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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:51 am to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177195 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:51 am to
It was supposed to do this. Though maybe a tiny bit sharper than expected. It’s definitely coming on somewhere south of Tampa and not to the north.
Posted by H2O Tiger
Delta Sky Club
Member since May 2021
7940 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:52 am to
Good for Tampa Bay, bad for Naples. It looks like Orlando is gonna get more of it too
Posted by CidCock
Member since Sep 2007
Member since Feb 2011
8692 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:56 am to
quote:

For starters I feel safe.


Well, as long as you feel safe, you should be good.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93577 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:57 am to
quote:

This thing is making that NE turn.


NNE...?
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33443 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:57 am to
Nice light show around the eye.



* Courtesy of Dakota
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15266 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:58 am to
quote:

NNE...?



5 degrees east of due north
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
23068 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:58 am to
quote:

You ain’t met these people

Book a hotel in Atlanta.
Drive up to Fayetteville for the Bama game.
Check out Asheville, NC.
Go for a road trip.

All of these are better ideas than riding out a major hurricane near the coast.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46754 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:59 am to
quote:

It looks like Orlando is gonna get more of it too



Ian has decided...

Posted by Pitt Road
Mid-Florida
Member since Aug 2017
1193 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:59 am to
quote:

I’ve got a buddy in Lakeland. He says he’s staying. He’s got a wife and kids. He’s got a generator. How screwed is he?



They'll be fine, unless they run out of booze.
Posted by OU Guy
Member since Feb 2022
29297 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:00 pm to
Ryan Maue

@RyanMaue
·
28m
12Z model data is rolling in over next 2-3 hours. NOAA's flagship global model GFS track of Hurricane Ian shows landfall south of Tampa Bay, as well.



Satellite presentation of #HurricaneIan continues to impress. The storm is taking full advantage of ideal conditions over Gulf of Mexico.

While we will use aircraft recon to determine the system's intensity, just via satellite this would be Category 4 (125-knots).



Ryan Maue

@RyanMaue
·
11m
There is nothing stopping Hurricane Ian from intensifying for next 12-hours.

If the trend continues with warming eye and colder cloud tops surrounding it, then you can talk about the category after 4.

Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30506 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:01 pm to
Man, that thing is a monster
Posted by H2O Tiger
Delta Sky Club
Member since May 2021
7940 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:02 pm to
Orlando Airport shutting down

quote:

Operational Update – Hurricane Ian
Commercial operations at MCO will cease at 10:30 a.m. Wednesday, 09/28/22. Entry to all parking facilities will be closed at that same period. Please contact your airline for flight updates.
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15266 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:02 pm to
if that verifies, tampa going to get clipped by the northern/northwestern eye wall
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15266 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

Orlando Airport shutting down

quote:
Operational Update – Hurricane Ian
Commercial operations at MCO will cease at 10:30 a.m. Wednesday, 09/28/22. Entry to all parking facilities will be closed at that same period. Please contact your airline for flight updates.



guess Tuscany is driving to Disney World
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33443 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:03 pm to
From NHC Atlantic

Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14258 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:03 pm to
The latest HWRF run ... YIKES!

The scary thing is, based on current trends it is very believable.

933 mb and 120 knots







Posted by H2O Tiger
Delta Sky Club
Member since May 2021
7940 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:04 pm to
He may have an ex-Wife by the time this storm is over
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131381 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

If the trend continues with warming eye and colder cloud tops surrounding it, then you can talk about the category after 4.


Why doesnt he just say 5?

I hate when these guys try to get cute with phrasing
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93577 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

5 degrees east of due north



quote:

gaetti15


I'm gonna punch you in the balls when we meet.
Posted by OU Guy
Member since Feb 2022
29297 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Man, that thing is a monster


What I notice in the top pic is the water temp in Gulf along projected route. Ripe!
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