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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:27 pm to
Posted by nolaTiger24
Member since Sep 2008
1655 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:27 pm to
I have some crews working in St. Pauls, North Carolina which is 80 miles northwest of Wilmington and in between Lumberton and Fayetteville on I-95. What do you guys predict the conditions to be there as I have never been but need to decide if we should move some equipment out, mostly trucks and heavy equipment.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

Not only is there a mandatory evac of the entire coast, they shut the schools down from Cola to the coast starting tomorrow.

I'm gonna be the only dude in the office the rest of the week since I don't have kids.


and all state office non-essential employees as well in the same areas.

Columbia is going to be a ghost town the rest of the week.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:28 pm to
They are about to pass for the fifth time. How much of a beating can these planes take??


Do not want to be those dudes.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

I have some crews working in St. Pauls, North Carolina which is 80 miles northwest of Wilmington and in between Lumberton and Fayetteville on I-95. What do you guys predict the conditions to be there as I have never been but need to decide if we should move some equipment out, mostly trucks and heavy equipment.


There is a reasonable chance that area will see 100+ MPH wind gusts.

I don't know anything about your equipment and equipment, but I'd get my people out of there.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
45911 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

Columbia is going to be a ghost town the rest of the week.


No traffic on my way in to be the only guy in the office!
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51685 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:32 pm to
It's incredible to see the entire coastline (a large one at that) of a state be evacuated.
Posted by ctiger69
Member since May 2005
31030 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:32 pm to
What is a good website for spaghetti models?
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93597 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

What is a good website for spaghetti models?


spaghettimodels.com
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51685 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

What is a good website for spaghetti models?


Tropical Tidbits

spaghettimodels.com
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 2:35 pm
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Cat 3 I can deal with

Of importance: Katrina officially came ashore as a Cat 3, after peaking as a Cat 5 a day or so before offshore.
Florence would not be a typical Cat 3, my guess more along what Cat 3 Katrina was like.
In other words, don't mess around with this one
Posted by DownSouthJukin
1x tRant Poster of the Millennium
Member since Jan 2014
31776 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

What is a good website for spaghetti models?


LINK
Posted by oleheat
Sportsman's Paradise
Member since Mar 2007
14775 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:35 pm to



Wow.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:35 pm to
Guys over at 2k think a possible EWRC is going down.
Posted by jdd48
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
23747 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

Fear mongering with hurricanes has become ridiculous.



I agree when it involves a TS or cat 1. Strong storms like this one are nothing to play with. Even if people stay and successfully ride it out, it could be days or weeks before any kind of aid can get to those stranded.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51685 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

Of importance: Katrina officially came ashore as a Cat 3, after peaking as a Cat 5 a day or so before offshore.
Florence would not be a typical Cat 3, my guess more along what Cat 3 Katrina was like.
In other words, don't mess around with this one

Ivan was a Cat. 3 at landfall as well. A Cat. 3 can still cause widespread and catastrophic damage.
Posted by ctiger69
Member since May 2005
31030 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:36 pm to
Hopefully, Issac cuts up north into the Atlantic.

Posted by SMDH
Lafayette, LA
Member since Aug 2017
206 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:37 pm to
This website has tons of info LINK
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:37 pm to
Too many people are uneducated on how hurricanes work.

“I’ve been through hurricanes for 50 years of my life and I lived through them all I’ll be fine”

Problem I find when people say this is they often got lucky. By that I mean if you ask them where they were in the storms they were located far inland or they never sat in the NE wall of a major hurricane. A small shift in the storm makes a huge difference. I promise you if you have you’ll never want to again in your life.

I sat near the NE eye wall in Katrina and that was the most horrifying experience I’ve ever seen. I saw 200ft. high trees touching to the ground, tornadoes spawning all around picking trees up throwing them, gusts so strong they could knock you on your arse. It looked like a nuclear bomb hit by the time it passed no hyperbole.

I’ll never do that again. Better safe than sorry especially if you’re on the coast. People really need to educate themselves on how devastating the storm surges are.
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 2:39 pm
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
23196 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:37 pm to
Lumberton flooded horribly when Matthew came through.

That area is also very close to the water and would bear a lot of the brunt of the storm if the current tracks hold.

I’d be getting them out of harms way soon.
Posted by HueyP
Lubbock
Member since Nov 2008
3155 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 2:37 pm to
Best model link ever.
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