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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:30 pm to
Posted by GhostofJackson
Speedy Teflon Wizard
Member since Nov 2009
7230 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:30 pm to
All things considered, I think they've been tracking this storm really well and did a pretty decent job with Harvey too. People want to be told exactly what is going to happen.
Posted by DoUrden
UnderDark
Member since Oct 2011
26158 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:30 pm to
quote:

Aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72), amphibious assault ship USS Iwo Jima (LHD-7), and amphibious transport dock ship USS New York (LHD-21) and guided missile destroyer USS Farragut (DDG-99), are underway moving into position to assist with Hurricane Irma recovery efforts if needed, U.S. Fleet Forces command said on Friday.

The storm, which has already savaged several Caribbean islands, including the U.S. Virgin Islands, could make landfall in Florida by Sunday, according to the National Weather Service’s latest hurricane track. Hurricane warning has already been issued for the southern part of the state.

Lincoln left Norfolk Friday, but without a full air wing. The carrier is loaded with additional helicopters to help with rescue and supplies delivery mission, according to a Navy spokesman.


LINK
Posted by BamaSaint
Moh-beel
Member since Mar 2013
3964 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:30 pm to
quote:

If you've been following the thread you'll understand the frustration.

I understand some of it but these things are so unpredictable sometimes, you should understand some of the anxiety from some of these people
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52561 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

Didn't either Euro or GFS have Naples in the cross hairs 3-4 days ago before it shifted back to a right on Miami hit?
Yes. Euro did
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

All things considered, I think they've been tracking this storm really well and did a pretty decent job with Harvey too. People want to be told exactly what is going to happen.


For the most part the EURO has only been off by miles.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

This thread needs rds dc's in depth posts to clarify and eliminate all of this "clutter" we have going on.


He's made numerous posts explaining the steering the models are showing. I've made a couple, so has slack. Levi Cowen has discussed it for days on his youtube video. The scientists at the NHC have explained it. The fact is, people want to see what they want to see.
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38436 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

Will (the ground on) Key West be submerged?


Key West will turn into a situation like we're seeing in BVI and USVI. The road there will surely be wiped out. At least a handful of those bridges are going to be dredged off the bottom, and their ports will be so full of debris nobody will want to send in a relief vessel until it is cleared.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36751 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:31 pm to
quote:



And now that turn is 24-36 hours out, so...





So you're just going to ignore your contradictory advice. Got it


Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53875 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

Didn't either Euro or GFS have Naples in the cross hairs 3-4 days ago before it shifted back to a right on Miami hit?


Euro correct

Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16127 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:32 pm to
The EURO has crushed this storm.
Posted by medtiger
Member since Sep 2003
21990 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:33 pm to
quote:

The fact is, people want to see what they want to see.


And people see the track of the storm and seem to ignore the cone. It might be prudent for the NHC to quit including that line of their forecasted track, and just release the cone going forward.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:34 pm to
quote:

I understand some of it but these things are so unpredictable sometimes, you should understand some of the anxiety from some of these people



I do, and I'm trying to help. I'm telling them they have no legitimate reason to worry, yet they worry anyway.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36751 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:34 pm to
quote:


And people see the track of the storm and seem to ignore the cone. It might be prudent for the NHC to quit including that line of their forecasted track, and just release the cone going forward.



Yeah the line I guess is a "best guess" that people take to heart. Katrina's cone being a perfect example
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 10:36 pm
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:34 pm to
quote:

It might be prudent for the NHC to quit including that line of their forecasted track, and just release the cone going forward.


indeed
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:35 pm to
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87259 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:35 pm to
When is next advisory? 2am Eastern? Gotta get more beer.

GF is gonna wake up and I'm all



muttering about how we have to trust the cone
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
19273 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:35 pm to
Some F-18 flyovers would be great for morale post-storm. They should have brought them
Posted by GhostofJackson
Speedy Teflon Wizard
Member since Nov 2009
7230 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

It might be prudent for the NHC to quit including that line of their forecasted track, and just release the cone going forward.


Is the line the track of model consensus or something?
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:36 pm to
Guys please also remind yourselves about the sheer size of this storm as well as the size of the Florida Peninsula.

Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61722 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:36 pm to
quote:

And people see the track of the storm and seem to ignore the cone. It might be prudent for the NHC to quit including that line of their forecasted track, and just release the cone going forward.


It sure would help with the idiots in this thread.

I'm all for RDCS(or whatever it is) baytiger, slackster, and a few others just being the only one's to post. There are so many jack asses in here now with half arse info and the trolls.
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