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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:01 pm to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42843 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:01 pm to
Seems like Laura is finally clearing out the little bit of dry air that was affecting her earlier today. Looks to be closing up now. We'll see if she can start getting the deeper confection wrapped around her center.

This post was edited on 8/25/20 at 5:03 pm
Posted by Ripley
Member since Aug 2016
4524 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:01 pm to

Posted by BigWillieStyle
Member since Dec 2019
1703 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:02 pm to
Kramer Robertson’s mom is the coach for Baylor women’s b-ball
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7364 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:05 pm to
He is actually in an apartment across Kaliste Saloom from River Ranch. Older place but decent part of town. He wants to show initiative by staying so he can work and pick up shifts to impress management after the storm. Can’t fault the kid.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35643 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:05 pm to
quote:

I can see the track of the storm but is there a way to compare the current ridge to prior model projections to confirm it is moving as intended?


SPC does upper air charts every 12 hours, based in balloon data. You can compare where the heights are to what the models are showing. You'd be looking at 500 mb.

quote:

For the record I am concerned about the wobble/north movement as I have a kid at UL who is staying and a camp near Morgan City. Any East movement or the perception of such gets the pucker factor going.


I get it man. If there was reason to think it could get that far east, I'd say so.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42843 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:06 pm to
quote:

they'll up the position update advisories to every two hours or even every hour if a major storm is making landfall

but it's only when landfall is imminent

Yeah, that's what I was thinking. Thanks for the info.
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7364 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:06 pm to
Sorry no he is in LFT and I also have a camp near Morgan City...
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7364 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:06 pm to
Much appreciated
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35643 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

Seems like Laura is finally clearing out the little bit of dry air that was affecting her earlier today. Looks to be closing up now. We'll see if she can start getting the deeper confection wrapped around her center.


Been improving all day but yeah, still more organization than anything. All this sets up the strengthening to come.
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
155881 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:09 pm to
Is marco dicking around somewhere over cenla? It just got dark and breezy as shite out of nowhere
Posted by thadcastle
Member since Dec 2019
2625 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:09 pm to
That is some good info thanks for sharing
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35643 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:12 pm to
quote:

Is marco dicking around somewhere over cenla?


Nah, he's still spinning at the coast. Sure he's giving your afternoon storms a little kick.
Posted by RazorBroncs
Harding Bisons Fan
Member since Sep 2013
13547 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:12 pm to
quote:

Is marco dicking around somewhere over cenla? It just got dark and breezy as shite out of nowhere ?


Actually, yes.

The remnants are there, his last gasping breath.

ETA - maybe misunderstood what cenla means. Still very well could be remnants of outer bands reaching that far
This post was edited on 8/25/20 at 5:14 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54791 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:14 pm to
quote:

Where can I become informed about the ridge itself? I can see the track of the storm but is there a way to compare the current ridge to prior model projections to confirm it is moving as intended?

Good luck on that crash course.

Model guidance has just now, read today, caught up on the placement and strength of the ridge. With more observations from soundings launched across the southeast, models now have the ridge closer to its actual location. Drastic shifts west, from here on out, are not likely. Also, drastic shifts east are not that likely due to the ridges. What the NHC has is likely pretty close. There will be wobbles in the storm itself as it changes structure, but they will likely just be wobbles.

The point being Laura is likely to have a large eye at landfall, and that large eye wall will impact a large area. Anywhere near that landfall will see major hurricane impacts including storm surge and high winds. In the grand scheme of things, with this storm, "slight" shifts east or west won't matter a whole lot. Impacts will be dangerous all around it.
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
898 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:14 pm to
quote:

Levi says that while it appears to be trending north this is just reorganization and westward shift more likely than east if anything


Well it needs to take that westward track soo. The more north it moves the more concerned I get here in Geuydan
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1851 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:15 pm to


A very very slight east shift from the new GFS
This post was edited on 8/25/20 at 5:15 pm
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36741 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:15 pm to
quote:


That’s fricking stupid. Another case of putting people in a more dangerous situation to protect them from something that isn’t that dangerous


He said it in yesterday’s press conference. I did t hear it but was told this.
This post was edited on 8/25/20 at 5:18 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11444 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:15 pm to
From NWS LC latest forecast as of 3 PM. As always with tropical system, SUBJECT TO CHANGE



Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
9729 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:17 pm to
quote:

very very slight east shift from the new GFS


Great.... Now the GFS is wishcasting.....
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95905 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:18 pm to
We have a camp in Morgan city. We didn’t even move the boats from the lift of that tells you something
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