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Started By
Message
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 10/13/22 at 9:52 pm to Obtuse1
Posted on 10/13/22 at 9:52 pm to Obtuse1
ISW Update
quote:
Public reports of the first deaths of ill-prepared mobilized Russian troops in Ukraine have sparked renewed criticism of the Russian military command
quote:
The Kremlin continues to struggle to message itself out of the reality of mobilization and military failures
quote:
Russian forces continued to launch strikes on critical Ukrainian infrastructure on October 13
quote:
Russian forces are likely continuing to use Iranian Shahed-136 drones to support massive strike campaigns against critical Ukrainian infrastructure due to their low efficacy in active combat situations
quote:
Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is likely continuing efforts to distinguish himself and Wagner Group forces from more conventional Russian and proxy troops
quote:
Increasingly degraded morale, discipline, and combat capabilities among Russian troops in combat zones in Ukraine may be leading to temporary suspensions in offensive operations in limited areas
quote:
Key Takeaways
Public reports of the first deaths of ill-prepared mobilized Russian troops in Ukraine have sparked renewed criticism of the Russian military command.
Russian forces continued to launch strikes on critical Ukrainian infrastructure on October 13.
Increasingly degraded morale, discipline, and combat capabilities among Russian troops in combat zones in Ukraine may be leading to temporary suspensions in offensive operations in limited areas.
Ukrainian forces made gains northwest of Svatove.
Russian forces are continuing defensive operations in anticipation of potential Ukrainian attacks towards Kreminna.
Ukrainian and Russian sources stated that Russian troops are attempting to recapture positions in northern and northwestern Kherson Oblast.
Damage to the Kerch Strait Bridge continues to impede the movement of Russian supplies and personnel to southern Ukraine.
Russian forces continued ground attacks in Donetsk Oblast and claimed to make marginal advances south of Bakhmut.
Russian incompetence continues to take its toll on mobilized personnel before they ever reach the front lines, likely exacerbating already-low morale.
Russian officials are likely increasingly limiting freedom of movement in Russia to preserve additional mobilizable populations and prevent them from fleeing the country.
Russian occupation officials called for the evacuation of civilians from occupied Kherson Oblast.
1
Posted on 10/13/22 at 9:55 pm to StormyMcMan
Posted on 10/13/22 at 9:58 pm to Obtuse1
Things are slow these days but some movement
A little OT for the conflict thread. I would buy her ammo.
A little OT for the conflict thread. I would buy her ammo.
Posted on 10/13/22 at 10:27 pm to Obtuse1
Posted on 10/13/22 at 11:09 pm to GOP_Tiger
And of course Russia is the largest supplier of Ukrainian weapons still! I’m glad we are sending the 105 mm guns though. Neither we nor the British really use them anymore but they are still great artillery pieces that are decades newer than the guns the Russians are using. They are lightweight which is great for the muddy season and can be set up, fired and towed away fast. The M119 is especially having good success on the Kherson front. This is an area we can stand to give more of our stocks to Ukraine and not degrade our own capabilities. Our M777s are just too valuable to give many more unless more are produced to replace them and the plant that produced them is being brought back on line but could take over a year just to get things ready to produce them again and they also have to find new ways to obtain titanium which is what makes the gun so light. The Ukrainians have the most hodgepodge military with equipment from so many countries but slowly and surely they are building a formidable force that Russia is not going to be able to push back on. The last piece is aircraft. If it ever happens that Ukraine gets western fighters it’s over with.
Posted on 10/13/22 at 11:23 pm to Obtuse1
Beautiful. But Israeli women soldiers….. Man I’m loyal to the love of my life but having interacted with the IAF in my time I saw some of the absolute most beautiful women I’ve ever seen. Something about them in BDU’s…….
Posted on 10/14/22 at 4:18 am to LSUPilot07
Posted on 10/14/22 at 5:03 am to StormyMcMan
Kyiv orders Crimea bridge demolition to be completed by July 2023.
Posted on 10/14/22 at 5:27 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
AFP- Moscow orders Crimea bridge repairs to be completed by July 2023
Given Russia's track record, I'm sure these repairs will be completed on time and under budget.
Posted on 10/14/22 at 5:43 am to MikeyFL
quote:Does this include future damages or just current damage?
AFP- Moscow orders Crimea bridge repairs to be completed by July 2023
Posted on 10/14/22 at 6:33 am to LSUPilot07
The "hodge-podge" has to make logistics interesting...
Posted on 10/14/22 at 6:58 am to TigersnJeeps
Tigerdroppings Sept '22 traffic by country. Is anyone surprised by #3?
Posted on 10/14/22 at 7:02 am to SlimTigerSlap
Very high possibility of an AFU offensive operation towards Melitopol in the coming days (if not hours).
Posted on 10/14/22 at 7:03 am to SlimTigerSlap
quote:
Tigerdroppings Sept '22 traffic by country. Is anyone surprised by #3?
Wait... Why are we laughing?
Posted on 10/14/22 at 7:05 am to RLDSC FAN
|
British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 14 October 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
In the last three days, pro-Russian forces have made tactical advances towards the centre of the town of Bakhmut in Donetsk Oblast. Elements of 2nd Army Corps, the pro-Russia militia of the Luhansk region, likely advanced into the villages of Opytine and Ivangrad to the south of the town.
There have been few, if any, other settlements seized by regular Russian or separatist forces since early July. However, forces led by the private military company Wagner Group have achieved some localised gains in the Donbas: Wagner likely remains heavily involved in the Bakhmut fighting.
Russia likely views seizing Bakhmut as a preliminary to advancing on the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk urban area which is the most significant population centre of Donetsk Oblast held by Ukraine. Russia continues to prosecute offensive operations in central Donbas and is, very slowly, making progress. However, its overall operational design is undermined by the Ukrainian pressure against its northern and southern flanks, and by severe shortages of munitions and manpower.
British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 14 October 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
In the last three days, pro-Russian forces have made tactical advances towards the centre of the town of Bakhmut in Donetsk Oblast. Elements of 2nd Army Corps, the pro-Russia militia of the Luhansk region, likely advanced into the villages of Opytine and Ivangrad to the south of the town.
There have been few, if any, other settlements seized by regular Russian or separatist forces since early July. However, forces led by the private military company Wagner Group have achieved some localised gains in the Donbas: Wagner likely remains heavily involved in the Bakhmut fighting.
Russia likely views seizing Bakhmut as a preliminary to advancing on the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk urban area which is the most significant population centre of Donetsk Oblast held by Ukraine. Russia continues to prosecute offensive operations in central Donbas and is, very slowly, making progress. However, its overall operational design is undermined by the Ukrainian pressure against its northern and southern flanks, and by severe shortages of munitions and manpower.
Posted on 10/14/22 at 7:06 am to Obtuse1
Beautiful target
Posted on 10/14/22 at 7:08 am to Coeur du Tigre
My first thought “are they paying these cyber trolls or are they doing this for mother Russia”. Second thought “do they really this they are having any impact”
Posted on 10/14/22 at 7:10 am to tigeraddict
Missile strikes in Kiev, Xarkov, and Lwow.
Posted on 10/14/22 at 7:14 am to tigeraddict
quote:
My first thought “are they paying these cyber trolls or are they doing this for mother Russia”. Second thought “do they really this they are having any impact”
Ask Brian.
Posted on 10/14/22 at 7:19 am to BrianKellyRespecter
Interesting that we are seeing all of this saber rattling about the doom of if Ukraine does this or that right before we are seeing all of the signals that Kherson may fall in the next 10 days or so and the offensive to drive towards Melitopol is very close to beginning.
Combine that with leaks about Turkey wanting to try and help foster peace talks and my guess is Putin is now desperate to off ramp this before any other major embarrassments that would lead to more unrest at home.
Combine that with leaks about Turkey wanting to try and help foster peace talks and my guess is Putin is now desperate to off ramp this before any other major embarrassments that would lead to more unrest at home.
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