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Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:32 pm to TH03
So we found the meteorologist that is using a more scientific “stick method.”
Follow the path over over time. Draw a line to where it may go as reference point to help you understand the impact of of the storm if you are in the path.
Follow the path over over time. Draw a line to where it may go as reference point to help you understand the impact of of the storm if you are in the path.
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:33 pm to Duke
quote:
Zero evidence* and they were looking hard.
150 was correct. You in Houma got the shitshow of the mesovorticies rounding the eye. Pretty much the nightmare scenario that doesnt involve surge.
*official/useable
Ole baw rode it out on a tug in Galliano I think and he was showing sustained of 150 theb the whirley bird got ripped off the mast
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:36 pm to Duke
Duke do you think Laura got to Cat 5 or similar to Ida and just fell short?
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:36 pm to BPTiger
Damn. Where's the unedited version?
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:37 pm to SippyCup
You would win that bet for sure
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:38 pm to Ziggy
So since it’s trending north is cedar key still fricked or safer now
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:38 pm to Ziggy
I don’t remember. It was posted on some random site. I don’t see it on YouTube.
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:40 pm to BPTiger
Wonder if we’re starting to see an EWRC…


Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:41 pm to flyAU
My dad is east of Tallahassee getting ready to coordinate the fuel trucks. Waitin for that northeast turn or else he’s riding out a borderline CAT4 tomorrow morning
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:44 pm to SWLA92
quote:
do you think Laura got to Cat 5 or similar to Ida and just fell short?
Similar, but Laura was closer I think.
The hurricane hunters we're doing passes up to the last minute looking for Cat 5 winds. Never found any that werent flagged as likely bad data.
The difference between an high end 4 like Laura/Ida and a 5 like Michael is mostly academic.
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:44 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Wonder if we’re starting to see an EWRC…
Nothing to really suggest it on recon, and the radar doesn’t have that classic second ring closed off around the eye.
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:46 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Wonder if we’re starting to see an EWRC…
I argue we just got a spiral band coming around and feeding into the eyewall.
No double maxes that ive seen on recon either.
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:46 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Wonder if we’re starting to see an EWRC…
I'm not an expert, but nothing is jumping out to me on that radar to suggest that
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:47 pm to jcaz
Good luck and prayers for him.
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:47 pm to Duke
I don't think Laura made a five. Along with what you mentioned about the flagged wind readings and the numerous field measurements, they had plenty, but just didn't get there for the bump.
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:51 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:BINGO!!
starting to see an EWRC
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:53 pm to LSUDUCKMAN67
quote:
I rode it out here in Houma and she was no joke.
You all got raked by the eye wall with no relief from getting in the eye, and not by a typical hurricane eye. What you all got was a bunch of mesovorts within that eye, like small tornadoes. It was evident on the first satellite passes that came out afterward. A good bit of that damage looked like tornado damage, not typical eye wall wind damage.
I'm convinced the same thing happens to the bank building in Lake Chuck with Laura.
This post was edited on 8/29/23 at 9:55 pm
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:54 pm to rds dc
Hope people in Tallahassee are taking this serious. Things can change fast. Know lots of people in St. Charles Parish for Ida that didn’t evacuate and I can tell you they regretted it. Prayers to everyone that’s about to experience this.
This post was edited on 8/29/23 at 9:56 pm
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