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Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:55 am to OldSouth
Maybe I'm being a little too hyperbolic, but IF that storm gets into the Gulf of Mexico, and on that track to boot, it's going to land somewhere as a Category 5.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:55 am to Kcoyote
quote:please stop posting outlier runs. They are not concensus with forecasts and all you are doing is creating confusion and concern where it's currently unnecessary.
Coyote
As you'll note, the GFS has shifted East and North, not West and South in the latest run. So please wait to post about a panhandle landing until there is a trend that way. Thanks.

Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:55 am to slackster
Another question. TWC said hurricane force winds extend out 45 miles. Is that 45 miles from the center of the eye or 45 miles from the eyewall? Is there a graphic that demonstrates how far out the Cat 3-5 winds extend?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:56 am to Jim Rockford
I'm heading to Ft Benning, my brother is stationed there.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:56 am to HeadedToTheWoods
Looks like BVI/Anguilla/St. Martin are going to take a devastating direct hit. BVI and Anguilla are beautiful places with lots of resorts and this could be one of the worst they have had in a long time. We were just thinking about taking a trip back to Virgin Gorda next year but that might be out after this storm depending on the damage.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:57 am to TigerDog83
Was just in St Maarten in June
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:57 am to BOSCEAUX
quote:
Question. Has a powerful storm like this ever hooked and held together long enough to cross the Atlantic and hit Spain or England?
England and Spain have both been hit by storms, but they're usually sub-tropical at that point.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:57 am to OldSouth
What wind speeds might those leeward islands get?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:58 am to TigerDog83
quote:
BVI/Anguilla/St. Martin
I don't remember, do they send TWC reporters (Cantori etc.) to places outside the US?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:58 am to slackster
quote:
Hurricanes are pretty much betas when it comes to steering. They're controlled by strength or weaknesses in high pressure.
Its always been my understanding that when a Hurricane gets to a certain strength & size that it become much less dependent on pressure steering it as it becomes its own steering system.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:58 am to TigerDog83
quote:
Looks like BVI/Anguilla/St. Martin are going to take a devastating direct hit. BVI and Anguilla are beautiful places with lots of resorts and this could be one of the worst they have had in a long time. We were just thinking about taking a trip back to Virgin Gorda next year but that might be out after this storm depending on the damage.
I'm supposed to be going to Peter Island in the BVI in the spring. We'll see how that goes.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:59 am to HubbaBubba
quote:
please stop posting outlier runs. They are not concensus with forecasts and all you are doing is creating confusion and concern where it's currently unnecessary.
But it's a run nonetheless, it's not like he's posting some crackhead's twitter prediction. By your own definition, and according the new NHC projected track this morning, the GFS is an outlier run.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 8:01 am
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:59 am to slackster
Sorry if already posted but how far west can this thing go?
The cold front will prevent this from LA/TX, correct?
The cold front will prevent this from LA/TX, correct?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:01 am to HubbaBubba
Damn. Andros, Bahamas got hit hard last year. Looks like it will take another hit this year.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:01 am to BOSCEAUX
Was reading up on that the other day.
Very rarely does anything strong hit over there, but Spain did have a category 1 hurricane make landfall like in the last 20-30 years, I believe.
Very rarely does anything strong hit over there, but Spain did have a category 1 hurricane make landfall like in the last 20-30 years, I believe.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:01 am to OldSouth
quote:
8:00AM official forecast
That sucks.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:01 am to dallastiger55
quote:
Sorry if already posted but how far west can this thing go?
The cold front will prevent this from LA/TX, correct?
No one knows. It's all just guess work at this point. Conventional wisdom dictates that the trough will keep Irma away from Louisiana but conventional wisdom had this thing curving out to sea a long time ago.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 8:02 am
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:02 am to ihometiger
quote:
Its always been my understanding that when a Hurricane gets to a certain strength & size that it become much less dependent on pressure steering it as it becomes its own steering system.
I used to believe that too, but from what I understand now, that is not the case.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:02 am to slackster
damn few things in nature look more menacing or impressive than a cat 5 storm at its peak strength.
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