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1
Posted on 11/7/20 at 6:04 pm to LegendInMyMind
HMON puts a 80-85 mph and 966 mb storm into Tampa
Posted on 11/7/20 at 7:27 pm to paperwasp
NHC looks to be trying to figure out a way to deal with the potential curve back to the SW.
Posted on 11/7/20 at 8:08 pm to rds dc
quote:
NHC looks to be trying to figure out a way to deal with the potential curve back to the SW.
Look, I figure you might have access to someone who knows where the weather machine is. Could we consider turning it off and back on?
Posted on 11/7/20 at 8:15 pm to Duke
quote:
Look, I figure you might have access to someone who knows where the weather machine is. Could we consider turning it off and back on?
If that doesn't work, tell em to blow in it like an old school Nintendo.
Posted on 11/7/20 at 9:06 pm to rds dc
So south Florida is going to be dealing with TS force winds and rain for a week? That could be shitty for them
Posted on 11/7/20 at 10:03 pm to fightin tigers
alt+f4
Gone
Gone
Posted on 11/8/20 at 12:09 am to rds dc
Going to dump on Florida.
Posted on 11/8/20 at 9:48 am to rds dc
quote:
It will then have a couple of days of more favorable conditions over the Southern Gulf early next week before conditions deteriorate and the system should either move off to the NE or drift northwards and weaken.
NHC with a big shift overnight and now takes the system into the area of more favorable conditions.
7:00 pm yesterday
10:00 am this morning
HWRF has a legit hurricane in the Gulf.
It still looks like the system will eventually weaken before another US landfall and a series of fronts should protect Louisiana.
Posted on 11/8/20 at 9:50 am to NorthEndZone
quote:
HMON puts a 80-85 mph and 966 mb storm into Tampa
but how will this impact tonight's Saints/Bucs game?
Posted on 11/8/20 at 9:59 am to rt3
Posted on 11/8/20 at 10:03 am to Bobby OG Johnson
WTF
Posted on 11/8/20 at 10:27 am to rds dc
quote:Here’s a good example of how, despite having the most accurate data possible, the NHC is not always able to provide a long range forecast with a high degree of confidence:
NHC with a big shift overnight and now takes the system into the area of more favorable conditions.
TS Eta Five Day Cone History
Posted on 11/8/20 at 10:33 am to Saltwatersoul04
quote:
WTF
It's kind of an odd image but if you look at the 200mb chart, maybe it makes a bit more sense? Below is the current 200mb analysis (00 hr on 12z GFS) and the upper level trough is in the red circle (notice arrowed lines make a "U" shape). Flow around the base of the upper level trough (right hand side of the "U") is divergent. This spreading of the flow results in upper level divergence (or what is commonly referred to is deep layer accent). This is situated over the area of low level flow around Eta (blue arrow) which results in a region that is favorable for heavy rain.
Posted on 11/8/20 at 10:36 am to FearlessFreep
quote:
Here’s a good example of how, despite having the most accurate data possible, the NHC is not always able to provide a long range forecast with a high degree of confidence:
To me, it looks like the track was always within the cone
Posted on 11/8/20 at 11:00 am to rds dc
Posted on 11/8/20 at 11:25 am to rds dc
quote:
To me, it looks like the track was always within the cone
Here we go again....
Posted on 11/8/20 at 11:28 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Here we go again....
Just wait until we have a hurricane thread in December
Posted on 11/8/20 at 11:37 am to rds dc
Yep, 2020, the year that will not just end. 
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