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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN

Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:21 pm to
Posted by Turnblad85
Member since Sep 2022
5538 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

BigBro


all you've done this whole thread is pimp dire news and worst-case scenarios.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177300 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:21 pm to
Current radar is a good example of satellite trying to trick you on the center. The clearing has rotated all the way around the center while you can see on radar the center motion has held steady. Back when the clearing was on the eastern side recon was confirming the center was to the west of the "eye".



Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
7002 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

Long range models are suggesting we could see another tropical wave move into the Gulf by the end of next week


Unlike with Helene, the models have been all over with that potential storm and that is also supr long range out so very unlikely to materialze the way this one did.
Posted by Water
Louisiana
Member since Jan 2020
1157 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:22 pm to
They’re talking about us
Posted by Gris Gris
OTIS!NO RULES FOR SAUCES ON STEAK!!
Member since Feb 2008
49636 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

Thats sort of how I got my parents to leave Bay St Louis before Katrina. They were going to stay and I stopped by on my way out. I told them I probably wouldnt see them again as I left. 30 minutes later they were in the car. All that was left after the storm was a slab and a pool.


That's so frightening. Thank goodness they left!
Posted by Slagathor
Makin' jokes about your teeny tiny
Member since Jul 2007
38984 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

all you've done this whole thread is pimp dire news and worst-case scenarios


no one's making you read this... so frick off, cheese bag
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177300 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

As #Helene continues to approach the coast, please do not get overly focused on short-term wobbles in its track, "false" eye locations, or on specific computer model simulations.

Use radar. It's such a powerful tool to have when storms are close to the coast.
Posted by whiskey over ice
Member since Sep 2020
3758 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:22 pm to
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.


My buddy in Tampa just sent me this

This post was edited on 9/26/24 at 12:24 pm
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
108323 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:23 pm to
The damn tornados are what always gives me the bad anxiety praying for everyone in the affected area
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216458 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:24 pm to
Oh boy. That’s not good.
Posted by MasterAbe1
Member since Oct 2016
7096 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:24 pm to
Shark picture on interstate, do we have a bingo?
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
44842 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

please do not get overly focused on short-term wobbles in its track,


Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102677 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:26 pm to
Not legit I don’t see any sharks swimming on that flooded Tampa road
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:26 pm to
This is where I remind everyone why I was talking about how fast intensification can happen last night.

Also, the pressure is going to be comically under what you'd expect for the winds with this big arse storm.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177300 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

In the FWIW department, Zach plotted the NHC track line on this GEOS 16 image and noted that Helene is tracking parallel east of official. He cautioned that Sat images can be deceiving and don't account well for tilt, but went on to say that Recon is confirming what the sat image is showing.

>

He remarked that if valid and continuing through landfall, better news for Tallahassee area and worse for Tampa surge max.

YMMV

Also Fox8 fell for the false eye.
Posted by CarolinaGamecock99
Member since Apr 2015
24821 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:27 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

Use radar. It's such a powerful tool to have when storms are close to the coast.


This is a piece of wisdom many of yall need to absorb. If you have radar, use radar to track it.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
44842 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

Also, the pressure is going to be comically under what you'd expect for the winds with this big arse storm.


Can you explain yourself sir?
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
20232 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

all you've done this whole thread is pimp dire news and worst-case scenarios.

They found 958 in the current recon mission.. It's not my data. I'll be sure to try and blow sunshine up your arse on my next post..
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:29 pm to
Slack pressure gradient with the large system. Winds wont be as high as most are used to for the pressures we'll be seeing today.
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