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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:36 pm to TennesseeFan25
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:36 pm to TennesseeFan25
0
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:36 pm to GhostofJackson
quote:
Is the line the track of model consensus or something?
Median aggregate from what I understand.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:36 pm to TigersSEC2010
quote:
Key West will turn into a situation like we're seeing in BVI and USVI. The road there will surely be wiped out. At least a handful of those bridges are going to be dredged off the bottom, and their ports will be so full of debris nobody will want to send in a relief vessel until it is cleared
7 Mile Bridge may be history.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:37 pm to slackster
quote:Don't let them get you in the weeds. You doin good.
slackster
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:37 pm to medtiger
quote:
And people see the track of the storm and seem to ignore the cone. It might be prudent for the NHC to quit including that line of their forecasted track, and just release the cone going forward.
Our population is retarded. Give them the bare minimum. You add anything fancy and their shite brains will explode. Show them a cone and in crayon draw which direction the hurricane is going and hopefully some of them will finally understand it.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:37 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
So you're just going to ignore your contradictory advice. Got it
What is contradictory about it? When the turn is forecast by every single model, all of the model ensembles, the NHC, etc., and it is only 24-36 hours away, it is a pretty safe bet it is happening.
When the turn is 7 days away, you should take it with a grain of salt, but it's still more useful than so and so's gut feeling.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:38 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
Man, he's just providing updates and estimates based upon the best info available this hour. The projection cone has been pretty steady and easy to follow as new data was added.
No one can tell you 100% where this storm is going to hit they they can tell you that all data says where won't be hit. Yes, that might change at so,e point but, until it does, the people that have actual, scientific data currently putting them in the crosshairs are more important than those who maybe, might, some weird scenario get hit.
No one can tell you 100% where this storm is going to hit they they can tell you that all data says where won't be hit. Yes, that might change at so,e point but, until it does, the people that have actual, scientific data currently putting them in the crosshairs are more important than those who maybe, might, some weird scenario get hit.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:38 pm to Dizz
I'm starting to really not like these west shifts. In my very unexpert opinion, I think the absolute furthest west it will go is Panama City. For the first time I'm seeing the middle of the track in the extreme east of the gulf.
Living here in Navarre Beach, that would be enough to make me nervous with 2 dogs, a 16 month old, and a 38 1/2 week prego wife.
Living here in Navarre Beach, that would be enough to make me nervous with 2 dogs, a 16 month old, and a 38 1/2 week prego wife.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:38 pm to medtiger
quote:
And people see the track of the storm and seem to ignore the cone. It might be prudent for the NHC to quit including that line of their forecasted track, and just release the cone going forward.
agreed 100%, the thing is people see this line and think its gonna follow it mile by mile or the computer models are gonna nail it down to a tee, 10-15 days out when nature just doesn't work that way.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:39 pm to Pettifogger
quote:Yeah. I'm not staying up for that because then I'll want to stay up for the Euro update. That's gonna be an agonizing wait. I'll just get the update in the morning
When is next advisory? 2am Eastern?
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:39 pm to jcaz
quote:
Some F-18 flyovers would be great for morale post-storm. They should have brought them
A carrier isn't going anywhere with out air cover, why do you think the Farragut is there as well....
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:39 pm to Redbone
quote:
Don't let them get you in the weeds. You doin good.
Agreed. You've done great. It's not your fault this site is about 95% illiterate.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:41 pm to LSUGrrrl
Meteorological models are much better now than in 2005. Stronger computers that can handle more data. Gone are the days of tuning in to the news and pulling out your paper map of the gulf.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:41 pm to TheriotAF
These threads sure do cause a lot of unnecessary internet fighting. Why don't we all regroup in about 12 hours when things are more certain.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:41 pm to LaBR4
I hope he can swim.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:41 pm to TigersSEC2010
quote:
Show them a cone and in crayon draw which direction the hurricane is going and hopefully some of them will finally understand it.
You mean like bubba who wakes up and looks at the tv on Wednesday afternoon and notices that the storm is heading west and proceeds to throw a fit on here because he thought it was supposed to turn north?
Never mind that the north turn was supposed to happen tomorrow.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:41 pm to Nawlens Gator
Good luck getting people on the atlantic side of Florida to leave ever again after Floyd and now Irma missing them when they were warned of certain death.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:41 pm to zacata88
quote:
These threads sure do cause a lot of unnecessary internet fighting.
The threads or the trolls?
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:42 pm to TigerstuckinMS
Slack,
Irma starting to come into your fancy radar site.
Irma starting to come into your fancy radar site.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:42 pm to slackster
The better discussions take place during working hours, thanks for insight . 
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