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re: Hurricane Milton - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:35 pm to SlidellCajun
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:35 pm to SlidellCajun
Looks like a wobble south
0
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:36 pm to LanierSpots
Go look on Zillow or realtor for home values along the coastline between sarasota and Santa Ana island. $10+million dollar homes.
This is going to be a really expensive storm.
This is going to be a really expensive storm.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:38 pm to Paul Allen
quote:
Wouldn’t the storm surge still be 10 feet or so instead of maybe 15 feet? Still catastrophic surge regardless of a 20 mile shift.
Not trying to suggest it won’t still be bad, but a landfall at Bradenton is substantially better for Tampa than a landfall at Clearwater. Those onshore winds will be the difference in bad and catastrophic.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:39 pm to BigBro
That looks like a crawfish.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:40 pm to SlidellCajun
I don’t need to look. I see them everyday. LOL. Long boat key is insanity. Hell, it is insane inland. Neighborhood after neighborhood where every house is 800-1.5.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:41 pm to SlidellCajun
[quote]Shift south?[/quote
I don’t see that, but I see the eye clearing out some more.
I don’t see that, but I see the eye clearing out some more.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:42 pm to LanierSpots
For those there, Disney parks to begin closing at 1p tomorrow and likely remain closed Thursday. Disney Springs may be open Thursday afternoon with limited offerings.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:42 pm to Wally Sparks
quote:
NHC is showing landfall at north end of Longboat Key
This is going to be one of those situations where the NHC will be held to the fire for being off 20-30 miles 4 days out. If it’s a surge false alarm for Tampa people are going to be pissed - which makes no sense to me when the proper feeling would be blessed.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:42 pm to doubleb
Yeah eye is as clear as it was yesterday. This recon pass will be interesting.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:43 pm to SlidellCajun
quote:
Go look on Zillow or realtor for home values along the coastline between sarasota and Santa Ana island. $10+million dollar homes.
I own a home on Long Boat Key, most of the homes on Anna Marie Island took on water for Helene. LBK has more condos put plenty of homes also had water.
If this is direct hit on LBK, then it will look like Anna Marie on Thursday.
And yes, most of the beach front homes are 10+. shite, Cortez has 2000 s/f homes on canals that were built in the 60s selling for close to 2mm.
West Manatee and West Sarasota counties have some of the most expensive real estate in Florida.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:43 pm to slackster
People shouldn’t watch the weather channel. IMO
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:44 pm to slackster
quote:
This is going to be one of those situations where the NHC will be held to the fire for being off 20-30 miles 4 days out. If it’s a surge false alarm for Tampa people are going to be pissed - which makes no sense to me when the proper feeling would be blessed.
If there's a single thing I've learned in my years on TD is that most people would get PISSED when predictions of mass casualty and destruction fail to materialize.
So many seem furious that they were forced to spend an extra day or two with their wife and kids without getting the payoff of their community being wiped off the map.
This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 3:58 pm
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:44 pm to SippyCup
I remember one a few years ago that went just south of Tampa. It almost sucked the water out of the bay.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:46 pm to Tvilletiger
quote:
It almost sucked the water out of the bay.
It was mud for a few hundred yards. Some jackass tried to walk on it and had to get rescued.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:54 pm to SippyCup
4:00 PM CDT Tue Oct 8
Location: 22.7°N 87.5°W
Moving: ENE at 9 mph
Min pressure: 918 mb
Max sustained: 165 mph
Location: 22.7°N 87.5°W
Moving: ENE at 9 mph
Min pressure: 918 mb
Max sustained: 165 mph
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:55 pm to doubleb
quote:The storm has been tracking east and maybe even south of due east, rather than the expected ENE movement and is prob outside the last forecast cone. Gotta have a small shift south
quote]Shift south?[/quote I don’t see that, but I see the eye clearing out some more.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:55 pm to slackster
quote:
NHC will be held to the fire for being off 20-30 miles 4 days out
They should just say frick it, we'll tell you where it went when it's over.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:55 pm to rds dc
Hurricane Milton is back to Category 5 strength. 4 PM CDT advisory:
BULLETIN
Hurricane Milton Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024
400 PM CDT Tue Oct 08 2024
...MILTON BACK TO CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH...
...FLORIDA RESIDENTS SHOULD GET THEIR FAMILIES AND HOMES READY AND
EVACUATE IF TOLD TO DO SO...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.7N 87.5W
ABOUT 320 MI...520 KM WSW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...918 MB...27.11 INCHES
BULLETIN
Hurricane Milton Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024
400 PM CDT Tue Oct 08 2024
...MILTON BACK TO CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH...
...FLORIDA RESIDENTS SHOULD GET THEIR FAMILIES AND HOMES READY AND
EVACUATE IF TOLD TO DO SO...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.7N 87.5W
ABOUT 320 MI...520 KM WSW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...918 MB...27.11 INCHES
This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 3:57 pm
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:55 pm to slackster
quote:
If it’s a surge false alarm for Tampa people are going to be pissed - which makes no sense to me when the proper feeling would be blessed.
Nah if it’s a false alarm for Tampa, Tampa people are going to be thanking their lucky stars because 20-40 miles south of Tampa will look like a hydrogen bomb went off
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:56 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Yeah he looked cat 5 on satellite unfortunately.
Official NHC of 918 mb and 175 mph.
Official NHC of 918 mb and 175 mph.
This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 3:57 pm
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