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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Milton - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:14 pm to Paul Allen
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:14 pm to Paul Allen
Seeing Tampa Bay emptied of water is crazy. Could happen with this one like Ian?
2
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:16 pm to roadGator
quote:
Looks like a slight shift south to me.
No loving that either
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:17 pm to LanierSpots
No. Not for you.
Bradenton?
Bradenton?
This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 3:34 pm
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:17 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:
I'm not trying to minimize storms like Betsy, Katrina, etc etc. I'm actually trying to highlight how many people seem to think Cat 1/2 or even Cat 3 storms are not that big of a deal or whatever, which is completely false. Cat 2 conditions are generally horrific. Most people have never experienced them or worse.
I was at GTMO when Sandy hit Cuba about 50 miles east of the base as a high Cat 2 hurricane. 115 MPH winds if I remember correctly. Our house was about 3 miles from the Carribean and about 150 yards from the bay. My position required that I be in the emergency management command center and I had to be out and about in a 2 WD Ford Ranger pickup during almost the entirety of the storms passing other than about 30 minutes when we were ordered to shelter in place. I had to go to Lighthouse Point just after that 30 minute period and the scene was the most wicked shite I ever saw in my life and hope not to see again. The lighthouse at GTMO is about 50 feet above sealevel at the base and 20-30 feet higher at the top. Waves weren't just crashing and spraying about the top of the light house, they were ROLLING over it. I have no idea how high those waves were but it was mesmerizing watching them simply rolll up and over that cliff and that structure. I drove from one catastrophe after another during Sandy and there were several times that little Ranger would stop all forward motion at 35 MPH....like hitting a wall. It also blew sideways a BUNCH. Power lines were standing straight out in the direction the wind was blowing....whipping and cracking like a whip in the wind. Gravel the size of 57 stone blowing around like grains of sand and pelting everything including that Ranger and me anytime I had to get out of that Ranger. It was terrifying and exhilarating at the same time. I don't know how anything stands up to anything worse than that and it was, relatively speaking, somewhat tame compared to a cat 4 or 5. I am glad to have experienced it, would not want to go through it again. Yall be careful....Mother Nature will get you, she is not to be trifled with.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:17 pm to meeple
Slidell LA is not on the coast. Slidell and Eden Isles to the immediate south of it had a Katrina surge.
That surge dropped some houses in the Eden Isles Marina, and it was massive. There was a 56' long sail boat deposited on top of a two story duplex above the building's garages.
It also took out all the fishing 'shacks' along the road that parallels the railroad.
That surge dropped some houses in the Eden Isles Marina, and it was massive. There was a 56' long sail boat deposited on top of a two story duplex above the building's garages.
It also took out all the fishing 'shacks' along the road that parallels the railroad.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:18 pm to roadGator
quote:
No. Not for you.
Bradenton?
Sarasota
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:19 pm to LanierSpots
Getting therePosted on 10/8/24 at 3:21 pm to lsuman25
Pretty horny to get to the pass, gotta be honest.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:23 pm to roadGator
quote:
Looks like a slight shift south to me.
NHC is showing landfall at north end of Longboat Key
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:25 pm to Wally Sparks
quote:
landfall at north end of Longboat Key
What does this do to storm surge for the bay? Still 10-15 feet or now more like 7-10 feet?
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:27 pm to Wally Sparks
Yuck
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:28 pm to Paul Allen
My crew evacuated Venice.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:30 pm to Paul Allen
quote:
What does this do to storm surge for the bay? Still 10-15 feet or now more like 7-10 feet?
Less
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:30 pm to LanierSpots
Range of the vast majority of the models is from roughly Tarpon Springs to Englewood.
Latitude-wise that is 28.1 N to 26.9 N which is roughly 80 miles. Current NHC cone is a little wider than that at the coastline but will shrink a little for the next advisory since the center is getting closer.
500 miles out and an ~80 mile target. Next 6 to 12 hours will be big in determining the future path.
Latitude-wise that is 28.1 N to 26.9 N which is roughly 80 miles. Current NHC cone is a little wider than that at the coastline but will shrink a little for the next advisory since the center is getting closer.
500 miles out and an ~80 mile target. Next 6 to 12 hours will be big in determining the future path.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:31 pm to sicboy
My mom's place is in Clearwater... So, I am hoping the shift south projection continues with a more pronounced shift to the south.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:31 pm to roadGator
quote:
Seeing Tampa Bay emptied of water is crazy. Could happen with this one like Ian?
If the center passes south of Tampa Bay and there’s an offshore flow, it would be possible.
This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 3:48 pm
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:33 pm to Wally Sparks
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:33 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
hold on to your butt’s..
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:34 pm to SM1010
Shift south?
Posted on 10/8/24 at 3:34 pm to roadGator
quote:
Seeing Tampa Bay emptied of water is crazy. Could happen with this one like Ian?
Yeah. If it hits South of Tampa Bay they (Tampa weather people) are saying with the rotation of the storm, the wind would be coming from East to West and could draw the water out of the bay instead of into it.
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