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Posted on 10/8/24 at 2:54 pm to ReauxlTide222
See my post on the previous page. Close to the bottom
Posted on 10/8/24 at 2:55 pm to billyhog
quote:
I have family with twin 4 year old girls at Disney World Orlando this week. Can’t get a plane ride out and there are no rental cars available. Apparently they are stuck, going to have to ride it out. I wanted to see opinions on how bad it’s going to be in Orlando.
Tell them to meet me at the Yacht Club for some drinks tomorrow. Storm will be over us at 8 am on Thursday as of latest estimates (it was originally going to be here late tonight/early wed).
Sunny and hot here today guys. Parks more full than I thought they'd be. And Halloween Party is on for tonight!
Posted on 10/8/24 at 2:57 pm to roadGator
quote:
Ron sent 8 different agencies to WNC.
I suppose at least some of those have been called back.
A lot are getting reshuffled. The issue is most of those teams have been running for days now. The Alabama USaR team was demobilized back to AL a couple days ago. They got a day rest, resupplied everything, and are now staging for Milton. Like 95% of the Fema task force teams have been deployed to Helene relief. Balancing all of them with Milton rolling in will be a headache.
ETA: Those teams are made up of local fire/rescue, paramedics, engineers, water rescue, etc. people. More and more west coast teams have been assigned to Milton relief and are getting to staging areas now.
This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 3:00 pm
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:00 pm to AmosMosesAndTwins
quote:
Might have something to do with 200mph gusts but hey what do I know
The biggest issue is range. They use drones to survey the storms, but they’re specifically built for it and have ranges of 200 miles or less.
The current drones they use are deployed by manned aircraft that are already in the storm.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:01 pm to dalefla
quote:
For the morons downvoting...
This is a good way to stop the downvotes…
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:02 pm to rds dc
Track shifting a bit south? That's what a Tampa meteorologist posted.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:02 pm to Chicken
quote:
Went there back in 1994...have they made any improvements in the last 30 years?
Ah, the Hillary Clinton First Lady tour…I see ya ??
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:04 pm to SM1010
Looks like a slight shift south to me.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:05 pm to GeorgeTheGreek
quote:
How cool would this be?
This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 3:07 pm
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:05 pm to roadGator
quote:
Looks like a slight shift south to me.
Maybe an arse hair
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:05 pm to 4x4tiger
We call that trick "Pulling an Ivan".
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:07 pm to SM1010
quote:
Track shifting a bit south? That's what a Tampa meteorologist posted.
20 miles one way or the other is a big deal for Tampa proper, but I don’t believe there is any real “trend” that couldn’t be offset by a wobble.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:07 pm to SM1010
quote:
Track shifting a bit south? That's what a Tampa meteorologist posted.
Thats what Tampa needs.
Future ACT question:
If a Hurricane is moving WNW and lands 10 miles south ot Tampa Bay, does the surge come from the north or the west?
This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 3:08 pm
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:07 pm to 4x4tiger
looks like a jesus fish
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:07 pm to roadGator
Spaghetti models took a hard shift south, I feel. Not sure if it was brought up here, but Mike posted that Milton took an "unexpected". SE jog and maybe that affected the models.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:09 pm to slackster
quote:
20 miles one way or the other is a big deal for Tampa proper, but I don’t believe there is any real “trend” that couldn’t be offset by a wobble.
I think we're to the point of splitting the difference between the hurricane models, which seem to be favoring a bit more northerly landfall and climatology, which favors a bit more southerly. You're right, wobbles are what matter most, and big swings shouldn't happen.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:10 pm to slackster
quote:
20 miles one way or the other is a big deal for Tampa proper
Wouldn’t the storm surge still be 10 feet or so instead of maybe 15 feet?
Still catastrophic surge regardless of a 20 mile shift.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:12 pm to GeorgeTheGreek
quote:
How cool would this be?
Been there done that
This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 3:15 pm
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:13 pm to SippyCup
quote:
If a Hurricane is moving WNW and lands 10 miles south ot Tampa Bay, does the surge come from the north or the west?
If it’s moving WNW it would be coming from land to reach south of Tampa Bay
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