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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:38 am to
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:38 am to
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:41 am to
Resource meeting today for Miami (telecom). Looks like ill be busy again for the weekend. No one is really lighting their hair on fire yet.



Who in hell would of thought in two week span we have a potential for 2 Major Metro areas in the US to be affected by something like this.

Wanting this to be a fish storm so bad!
Posted by jimithing11
Dillon, Texas
Member since Mar 2011
22530 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:43 am to
Haven't followed this much at all until now. My dad has property in south Florida in Palm Beach County...how screwed is he?
Posted by bamarep
Member since Nov 2013
52554 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:43 am to
That video of the eye is amazing.
Posted by CidCock
Member since Sep 2007
Member since Feb 2011
8692 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:45 am to
Weird situation. My parents are on the SC coast, so obviously want to keep it way from them.

I'd prefer it turn north and avoid everyone, but a turn to the north sooner than projected isn't good news for SC coast.

As if my desires control the storm....I still don't know what the best case scenario is?
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:47 am to
From what I've gathered from the informed guys here is that the best case scenario is that High ridge being weak and not building further westward allowing Irma to go out to sea.

However, this is looking more and more unlikely.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:48 am to
quote:

.I still don't know what the best case scenario is?


Still a chance that it turns out to sea and avoids the US.
Posted by jdd48
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
23706 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:48 am to
quote:

I'm not reading through all 130 pages, but what is a "fish Storm" and what is an "annular hurricane"?


A fish storm is one that gets pushed out to sea and never makes landfall. An annular hurricane is one that is very well formed and symmetric, with a large distinct eye.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:48 am to
Fish storm: hurricane that only impacts fish. Doesn't hit land.

Annular hurricane: An unusually symmetric tropical cyclone that doesn't feature the typical spiral banding. More or less looks like a big donut in practice. These storms are more resistant to adverse conditions and keep their strength longer.

The conditions to meet are technical, and the pros at the NHC have an index to categorize a storm as one. Irma isn't there yet.
Posted by BOSCEAUX
Where the Down Boys go.
Member since Mar 2008
52360 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:49 am to
Fish storm is one that doesn't make landfall.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79821 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:49 am to
I thought some suggested they could bowl through resistance. That if they were large enough they dictated to their surroundings. Something unique based on the size of the storm, not just taking the path of least resistance.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 7:52 am
Posted by OldSouth
Folsom, LA
Member since Oct 2011
11005 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:49 am to
8:00AM official forecast


Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:50 am to
So from that track if she turns north now that puts a Major Metro Area in the NE Quadrant.

Wonderful .
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:50 am to
quote:

I'm not reading through all 130 pages, but what is a "fish Storm" and what is an "annular hurricane"?




Storm that stays out at sea, usually recurving into the Atlantic.

An annular hurricane is a symmetrical storm with no distinct banding in the middle. Something like this:

Posted by Costanza
Member since May 2011
3273 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:51 am to
No bueno.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:52 am to
quote:

I thought some suggested they could bowl through resistance. That if they were large enough they dictated to their surroundings.




Hurricanes are pretty much betas when it comes to steering. They're controlled by strength or weaknesses in high pressure.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:52 am to
quote:

I thought some suggested they could bowl through resistance. That if they were large enough they dictated to their surroundings


Physics governs the storm no matter how powerful. It won't plow the heart of a dome of high pressure, fluids don't flow from low to high pressure. It will find a spot where the high pressure blocking is the weakness and follow that path.
Posted by BOSCEAUX
Where the Down Boys go.
Member since Mar 2008
52360 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:53 am to
Question. Has a powerful storm like this ever hooked and held together long enough to cross the Atlantic and hit Spain or England?
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
34135 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:53 am to
Has Disneyworld ever taken a hit like this? Can they take the damage?
Posted by jdd48
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
23706 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:53 am to
quote:

Hurricanes are pretty much betas when it comes to steering.




Language all dem OT bawsss can understand.
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