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Started By
Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:43 pm to DiamondDog
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:43 pm to DiamondDog
I have a flight out of IAH Wednesday evening. I assume I am screwed.
2
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:43 pm to Chicken
quote:
I have some buddies flying out of New Orleans before 8 AM on Thursday. Are they screwed? They are flying to the West Coast
I'll post the waivers on the travel board once they're up, will need to keep an eye on the forecasts. Getting out earlier is always better. What airline?
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:43 pm to tigersaint14
My dad and brothers have a flight out Thursday am … I’m wondering if they’ll make it.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:43 pm to tiger91
quote:
I think it was more of a place your bet on center line for 4pm advisory
No way it ends up west of the Atchafalaya
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:46 pm to tiger91
quote:
Pool house is ready and so is the generator.
Yea it will be easier to cool my guest house than my main house. Going to prep the portable A/Cs tomorrow. The guest house is on its own panel and meter and I have been thinking about getting a generator installed just for it for instances like this. Will move food to that fridge too.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:46 pm to CuseTiger
quote:
I'll post the waivers on the travel board once they're up, will need to keep an eye on the forecasts. Getting out earlier is always better. What airline?
Appreciate this. I’m scheduled to come back Thursday afternoon to MSY on SWA.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:47 pm to tiger91
quote:
I think it was more of a place your bet on center line for 4pm advisory
Way more sense then.
He's generally pretty fricking careful about that.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:48 pm to Swagga
Flying into IAH/BTR Tuesday night. Hopefully this shitstorm hasn't started by then.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:50 pm to Riolobo
quote:
Crawfish farmers will have plenty of water this season
Breaking: all crawfish drown; prices up next season
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:51 pm to DownshiftAndFloorIt
Rob Perillo at KATC says the GRAF model is “red flagging for rapid intensification”.
The model looks like it goes in at vermilion bay
The model looks like it goes in at vermilion bay
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 4:52 pm
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:51 pm to jaytothen
quote:
Breaking: all crawfish drown; prices up next season
A Cat 1 shooting up the Sabine killed all crawfish in the whole state. Prices up
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:52 pm to tiger91
Mais nonnnnn
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:52 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:54 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
I’m sticking with my prediction of landfall due south of Jennings.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:55 pm to tiger91
I’ll be shocked if this doesn’t end up further east. Their discussion is already hinting at that. These types of storms almost always end up further east than the initial projections. It is still early and the storm is still forming so anything can happen but Lafayette and Baton Rouge should not ignore this.
I am still not leaning towards a very strong storm meaning anything above Cat 1. But some of the models are hinting at it even though shear seems like it will be screaming in the northern gulf. Maybe they see a way that the shear will help the storm? Just seems odd. I think there is also a lot of dry air north of the coastline thanks to this front that came through so I’ll be shocked if that doesn’t somehow get in as it nears landfall.
I am still not leaning towards a very strong storm meaning anything above Cat 1. But some of the models are hinting at it even though shear seems like it will be screaming in the northern gulf. Maybe they see a way that the shear will help the storm? Just seems odd. I think there is also a lot of dry air north of the coastline thanks to this front that came through so I’ll be shocked if that doesn’t somehow get in as it nears landfall.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:56 pm to tiger91
quote:
Rob Perillo at KATC says the GRAF model is “red flagging for rapid intensification”. The model looks like it goes in at vermilion bay
Good news as this dude is always wrong
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:56 pm to stout
So the conventional wisdom and likelihood is that stronger equals further east? Weaker equals more likely to hit around Lake Charles?
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:57 pm to diat150
Idk. Back in 2005 he’s the reason we decided to leave for Rita. I seem to remember him doing a good job with it.
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 4:58 pm
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:57 pm to diat150
12z vs 18z GFS runs are virtually indistinguishable at 66hrs out.
On a beeline towards the Central LA coastline
On a beeline towards the Central LA coastline
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:58 pm to tiger91
quote:
My dad and brothers have a flight out Thursday am … I’m wondering if they’ll make it.
Same for me. I’m just not sure how backed up flights will be if this thing passes close to Houston before hitting land.
I’m gonna wait till tomorrow morning to make a decision.
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