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Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:22 am to Duke
Wouldn't yall agree that outside of the obvious NOLA impact of a more westward shift that if Irma follows the current track and then draws north is absolutely the worst case scenario?
You would have the fricking Atlantic going into Miami on top of the winds.
You would have the fricking Atlantic going into Miami on top of the winds.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:23 am to rds dc
quote:
Just don't but milk and bread, that stuff will go bad in a few days.
Beer and pretzels.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:24 am to RummelTiger
quote:
So, then by your own admission, one should not "expect" the pull North...as that is not called for in the current 5-day forecast. Therefore, if people along the FL panhandle/AL/MS/LA coasts want to freak out just a little, then they should be able to do so at this point.
One thing that irks me on here are the opposite of the doomsday crew people. If some want to prepare for the absolute fricking worst case imaginable...then let them, as it sure as shite beats the opposite
People can worry as much as they'd like, but there are more than a few posts in this thread over the last 24 hours that border along fear mongering and wish casting. As weird as it may be, many folks on here like to use this thread as their information source, and it doesn't help when people are looking at old, outdated images, model runs that are 7-8 days out, etc. If you're going to worry about a model a week out, you should have the proper context for that worry.
It is all about context, and quite a few posts in this thread lack the proper context.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:24 am to ihometiger
My son is in school in the St Petersburg area. He said the stores have already been bought out of most supplies. They are taking it very seriously. If it were not for the trough I'd be very worried. I am concerned but think the track of the storm will stay east of SELA. The pan handle of Florida needs to be preparing too.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:24 am to rds dc
Jeff is heading down to Florida tomorrow.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:25 am to BayouBengals03
quote:
Jeff is heading down to Florida tomorrow.
I sure hope he can find a good car woorsh and a blue shed somewhere.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:26 am to rds dc
quote:
Just don't but milk and bread, that stuff will go bad in a few days.
Don't you freezer Baw...?
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 8:27 am
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:28 am to ihometiger
Look at that sweet trough coming down...!
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:28 am to Hog Zealot
Since it looks like its shifting west, if you're in south beach would you evacuate? I have a flight scheduled for tomorrow at 2:30 PM but Id rather stay if its not gonna be horrible here. Im in a really big,safe building, but its ocean front. It keeps shifting west, would you leave?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:28 am to BayouBengals03
quote:
Jeff a.k.a balls of steel is heading down to Florida tomorrow.
FIFY
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:28 am to RummelTiger
quote:
Beer and pretzels.
Get tequila. It doesn't need to be cold.
Just saying
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:29 am to slackster
quote:
As weird as it may be, many folks on here like to use this thread as their information source
You don't say...
quote:
It is all about context, and quite a few posts in this thread lack the proper context.
Okay, but you are living and dying on the models...which are not 100%. I mean, Hell, even they have to give themselves a cone for +/- accuracy. While some here are new to this...there are a lot of people here that are not, and they've seen hurricanes outsmart models many times, so maybe cut some of them some slack when they don't want to buy model context.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:29 am to b-rab2
quote:
Since it looks like its shifting west, if you're in south beach would you evacuate? I have a flight scheduled for tomorrow at 2:30 PM but Id rather stay if its not gonna be horrible here. Im in a really big,safe building, but its ocean front. It keeps shifting west, would you leave?
I have a lady friend having to fly down to Miami for work on the 11th. I told her she might have to rethink that.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:30 am to 50_Tiger
quote:He's going to need a little better shelter this time. He was fortunate this last time. Must see TV, however he's liable to lose his signal much faster in this one.
I sure hope he can find a good car woorsh and a blue shed somewhere.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:31 am to Hangover Haven
quote:Is that the one that is going to make my lows in the 50's and kick Irmas arse? If so, lets name that thing.
Look at that sweet trough coming down...!
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:31 am to 50_Tiger
I don't know that Jeff will want to mess with the eyewall of this thing after what he went through with Harvey. After Mark Sudduth of HurricaneTrack.com went through the eyewall of Charley in 2004, I think he decided against ever going through it again.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:31 am to ihometiger
Notice 95L in the SW Gulf. NHC is up 70% on that but it should stay pinned down there so no need to bring that thread back t life. At one time, models were trying to bring it north.
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