re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Updated 12:02 PM CST, November 2, 2023...

Speaker Mike Johnson signals that Ukraine aid, coupled with border security, is next on GOP agenda

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The only thing that should be held hostage for the border is the next "continuing resolution." If government can't protect our border, what good are they?

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Haven't you heard about the Mushbrain administration flying 320,000 illegals from foreign airports to reduce the border crossings? That is treasonous. Guess who is footing that bill?

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Except that's completely made up, so ...

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Except that's completely made up, so ...

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Not entirely.

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Since the parole program for Cubans, Haitians, Nicaraguans, and Venezuelans (CHNV) was introduced more than a year ago, over 386,000 people of those nationalities have arrived. In addition to vetting, those who enter the US under that parole program are also required to have sponsors in the US. The purpose of the program is to keep people from crossing the border illegally by providing a legal pathway to the US.

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That is from CNN.

The entire claim revolves around a “parole” program for those 4 countries.

The sponsors are likely just members of the NGOs.

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A drone strike has reportedly damaged one of the induction furnaces at Russia's second-largest steel and coking coal producer—the Severstal steel plant in Cherepovets, Vologda Oblast—acting regional governor Georgy Filimonov reported via Telegram on March 7.

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The plant's main activity is turning iron ore into iron pellets. To perform that hydrogen is produced and burned with the iron ore (iron oxide) to become similar to pig iron, but pellet form. There is a similar plant in Convent, LA but with a much more modern system. Natural gas is reformed into hydrogen in the reactor itself. The technology is from a Mexican company.

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One of the cornerstone reasons Putin invaded in 2014 was that Ukraine was about to develop major onshore gas fields that could supplant gas he has currently running to W Europe via the Sudzha pipeline.

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Shell was given the basin covering the Donbas region. Exxon had the area west of the Dnipro River, and Chevron had Crimea and offshore. The onshore basins had a lot of potential for tight shale natural gas an oil production much like the Permian Basin in Texas and New Mexico is doing today.

ISW Update

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Key Takeaways:

Lithuanian intelligence assessed that Russia has the capability to continue sustaining the current tempo of its war in Ukraine and will likely have the capability to gradually expand its military capabilities in the near term.

Lithuanian intelligence also assessed that Russia is unlikely to abandon its long-term objectives of subjugating Ukraine even if Russian fails to achieve these objectives through military means.

Lithuanian intelligence assessed that Russia is preparing for confrontation with NATO in the long term while also waging its war in Ukraine.

Sweden formally joined NATO on March 7, becoming the 32nd member of the alliance.

The governor of the pro-Russian Moldovan autonomous region Gagauzia, Yevgenia Gutsul, met with Russian Presidential Administration Deputy Head Sergei Kiriyenko in Russia on March 7 as Moldovan authorities announced that a criminal case against Gutsul will soon go to court.

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi reiterated Chinese calls for peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine on March 7; Russia will likely continue to use such calls to promote long-standing information operations aimed at prompting Western concessions.

The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) announced on March 7 that it neutralized an Islamic State (IS) terrorist cell that had been preparing an attack on synagogues in Moscow.

Russian forces recently made confirmed advances near Kupyansk and Donetsk City amid continued positional engagements along the entire line of contact on March 7.

Russian intelligence services likely continue to source and operate sanctioned precision machine tools and dual-use components to produce Russian military equipment.

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The governor of the pro-Russian Moldovan autonomous region Gagauzia, Yevgenia Gutsul, met with Russian Presidential Administration Deputy Head Sergei Kiriyenko in Russia on March 7 as Moldovan authorities announced that a criminal case against Gutsul will soon go to court.

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Her good looks and family connections have just hit the wall. I predict a lot of tears on arrival at the Chisinau airport - if she gets that far.

British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 08 March 2024

The Mohajer-6 is an Iranian-produced uncrewed aerial vehicle, provided to Russia and observed flying over the Black Sea and Crimea. The Mohajer-6 is an Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance system but can also conduct air-to-surface attacks with free-fall guided munitions.

Its practical range is limited by line of sight to maintain real-time operator control: approximately 200 km at 10,000 ft. This can be extended by handover to another ground control station.

The continued presence of the system in western Crimea is likely evidence of Russia trying to identify threats to Russian ports and vessels following recent Ukrainian successes.

There is a realistic possibility its mission also includes supporting Russian targeting processes for the south-west Ukrainian coastline. Ukraine has shot down at least one Mohajer-6 - on 23 September 2022 over the Black Sea - and Russia likely accidentally shot down a system over Crimea on 6 June 2023.

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I had not heard that it was not real.

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A real ticklechain shows better vetting skills than do you.

You cannot prove a negative.

Never.

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Can we get back to Ukraine now?

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The US has had pretty much the exact same program for Ukrainians since 2022. I wonder how many have used it. I can't find that number.