshold for gusts, but I'm not sure.
Those NOAA maps are showing sustained winds as average wind speed over a minute.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:57 am to TDsngumbo
Honestly what can I expect in Destrehan. Having generator issues and not feeling comfortable
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:58 am to Keys Open Doors
quote:
What are the time thresholds between gusts and sustained winds?
Depends on how old you are and how attractive she is.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:58 am to LSUTiger23
quote:
Waiting for Levi to post the 12Z runs. These should have run at 7AM. Not sure what the hold up is.
Levi doesn't post them, they automatically populate when the data is available. His website basically just turns data into a map. Also, they run at 7AM, but it takes hours to finish, and more time to output graphically. GFS won't be til 10:45 ish, then they stagger after that.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:59 am to duchuntintiger
quote:
Honestly what can I expect in Destrehan.
A lot of wind and rain. I would plan to be without power for an extended period of time.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:59 am to Keys Open Doors
quote:
What are the time thresholds between gusts and sustained winds?
10 seconds versus 1 minute?
Pretty sure gusts are considered anything 20 seconds and shorter
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:00 am to tiger91
quote:
How far west are the winds extending?? How bad is Lafayette area expected to be?
You’ve been in these threads just as much as me
But some advice.. look for your answer on questions like this. Don’t ask this blatantly
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:00 am to CockyTime
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:01 am to Fun Bunch
... but does anyone know the wind speeds in Slidell? I'm very concerned. You could say I'm petrified
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:02 am to Tarps99
Any Beauregard Parish Tiger fans live on the East Side of the Dry Creek Water Tower?
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:03 am to CharleyLake
can anyone locate Boat to help me make some sense of all this?
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:03 am to jmcwhrter
quote:
Does a stronger storm push harder against that ridge and move the track a little more east?
Strong storms don’t push a ridge they follow the edge of it
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:03 am to CharleyLake
Forgive my ignorance, Is BR going to be right in the middle of this storm?
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:03 am to CockyTime
quote:
There is a small chance we see 100 MPH gusts here in BR but anyone who suggests we see sustained winds in that range is insane. There would be massive destruction throughout the entire city and many deaths with sustained winds in that range
I don't live this like half this board does, but how often have we seen 100mph sustained from any storm 70ish miles inland? Maybe the south LA topography is a different animal, but I think it's also relatively common that Cat 2-3 storms come in with recorded sustained below 100 even at the coast. I know that's not definitive of sustained winds due to measurement issues, but a consideration nonetheless.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:03 am to LSUfanNkaty
quote:
Keep telling yourself that
"Sustained" 100mph winds in BR would be catastrophic
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:04 am to Elleshoe
quote:sure I spoke with him and this was his take on the current situation
can anyone locate Boat to help me make some sense of all this?
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:04 am to maisweh
quote:
The center there looks north of where I thought it was.
But I'm not Duke or RDS
Yeah, I know right? I feel like I gotta be careful giving amateur opinions given the "meteorologists" swinging dicks on this board.
To my amateur eye it looks like it's getting its act together too.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:05 am to UpToPar
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