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Message
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 6/15/22 at 3:48 pm to Scruffy
Posted on 6/15/22 at 3:48 pm to Scruffy
quote:
We so grossly misjudge the size and impact of the Russian economy, and this is the outcome.
OMG the sanctions didnt work the first week! we have to do something else.
Russia had enough cash to burn for 6 months, thats how long they planned sanctions would be in place. They have burned through what of their reserve they could get to and are selling crude for 60 cents on the dollar in India and China. Let see if that sustainable over the next 6 months.
Posted on 6/15/22 at 3:48 pm to WeeWee
quote:Hope this is a prelude to something bigger .
NYT is reporting continued advances by the Nationalists towards Kherson and the Liberators retreating laden with spoils. Not as heavily defended as thought.
ISW is confirming the reports.
quote:
Southern Axis Update: #Ukrainian forces have reportedly advanced to within 18 km of occupied parts of #Kherson (though we cannot confirm exact positions), which is likely placing pressure on Russian forces to strengthen their defensive lines in the south.
Posted on 6/15/22 at 3:49 pm to OMLandshark
quote:
we don’t have a dog in this fight
I think the fact that you are arguing so much about it proves this incorrect
Posted on 6/15/22 at 3:51 pm to cypher
quote:The number of 10 MLRS systems committed is disappointing however let's consider two things here.
Austin & Milley just finished their press conference at the conclusion of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group meeting
A few items of note...
The US will provide an additional 18 M777 howitzers and the rest of the allies will provide around 82 for a total of 100 new 155 artillery. This brings the grand total of 155 artillery to around 300.
The US will provide 30000 155 rounds.
The only new MLRS systems are 3 from Germany.
The US will provide 2 harpoon systems.
They were heavily questioned regarding the low number of heavy weapons.
Also, Milley said that the Ukrainians just finished their HIMARS training yesterday - June 14.
First, in the press conference, BBC asked a question specifically about this issue of a lack of MLRS systems [ at 18:25]. Austen replied that the MLRS has "a different kind of capability" compared to standard long range weapons. He conveys that the accuracy of these weapon systems separate them from standard artillery. I read somewhere the an MLRS system is a 70km sniper. Remember the US promise of sharing targeting intelligence for these MLRS's with the Ukrainians. That may also insure that nothing strays across the border, but bottom line, each rocket will hit what they are intended to hit.
Secondly, it is clear that there is much more to come but not all at once. Austin states that they want to send 'what is relevant for this current fight' to 'get them the capability that they need' [at 35:15]. The US will 'move heaven and earth' to do provide everything the Ukrainians need.
This position clearly has President Biden's support, it is his authority that is allowing this to happen and happen fast -
quote:Please note that we don't need anyone's fricking agreement or permission to send these weapons. Biden's DoD is not worried about hurting Putin's feelings.
The rocket artillery in this aid package would have the same range as previous U.S. rocket shipments and is funded using Presidential Drawdown Authority, or PDA, in which the president can authorize the transfer of articles and services from U.S. stocks without congressional approval in response to an emergency, said a source who spoke on condition of anonymity.
So yes, everyone is impatient to get Kviv what they want, but we are giving them what they need now with a solid assurance of further assistance later.
This post was edited on 6/15/22 at 3:56 pm
Posted on 6/15/22 at 3:55 pm to Lakeboy7
quote::facepalm:
OMG the sanctions didnt work the first week! we have to do something else.
That isn’t the point.
The point is that they have a huge impact on the global economy related to critical components in manufacturing, oil, food production, agriculture, etc.
We were already at a point where the global economy was fricked.
I guess the best thing to do in that situation is to make decisions that make the whole boondoggle worse.
fricking hell.
No wonder we fricked up the whole Covid debacle.
Every course of action we take is completely self-harming.
This post was edited on 6/15/22 at 3:57 pm
Posted on 6/15/22 at 3:56 pm to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
The US will provide 2 harpoon systems.
Those have been Odessa for awhile. SHip killers, cracks em right in half.
100 new 155 tubes and another 30k in rounds.
Posted on 6/15/22 at 4:07 pm to Lakeboy7
quote:Yes, I believe these two are land-based rather than the normal onboard launching configurations.
Those have been Odessa for awhile. SHip killers, cracks em right in half.
quote:Good to see. I just worry about the 155 ammo stocks. We need to send more, 30k is about 8-9 day's worth at current rates.
100 new 155 tubes and another 30k in rounds.
Posted on 6/15/22 at 4:08 pm to Scruffy
quote:
We were already at a point where the global economy was fricked.
Good, so we agree killing Russians isnt impacting that.
And what about the huge uptick in American armament/munitions? Did you know most of those companies are publicly traded? ditch the AOL man get some Northrop Grumman
Posted on 6/15/22 at 4:13 pm to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
I just worry about the 155 ammo stocks. We need to send more, 30k is about 8-9 day's worth at current rates.
Russia is using 50,000 shells a day, according to the Ukrainians.
Posted on 6/15/22 at 4:13 pm to Lakeboy7
quote:
Russia had enough cash to burn for 6 months, thats how long they planned sanctions would be in place. They have burned through what of their reserve they could get to and are selling crude for 60 cents on the dollar in India and China. Let see if that sustainable over the next 6 months.
That's how we won the cold war and broke the USSR. I swear Regan announcing the space Star Wars system was just a ploy to get the Soviets to spend until they were poor.
Posted on 6/15/22 at 4:26 pm to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
The number of 10 MLRS systems committed is disappointing however let's consider two things here.
I agree with both your points.
One of Austin's replys is noteworthy ....
Now again, it's a combination of the howitzers, the cannon artillery and the long range rockets what will create a pretty good capability. And again, as you target things with that long range capability, you're going after things like command and control nodes and logistical nodes and those kinds of things which will begin to atrit the adversary's ability to sustain itself and command and control itself. But, yes, with the systems that we have provided them to date, I mean the M777s have been absolutely lethal.
Here's the transcript of the press conference.
Secretary of Defense Austin and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Milley Hold a Press Briefing After the Ukraine Defense Contact Group Meeting at NATO Headquarters, Brussels, Belgium, June 15, 2022
This post was edited on 6/15/22 at 4:45 pm
Posted on 6/15/22 at 4:29 pm to Scruffy
quote:
No wonder we fricked up the whole Covid debacle.
We frick up everything we touch, including Ukraine.
Posted on 6/15/22 at 4:42 pm to RogerTheShrubber
This coordinated circle jerk of PoliBoard posters is ridiculous.
Latest reports are that the Ukrainians are suffering up to 100 dead and 300 injured daily in the Donbas, and the Russians are estimated to be losing larger numbers. That must be a clear sign to the other European countries that Russian aggression has to be stopped.
Latest reports are that the Ukrainians are suffering up to 100 dead and 300 injured daily in the Donbas, and the Russians are estimated to be losing larger numbers. That must be a clear sign to the other European countries that Russian aggression has to be stopped.
Posted on 6/15/22 at 4:45 pm to TBoy
quote:
This coordinated circle jerk of PoliBoard posters is ridiculous.
Hey LowT sorry the facts are hurting your emotions.
Guess you're fine with us giving American tax dollars to another countries citizens when that cash could be used here for our own citizens.
Posted on 6/15/22 at 4:47 pm to SOSFAN
quote:The only way they could support continually hurting the American economy and our way of life is if they were actually pro-Russia.
Guess you're fine with us giving American tax dollars to another countries citizens when that cash could be used here for our own citizens.
It is the only way it would make sense.
It’s merely projection on their part.
Posted on 6/15/22 at 4:50 pm to Scruffy
quote:or pro nazi. Cause all the money we are giving to Ukraine is literally going to literal nazis
The only way they could support continually hurting the American economy and our way of life is if they were actually pro-Russia.
Posted on 6/15/22 at 4:50 pm to SOSFAN
quote:
Hey LowT sorry the facts are hurting your emotions. Guess you're fine with us giving American tax dollars to another countries citizens when that cash could be used here for our own citizens.
These hypotheticals are so stupid…
so you’re in favor of our gov giving money away domestically to people who need it? Of course you’re not…
Posted on 6/15/22 at 4:54 pm to Coeur du Tigre
That was my point the other day. No doubt we can get the materials where they need to be, but I think in the aftermath of the war we need to increase the size of our stockpiles.
The US provided Ukraine with 5.5K Javelins which represent 33% of the Javelin stockpile. Meaning we have 11K remaining in the stockpile. Lockhead Martin can currently produce 2K units per year and is going to expand that to 4K per year in the coming years.
https://www.popularmechanics.com/military/weapons/a39946577/us-to-replace-javelin-stinger-missile-stockpiles-sent-to-ukraine/
I've been trying to find Info on the size of our 155mm Stockpile but haven't found anything yet. I have found where we've given at least 170,000 rounds so far, not inclusive of the newly announced 30,000 which would bring the total up to 200,000 rounds.
I wonder how many we have and how long it will take to replace the 200K already given.
The US provided Ukraine with 5.5K Javelins which represent 33% of the Javelin stockpile. Meaning we have 11K remaining in the stockpile. Lockhead Martin can currently produce 2K units per year and is going to expand that to 4K per year in the coming years.
https://www.popularmechanics.com/military/weapons/a39946577/us-to-replace-javelin-stinger-missile-stockpiles-sent-to-ukraine/
quote:
So far, the Department of Defense has sent at least 5,500 FGM-148 Javelin anti-tank missiles and 1,400 FIM-92E Stinger anti-aircraft missiles to Ukraine. These are big numbers even by Pentagon standards; Mark Cancian, a senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies estimates the U.S. has sent Ukraine about one-third of its total inventory of Javelin missiles, and one-quarter of its stockpile of Stinger missiles. The stockpiles are maintained worldwide to ensure the armed forces can respond to emergencies across the globe—from Russia in Europe, to China and North Korea in Asia— and even respond to multiple emergencies simultaneously.
quote:
The United States, Poland, and Estonia have sent Javelins to Ukraine, weapons that all three countries will eventually need to replace. The Javelin missile, first issued in the mid-1990s, is still in production. To replenish those stockpiles, Lockheed Martin is set to ramp up production of the Javelin from 2,100 a year to 4,000 missiles a year. Although that sounds like a lot of missiles, it would still take two years at that rate just to backfill America’s Javelin inventory. The company will also require additional time to set up the supply chain to provide parts for the missiles, no small feat considering the global shortage of semiconductors, which the Javelin’s guidance system is reliant upon.
I've been trying to find Info on the size of our 155mm Stockpile but haven't found anything yet. I have found where we've given at least 170,000 rounds so far, not inclusive of the newly announced 30,000 which would bring the total up to 200,000 rounds.
I wonder how many we have and how long it will take to replace the 200K already given.
Posted on 6/15/22 at 4:55 pm to TBoy
I agree with you on very little politically, but agree completely that the poli board wackos are ruining this thread, which , til now, has been one of the most sustained successes on this board.
I wish admins would intervene, so we can discuss the conflict in Ukraine.
I wish admins would intervene, so we can discuss the conflict in Ukraine.
Posted on 6/15/22 at 4:57 pm to TBoy
quote:
Latest reports are that the Ukrainians are suffering up to 100 dead and 300 injured daily in the Donbas
“Up to 1,000 Ukrainian soldiers are being killed or wounded each day in the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine, with 200 to 500 killed on average and many more wounded, a top Ukrainian official said on Wednesday.” - Axios on June 14th
LINK
quote:
and the Russians are estimated to be losing larger numbers.
With their firepower strategy the Russians are probably taking very few casualties.
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