- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
2
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:15 am to Duke
That's one hell of a dropsonde:
215 mph winds found above the surface.
215 mph winds found above the surface.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:16 am to Jake88
quote:
Isn't there a saying that big, powerful storms go where they want and that direction is generally poleward?
They have a tendency to find the smallest weaknesses in a ridge and take it.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:17 am to RollTide1987
Nothing obvious. Water is plenty warm to support this sort of hurricane. No apparent shear source.
That being said, Cateogry 5 hurricanes of this intensity often aren't long lived and cycle up and down with eyewall replacement and just the thermodynamics of supporting those winds and structure being really demanding.
All those caveats noted, Irma's got a real possibility of being the longest track five we've observed in the Atlantic basin.
That being said, Cateogry 5 hurricanes of this intensity often aren't long lived and cycle up and down with eyewall replacement and just the thermodynamics of supporting those winds and structure being really demanding.
All those caveats noted, Irma's got a real possibility of being the longest track five we've observed in the Atlantic basin.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:17 am to RollTide1987
quote:
Now the question remains...is there anything in its path, on the current track, that will weaken it before it hits Florida?
Sure, Hispaniola and Cuba.
Land is really it's only inhibiting factor.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:19 am to slackster
Naples, FL checking in. 
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:21 am to slackster
quote:
215 mph winds found above the surface
Well don't see that everyday.
The winds are pretty incredible considering the pressure isn't THAT low. Guess the ambient high pressure surrounding her is playing some role and an obvious really tight gradient right by the center.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:24 am to bamarep
quote:
Gurus, how long can this bitch keep that kind of intensity?
The longest continued duration in the Atlantic was 78 hours. Most storms fall below Category 5 within 24 hours.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:25 am to Jake88
quote:
Isn't there a saying that big, powerful storms go where they want and that direction is generally poleward?
Anything with currents (electrical, water, wind) follow the path of least resistance.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:26 am to Duke
That high pressure ridge in the Atlantic will determine where this thing goes. Any chance it may recede, allowing Irma to go fishing? Pray God it doesn't build.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:27 am to slackster
So is the cold front we are supposed to be getting around Thursday/Friday the one that is supposed to turn this thing? Seems like they've had that pegged for a week now. Why is there concern over this thing not turning if that is the case?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:28 am to Cowboyfan89
yes
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:29 am to TigerNAtux
quote:
That high pressure ridge in the Atlantic will determine where this thing goes. Any chance it may recede, allowing Irma to go fishing? Pray God it doesn't build.
Sure there is. A few of the GFS ensembles keep it at sea:
Unlikely scenario at this point, but certainly plausible.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:29 am to rds dc
That thing is a monster.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:30 am to Cowboyfan89
Because they don't know when and where the other fronts will be when they hit Irma.
Hurricanes follow the paths of least resistance, a front is high resistance. So the hurricanes usually goes where the fronts are weakest or non existent. So when the front hits Irma, it's shape will determine Irma's path. It's impossible to predict that this far out.
Hurricanes follow the paths of least resistance, a front is high resistance. So the hurricanes usually goes where the fronts are weakest or non existent. So when the front hits Irma, it's shape will determine Irma's path. It's impossible to predict that this far out.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:31 am to Cowboyfan89
Has Disneyworld ever experienced bad hurricane damage? Doesn't look good for it
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:32 am to TigerNAtux
quote:
Any chance it may recede, allowing Irma to go fishing? Pray God it doesn't build.
From the models I've seen, it's more finding a window to shoot a gap between the big steering high and one that developes over Mx,Tx, La late in the week. Every single model has this avenue open but the split on where is sitting about Destin to just missing Florida all together.
Hope to see a fish storm but unfortunately the probabilities point to Florida currently. That and the poor Leewards and PR.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:35 am to Cowboyfan89
quote:
So is the cold front we are supposed to be getting around Thursday/Friday the one that is supposed to turn this thing? Seems like they've had that pegged for a week now. Why is there concern over this thing not turning if that is the case?
A) There really shouldn't be much concern over it failing to turn, at least at this point.
B) That cold front will continue to move, and there is always the possibility it misses Irma, although none of the models suggest it will happen.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:37 am to Duke
Looks like a lot of baws recently heard of the term annular hurricane and are loving throwing it around in this thread
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:38 am to slackster
Not looking good for South Carolina either
Page 129 of 711
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News