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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:34 pm to
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

weather experts were all about the models


quote:

instead of looking at what Laura was and is actually doing


Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14324 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:34 pm to
Duke, Thanks for the explanation of the HRRR

How accurate do you think this simulated IR satellite of landfall is? Not for location - just on general size and appearance. Looks like a Cat 3 I guess.

Posted by Bayou_Tiger_225
Third Earth
Member since Mar 2016
12863 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:34 pm to
Just west of Holly Beach.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

if laura's center gets to 26N before 90W plot, things will get real interesting


Can you let us know if this does or does not happen... Thanks
Posted by Maytheporkbewithyou
Member since Aug 2016
14186 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

Not sure how 75 miles is a big miss, per NHC, any landfall within their cone of error is a forecast verification


Since th NHC constantly moves and shifts their cone, how could they ever miss?
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
22741 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

Not sure how 75 miles is a big miss, per NHC, any landfall within their cone of error is a forecast verification



Basically anything outside of Galveston to Pecan Island is a miss
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177436 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

if laura's center gets to 26N before 90W plot, things will get real interesting

Until it goes past 90W we still have hope it’ll turn due north and make a direct hit on NOLA.
Posted by BigBrod81
Houma
Member since Sep 2010
22942 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

She tries hard to look really ugly out in the field but in the studio and on Instagram she looks like a fine piece of baby making machinery.


Hard to mask, DSL's, big tits & baby making hips.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:37 pm to
Ain't too far off from the HWRF, which I think has a pretty good handle on the structure at this point.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25816 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

direct hit on NOLA.


Need to get on the horn with Nagin in the clink for a passionate Chocolate City phone call.
Posted by The Egg
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2004
83755 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:38 pm to
That looks like a 5
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78532 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:38 pm to
Nagin's free baby!
Posted by MSG
B.R.
Member since Dec 2007
11278 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:39 pm to
Why are you wanting it to hit NOLA?
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:39 pm to
Test the pump system
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61725 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:40 pm to
quote:

Since th NHC constantly moves and shifts their cone


Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147188 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:40 pm to
quote:

...LAURA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY MORNING...
4:00 PM CDT Tue Aug 25
Location: 24.7°N 88.3°W
Moving: WNW at 17 mph
Min pressure: 990 mb
Max sustained: 80 mph


ETA: for those keeping tabs at home...

that's +0.4 N; +0.6 W from 1 PM
This post was edited on 8/25/20 at 3:42 pm
Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
10497 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:40 pm to
If it hit New Orleans that would be the biggest blunder of all time.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25816 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

Nagin's free baby!


Must be dominating COD Warzone while on house arrest.
Posted by bucknut
Lufkin, Texas
Member since Dec 2013
1860 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:41 pm to
You guys are paying way too much attention to wobbles. In a few hours Laura will wobble straight west and you guys will go crazy claiming Galveston is in the path.
Posted by Fusaichi Pegasus
Meh He Co
Member since Oct 2010
14709 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:41 pm to
Per Twitter, 1 min ago
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