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Registered on:11/18/2008
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The Master Strategist strikes again. The crown jewel of the Russian economy is now 6.7 trillion rubles in debt, over 200% of earnings.

"6.7 trillion rubles in debt" translated into Russian is "bankrupt". When this war is over, the fight over this carcass will rival Bahkmut in casualty count.


quote:

Ukraine presented the Behemoth strike drone, a domestic Shahed-type system with range up to 300 km, 75 kg payload, speed up to 200 km/h and operating altitude of 90-300 m.

The drone can fly in FPV or autonomous mode, uses Starlink for communications and carries a tandem warhead combining a shaped-charge penetrator and thermobaric munition.


That's some serious hate there.


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I guess they just skipped past the whole light sabre rollout...

We know it's going to work. We don't want to believe it, but we have no choice.

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It's been obvious Putin has feared his population turning on him, so all this footage is great to see. And remember, they're risking harsh penalties for speaking out, which adds weight to how concerned they are.



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:popcorn:
The upshot of this will be hitting all trucks. They may be doing it already. One thing for sure, as soon as it happens, we'll have the videos from the Ukrainians. And the squealing from the Russians.


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Here's the latest innovation for increasing the range. At first we laugh, but then remember the effectiveness of the Russian air defense in this area.


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At the pace the Ukrainians work, and accounting for weather and the rest of war, a conservative estimate is a lockdown of Crimea’s northern supply routes will be effective in 6–9 months. It could be faster.
I think faster. Everything Ukraine does now is faster and faster.


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A good examination from the Russian side on the rapidly evolving drone warfare.


Fedorov and Zelensky meet with Palantir CEO Alex Karp



quote:

“Ukraine's long-range strikes on Russian targets cannot be viewed solely as a problem of air defense. An unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) or missile is just the final link in the chain.

2/ “The main work begins earlier: reconnaissance, accumulation of digital traces, analysis of satellite and aerial photos, comparison of open and closed data, assessment of the vulnerability of objects, and review of the results of previous strikes.

3/ “The danger lies not only in the UAV itself, but in the entire system that helps to understand in advance where, when, and with what calculation to send it. Ukraine's 35-year-old Defense Minister, Mikhail Fedorov, openly stated that cooperation with the American corporation Palantir has given Ukraine tools for analyzing aerial strikes, artificial intelligence solutions for processing large amounts of intelligence data, and the integration of these technologies into long-range strike planning.
quote:

“The point is not that the American program itself chooses the target. The purpose of such systems is different: they allow to quickly collect fragmented information into a single picture.

6/ “Satellite images, UAV videos, surveillance data, interceptions, information about the repair and restoration of objects, repetitive routes, the results of previous attacks.


7/ “For long-range strikes, it is crucial to understand what function the object performs, how it is related to production, logistics, or energy, how quickly it is restored, and what effect a repeated hit will have.

8/ “Palantir here acts as a data processing and linking environment, while the Ukrainian system Delta provides a unified picture of the situation, linking UAVs, sensors, units, and strike means.
quote:

“In fact, this is an attempt to turn war into a continuous learning cycle: collect data, label it, train the AI model, apply it, measure the result, and improve the system again.
quote:

Virtually all major oil refineries in central Russia have been forced to halt or scale back fuel output following Ukrainian drone attacks in recent days, Reuters reports.

The combined capacity of refineries that have fully or partially halted operations exceeds 83 million metric tons per year, or around 238,000 tons per day. That accounts for around one quarter of Russia's total refining capacity, according to data and sources who spoke on condition of anonymity.

238,000 M/tons = 1.7 million bbls.
quote:

Unmanned Systems Forces commander Magyar said 10 major Russian oil sites were hit in the first 20 days of May, with 6 forced to halt operations. He listed Moscow, Ryazan, Perm, Kirishi, Samara and Tuapse among stopped or partly disrupted facilities, while Primorsk and Yaroslavl also temporarily halted. He said several oil pumping stations were also hit in Nizhny Novgorod, Ryazan and Yaroslavl regions.

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Naftogaz is a Ukrainian energy company. The 1.4 was clearly held in Khazkhstan, probably in a Credit account originally which must have been hit with a lien as soon as the war broke out. Great planning. The Master Strategist strikes again.

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A Kazakhstan court allowed forced recovery of $1.4B from Gazprom in favor of Naftogaz under an international arbitration ruling. Naftogaz said this is the first public foreign court decision enabling enforcement of the arbitration award in a separate jurisdiction, marking a new step in Ukraine’s campaign to collect compensation from Russia’s gas monopoly.
quote:

It was far worse in the late 80s when the oil patch crashed.

In 1985, there was a three week waiting list for a U-Haul trailer in BR. They were all going to Atlanta. In two years there were over 1300 foreclosures in EBR Parish alone. The banks didn't want the houses so the owners were dropping off the keys as a courtesy. On their way out of town.

The company I was working for laid off 30% of the workforce and a month later, another 10%. I was laid off in the first go but was offered a contracting position doing my old job for 60% pay and no benefits. I took it. Over the next 12 months I took nine (9) days off. Total. Yep, I was young but I was really stupid.
Trump is just torturing Vance now. JD thought those anti-Trump videos from 2016 were forgotton. Wrong again.


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More from the same presser:

quote:

JD Vance: "One of the things I find fascinating about Pope Leo is he chose the name 'Leo XIV,' which of course is recollecting Leo XIII. Leo XIII was Pope during a time when incredible industrial transformation led to the rise of fascism and communism in Europe."


He looks rather sad, doesn't he? Too late to jump JD, you've already been pushed.
Speaking of scary, what if Xi demands a full copy of the Epstein files?

What will Putin do? Refuse? Uh, no. He's in no position to refuse anything of the Chinese. Lie and say he doesn't have it it? Uh, no. No one in Beijing is stupid.

No, he'll either have to comply or delay by holding back the really damning stuff. But include just enough to convince the Chinese they have it all.

In either case, we'll soon know what happened when China starts aggressively moving on Taiwan, the Phillipines, Japan and South Korea and TACO looks the other way, probably pulling the Pacific fleet out of the area. The "They have no cards" treatment he is giving Ukraine.

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But the Ukrainians are still happy using really, really old weapon systems as well. The last time we saw 40mm Bofors in action was in the South Pacific in 1944. It worked then, it works now.

:bow:

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