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NHC consensus track (black line) is on the far eastern side of the latest 0z guidance. Make of this as you wish.

Shift west by the GFS. Mobile direct hit.

NAM made landfall in Plaquemines Parish.

All 18z models were fed hurricane hunter data.
Tick back west on the 12z GFS. Only 20-30 miles west though.
My post simply states that the variability in outcomes has become more broad between 0z and 6z runs. Those far western members weren't as prevalent in 0z.
A great example of this is demonstrated by the difference in Euro ensemble spread over the last 6-12 hours. The prior EPS run was focused on MS/AL/FL.

You can see the uncertainty (and the shift back west between 0z and 6z runs)







12z Euro still taking aim at SELA as a decent Cat 1
Frank Caliendo should have considered for the role
Whats the going monthly rate for those fiber service providers? I'm in St George.

Just had AT&T fiber installed for 49/month. 1G up, 1G down. Night and day better than Cox, for a third of what I had been paying them. Got 49/month for 12 months. I'm sure it will creep up after that but with additional providers starting to enter neighborhoods, but I can see that being a standard price beyond the 12 month period.



re: Sleep numbers bed

Posted by lsugolfredman on 8/27/26 at 8:58 am to
Following this. Which hybrid mattress did you choose?
FYI, this is also relevant in the State of Florida and for certain contracts in Texas.



re: Gulf shrimp

Posted by lsugolfredman on 7/8/26 at 8:11 pm to
I’ve been buying from Sandy’s on Airline Hwy near Tom Drive for a few years now. Some occasional runts in the mix, but always solid for freshness and availability
Saw this on the shelf in Rouses. Anyone given this a whirl?



Ingredient listing is generic. On appearance alone, it looks very similar to the Geaux Creole brand with larger chunks of bay leaves and spices.
The WRF-ARW model also brings the line close, which has been the best at mirroring the actual temps.

Yep, Ice line is significantly further south and east on the latest HRRR run.

Knocking on BRs doorstep.
It is notable that the Euro model is being discounted by a senior met on another forum, indicating that the temperature is far too warm and too slow with the cold air.

How that impacts South LA is anyone’s guess
HRRR only goes to 48 hrs bud.

And the 48 hr version is only run 4 times daily, otherwise it’s 18hr increments.

Must be confused

re: Corn and crab bisque question

Posted by lsugolfredman on 12/16/25 at 7:51 pm to
If you are looking for a readily available product that works great to fill the flavor void, this stuff is great.